Readings in Decision Analysis

Preface -- Foreword -- 1 Introduction -- 1.1 Preamble -- 1.2 The rev counter decision /by P. G. Moore and H. Thomas -- 1.3 Decision analysis and operational research -- 2 The theory -- 2.1 Decision tables and decision trees -- 2.2 Subjective probability and Bayes' theorem -- 2.3 Utility theory -- 2.4 Multi-attribute utility theory -- 3 Case studies -- 3.1 Introduction -- 3.2 Marketing a new product /by D. W. Beattie -- 3.3 Balancing the failure modes in the electronic circuit of a cardiac pacemaker: a decision analysis /by B. Ronen, J. S. Pliskin and S. Feldman -- 3.4 A multi-objective decision analysis: budget planning for product engineering /by D. L. Keefer and C. W. Kirkwood -- 3.5 Decision analysis for the evaluation of risk in nuclear waste management /by J. W. Lathrop and S. R. Watson -- 3.6 Requisite decision modelling: a case study /by L. D. Phillips -- 3.7 The use of a simple multiple-criteria model to assist in selection from a shortlist /by V. Belton -- 4 Thinking and sharing perceptions -- 4.1 A collection of 'Viewpoints' /by K. D. Tocher, R. M. Adelson, S. French, R. Hartley, /L. C. Thomas and D. J. White -- 4.2 What is a normative analysis? -- 4.3 From decision theory of decision analysis /by S. French -- 4.4 Group decision making and decision conferencing -- 4.5 Subjective aspects of the art of decision analysis: exploring the role of decision analysis in decision structuring, decision support, and policy dialogue /by H. Thomas and D. Samson -- Further reading -- References -- Index.