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Place the right people in the right roles at the right time with this essential guide
Project estimating, or project workforce planning, involves a systematic process of identifying and managing the key human resources required for efficient and effective completion of a project. This process necessarily balances a huge range of factors, from forecasting labor costs to managing team composition to incorporating relevant legislation and projecting the impact of artificial intelligence and market conditions. Effective workforce planning contributes to overall project success by ensuring that the right people are in the right roles at the right time.
Project Workforce Estimating: Best Practices for Project Managers offers a comprehensive overview of workforce planning, from foundational principles to advanced techniques. It offers a range of techniques and strategies that can be incorporated into planning for virtually any kind of project, along with detailed guidance to ensure accurate projections. Closely aligned with industry standards, it is a must-own for project managers looking to systematize a critical stage of project management.
Project Workforce Estimating: Best Practices for Project Managers readers will also find:
Project Workforce Estimating: Best Practices for Project Managers is ideal for project managers, business analysts and consultants, executives and senior managers, and HR professionals.
Harold Kerzner, PhD, is Senior Executive Director for Project Management at the International Institute for Learning, Inc. (IIL), a global learning solutions company offering professional training and consulting services worldwide. Dr. Kerzner's profound effect on the project management industry inspired IIL to establish, in coordination with PMI, the Kerzner International Project Manager of the Year Award, which is presented to a distinguished PMP® or global equivalent each year.
Al Zeitoun, PhD, PgMP, is a PMI Fellow and has over 30 years of global experience in program/project management and strategic change, leading operational excellence for large corporations. He brings decades of global experience with multi-billion-dollar industry-leading organizations. He has implemented digital transformation as a key to accelerating revenue growth and driving market dominance, while redefining internal cultures to embrace and champion new Ways of Working and innovation mindset across all levels of the organization. Dr. Zeitoun has taught, trained, and coached professionals worldwide.
Preface xi
About the Companion Website xiii
1 The Future of Project Workforce Planning 1
Navigating the World of Limited Resources 1
Principles of Project Workforce Management 3
Workforce Management in the External Environment 6
Workforce Management and Legislation 7
Professional Development for Project Teams 8
Labor Rate Structures 9
The Role of Contract and Temporary Staff 10
Impact of Artificial Intelligence on Future Workforce Planning 11
2 The Complexities of Project Workforce Estimating 17
Sources for Workforce Estimation 17
Factors Influencing Workforce Estimation 18
Stakeholder Involvement in Workforce Staffing 20
The Key to Workforce Estimating 21
Earned Value Management Systems and the PMBOK® Guide 22
Direct Versus Indirect Project Costs 23
Breaking Down the Overhead Costs 24
Forward Pricing Rates: Salary 25
Calculating Available Work Hours 26
Work Authorization Form 27
Project Pricing Overview 27
Validating Estimation Assumptions 28
The Fuzzy Front End 30
Project Portfolio Management 32
The Value Proposition Behind Project Portfolio Software Tools 33
3 Techniques for Estimating Project Workforce Needs 35
Overview of Workforce Estimation Methods 35
From Labor Hours to Labor Costs 36
Enhancing Estimation Accuracy 36
Estimating Costs Per Hour 37
Parametric Estimating 38
Analogy Estimating 38
Ground-up (Grassroots) Estimation 39
Applying Learning Curves in Workforce Estimation 40
Understanding the Learning Curve Effect 41
Estimating Management and Support Needs 42
Identifying Hidden Labor Costs 43
The Impact of Documentation on Labor Costs 44
The Need for Workforce Backup Plans 45
Common Challenges in Workforce Estimation 46
The Essential Value of Enterprise Risk Management 47
4 Monitoring Workforce Expenditures 49
Initiating Workforce Expenditure Tracking 49
Converting Work Hours into Financial Metrics 50
Balancing Hours and Dollars in Project Tracking 50
Analyzing Workforce Metrics 52
Analyzing Spending Trends 53
Example of Termination Liability 55
Oversight of Workforce Expenditures 55
Setting Reporting Intervals for Workforce Status 57
Documenting Challenges in Workforce Reporting 57
Optimizing the Business Models Around Workforce Strengths 58
5 Growth of Innovation Project Teams 61
The Need for Innovation and Creativity 61
Introduction to Innovation 62
Types of Innovation 64
Co-Creation Innovation 69
Defining Innovation Success and Failure 72
Value: The Missing Link 74
The Innovation Environment 74
The Innovation Culture 77
Idea Generation 78
Understanding Reward Systems 79
Resources Management 80
The Power of the Agile and Hybrid Approaches 83
Innovation Project Management Future Skills 84
Innovation Portfolio Management 87
The Need for Innovation Metrics 89
Extracting the Business Value 93
The Value of Prompt Engineering in Fostering Innovation 95
References 96
6 Designing the Future Workforce 101
Identifying Desired Team Competencies 101
Perspectives on Project Management 102
Strategies for Workforce Recruitment 103
Degrees of Permissiveness 103
Commitment and Expectation Management 104
Engaging High-Value Team Members 105
Addressing Underperformance 105
Non-Financial Incentives for Motivation 106
Celebrating Achievements from Plaques to Public Acknowledgments 106
The Role of Public Recognition 107
Alternative Non-Monetary Rewards 107
Timing and Patterns of Staffing Needs 109
The Role of Organizational Development 110
7 Advanced Topics in Workforce Planning 115
Budget Allocation and Adjustment 115
Securing Additional Project Funding 116
Global Workforce Estimation Challenges 116
Structuring Project Teams for Success 117
Incorporating Management Plan Data 118
Developing Contingency Plans for Workforce Management 119
The Benefits of Co-Located Teams 120
Project Life Cycle Costing Approaches 121
Techniques for Workforce Leveling 121
Advanced Workforce Leveling Strategies 122
Maturing an Inventory of Skills and Competencies 123
The Next Potential of AI in Enabling Workforce Planning 125
8 Case Studies in Workforce Planning 133
Dixon Aerospace 135
The Phoenix Project 137
Brenda's Dilemma 139
The Brainstorming Meeting 141
The Lack of Information 143
The Information Overflow Dilemma 145
The Impact of Assumptions 147
Nora's Dilemma 149
Managing Resources in Government Agencies 153
Kane Corporation 156
Skunk Works Project Management 160
Index 173
Keywords Artificial intelligence (AI); Contracted workers; Corporate workforce needs; Labor rates; Resources limitations; Workforce gap analysis; Workforce legislation; Workforce planning models
Today we live in a world of limited resources. Companies are running lean and mean due to uncertain economic conditions, unavailable qualified labor, and rapidly changing customer demands. Yet companies never seem to run out of projects to work on, but they do have a shortage of resources to support all of the desired projects.
