Bounded Disciplines and Unbounded Problems

Name: Bounded Disciplines and Unbounded Problems | A Vision for Management Science
Brand: OUP eBook
Price: 23.49 EUR
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A Vision for Management Science

Baruch Fischhoff(Autor*in)

OUP eBook (Verlag)

Erschienen am 12. Januar 2025

192 Seiten

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978-0-19-889393-6 (ISBN)

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Beschreibung

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Inhalt

Cover
Series Page
Title Page
Copyright Page
Dedication Page
Preface
Acknowledgments
Contents
1 Bounding Complexity: The Wisdom of Conscious Blinders
Confronting Complexity
Coping with Complexity
Sciences in Complexity
Burrowing within Boundaries
When Details Matter
Boundary Disputes
Conclusions
2 Sciences (in)Action: A Success and a Failure in Confronting Complexity
Equitable Allocation of COVID-19 Vaccine
The Complex Problem
The Disciplines
Management Science Tasks
Lessons Learned
Human Dimensions of Climate Change
The Complex Problem
The Disciplines
Management Science Tasks
Lessons Learned
Conclusions
3 Decision Science: Boundedly Rational Study of Rationality
Decision Science, Flourishing within Bounds
Out-of-Bounds Observations
Pushing Heuristic Bounds
The Bias Heuristic
Simple Models or Simple Processes
Conclusions
4 Questions of Competence: Disciplined Empathy
Avoiding a Rush to Judgment
The Discipline of Decision Science
Structured Empathy
``Literacy'' Tests
Individual Differences
Merchants of Bias?
Scientists Are People, Too
Conclusions
5 Slow Science (Beliefs)
What Are We Asking? The Face Validity of Questions
What Are They Telling Us? The Face Validity of Answers
How Much Do People Think about the World?
What Do Experts Believe?
Conclusions
6 Slow Science (Preferences)
Ostensibly Simple Tasks
What Are We Asking: The Face Validity of Questions
Defining Risks
Defining Benefits
What Are They Telling Us? The Face Validity of Answers
If We Have Questions, Do They Have Answers?
Might They Have Answers, If We Slowed Down?
Conclusions
7 A Strategy for Bonding Bounded Disciplines
Barriers to Bonding Bounded Disciplines
A Strategy for Bonding Bounded Disciplines
Staffing: Are the Right People Involved?
Internal Consultation: Are Those People Talking to One Another?
External Consultation: Are Those People Talking with Stakeholders?
Conclusions
8 A Vision for Management Science
Management Science as General Contractor
Creating an Intellectual Commons
Methods for Assessing Experts' Beliefs
Methods for Assessing Nonexperts' Beliefs
Creating Communities
Methods for Creating Shared Ways of Thinking
Methods for Creating Respectful Ways of Interacting
Creating Incentives
Boundary Organizations for Bonding Bounded Disciplines
Conclusions
9 Change (in)Action
COVID-19
Vaccines
Face Masks
Movie Studios
Climate Change
Better Story Telling
Better Stories
Reflection
Conclusions
10 Management Science as a Bonding Discipline
Decision Science
From a Multidisciplinary Field to an Interdisciplinary Platform
An Interdisciplinary Platform in a Multidisciplinary World
Psychology
Economics
Management Science
Strategic Gambles
Conclusions
Index

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