Introduction to Decision Modeling. The Decision Analysis Approach Case Studies: Exo Health Universal Airlines. Decision Model Structuring Case Studies: Atlanta Photo Finishers (A) Superior Power and Gas Company (A). Probability Assessment. Appendix A: A Probability Primer. Choosing between Alternatives Case Study: James Johnson Art Auctions (A). The Expected Utility Decision Criterion Case Study: James Johnson Art Auctions (B). Appendix B: The Axioms of Decision Analysis/Expected Utility. Multiattributed Utility Functions. Sensitivity Analysis Case Study: Digmout Mines Inc. (A). Simulation in Decision Analysis Case Studies: RW Industries Northern Insurance Brokers. Revision of Probabilities Case Studies: Printem Inc. Bangpay Insurance Company. The Value of Information Case Studies: Sunbelt Software Services (A) Sunbelt Software Services (B). Implementation of Decision Analysis Case Study: Mirassou Vineyards (A). Behavioral Aspects of Decision Analysis. Decision Support Systems. Complementary Decision Analysis Aids Appendix: "Arborist" Documentation.
700 pp., 1988, hardbound, ISBN 0-256-06162-9.