Newly appointed project managers often willingly accept project management positions with the mistaken belief that they will have all of the necessary resources for their projects. Executives and sponsors also reiterate these words, namely that you will get all of the workforce support needed when selecting and appointing the new project manager. But then, after a go-ahead, reality sets in and the project manager discovers that he/she is living in a world of limited resources.
To make matters worse, newly appointed project managers do not seem to have any idea as to the complexities with project resources staffing and estimating. Wanting an army of resources may seem like a good idea at first, but the allocated budget may not even allow you to have the minimum workforce you think you need. In an ideal situation, you would determine the workforce needed first, and then price out the workforce to determine the budget for the project. While this sometimes happens, it is more likely that the budget is established first by senior management when approving the project, often without any involvement by the project manager, and then the project manager must staff the project based upon the available funding. The result is often a project team with a shortage of resources or team members with inadequate skill sets.
For simplicity's sake, companies can be classified as project-driven and non-project-driven. Project-driven companies usually survive on the various projects they manage for external clients through a competitive bidding process. In these companies, the size and type of resources can fluctuate based upon the types and quantities of projects they are asked to manage.
In non-project-driven companies, there are usually standard production lines, and projects exist to support the creation of new products or modifications to existing products as well as ongoing business needs. Workforce management is somewhat easier in this type of company.
Both types of companies must deal with the risks of limited resources and need to adopt a workforce planning model. There are two reasonable solutions expected from workforce planning based upon limited resources:
With limited resources, it is essential that we have the right people assigned to the right tasks. Project managers may not know the capabilities of the assigned workers and may have to rely upon the expertise of the functional managers who provide the staff. Increasing the productivity of the assigned workers does not mean producing more deliverables or increasing production. Instead, it implies getting workers to perform their assigned tasks more efficiently or more effectively. The proper investment in training and education can make this happen.
For companies that survive on competitive bidding, limited resources are almost always a way of life. Companies tend to bid on more jobs than their resources can support because they know that they will not be awarded all of the contracts they are bidding on. If they were to win more projects through competitive bidding than they can handle, there would still be a reluctance to hire more people for fear that there would be no place to put the people after the projects are completed. Companies that hire when they win a contract and then lay off the workers when the contract is finished may find it difficult to attract talented workers who want some degree of employment stability and security. This can be devastating to the company's reputation and create havoc with workforce planning.
Workforce management begins with workforce planning. Workforce planning, also known as human resource planning or manpower planning, is the process of determining the human resources that an organization needs to meet its strategic goals. The three critical elements in the process are the forecasting of future labor demand, analyzing present labor availability, and effectively managing resource supply versus demand. The outcome, if done effectively, should be a plan that ensures that the right people with the right skills are assigned to the projects such that there is a high expectancy of achieving the organization's strategic goals. Effective manpower planning also minimizes the risks of overstaffing, having to pay for excess staff that may not be needed, and loss of productivity.
A simple model for future workforce planning is shown in Exhibit 1.1.
Exhibit 1.1 Future Workforce Planning Model
Most of the principles in Exhibit 1.1 apply to workforce planning in any type of company.
The focus of this book is future workforce planning for projects.
Workforce planning begins with an understanding of the organization's business goals now and possibly in the future. Forecasting future manpower needs requires answering the following questions:
Gap analysis, as identified in Exhibit 1.1, is more than identifying a potential shortage of resources. It also includes answering the following questions:
Gap analysis is more than making sure you have the right number of resources. It also provides guidance for making sure you have the best possible employees assigned to the best possible activities.
Developing either organizational or project manpower strategies includes the following1:
People come and go for a variety of reasons. Long-term workforce planning for projects must consider the risks of replacing workers if needed and how they will be trained. People usually find working on projects challenging and rewarding. This is especially a critical attraction point for the next-generation workforce that enjoys exploring new outcomes. Proper investment in human resources helps retain talented workers and reduces employee turnover.
Human resource planning must also include ways to retain talented employees and keep them motivated. Some techniques include:
If we look at the principles of human resources management and project objectives together, we can define project staffing as the process that ensures that the organization has the correct number of people with the correct skills doing the right activities at the right time to achieve the project's objectives. But human resources management on a project is more than simply getting people assigned to the project team. It also involves:
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