Modeling and Simulation in Engineering, Economics, and Management
International Conference, MS 2012, New Rochelle, NY, USA, May 30 - June 1, 2012, Proceedings
Erschienen am 2. Juni 2012
XI, 281 Seiten
978-3-642-30433-0 (ISBN)
Beschreibung
This book contains the refereed proceedings of the International Conference on Modeling and Simulation in Engineering, Economics, and Management, MS 2012, held in New Rochelle, NY, USA, in May/June 2012.
The event was co-organized by the AMSE Association and Iona College.
The 27 full papers in this book were carefully reviewed and selected from 78 submissions. In addition to these papers a summary of the plenary presentation given by Ronald R. Yager is also included.
The book mainly focuses on the field of intelligent systems and its application to economics and business administration. Some papers have a stronger orientation towards modeling and simulation in these fields.
Weitere Details
Weitere Ausgaben
Inhalt
- Title
- Preface
- Organization
- Table of Contents
- Social Networks and Social Information Sharing Using Fuzzy Methods
- Using Analytical Methods in Business Continuity Planning
- Introduction
- The Current State of Analytics in BCP
- Business Impact Analysis, Risk Assessment, and Strategy Development
- Business Impact Analysis
- Organizational Objectives and Priorities
- Deliverables, Resumption Requirements, and Levels Performance
- Impact of a Disruption and Interdependencies
- Necessary Resources for Implementing the BCP and Their Allocation
- Risk Assessment
- Identify Significant Threats to Critical Operations
- Identify and Evaluate Controls
- Estimate Event Probabilities and Impacts
- Developing Risk Measures and Prioritizing Risks
- Developing Strategies
- Strategies for Individual Business and Support Units
- Integrating Strategies
- Conclusions and Discussion
- References
- Using Neural Networks to Model Sovereign Credit Ratings: Application to the European Union
- Introduction
- Neural Networks
- Sovereign Credit Ratings
- Models and Data
- Input Variables and Training Input Dataset
- Output Variables and Training Target Dataset
- Neural Networks Model
- Results
- Discussion and Final Remarks
- References
- Measuring Errors with the OWA Operator
- Introduction
- Preliminaries
- The OWA Error Operator
- Illustrative Example
- Conclusions
- References
- Solvency Capital Estimation and Risk Measures
- Introduction
- Misunderstanding in the Concept of Value at Risk as a Risk Measure
- A Non
- Example for Value a Risk
- Issues from Risk Management
- Conclusions
- References
- Appendix
- Decision Making of Customer Loyalty Programs to Maintain Consumer Constancy
- Introduction
- Customer Relationship Management
- Customer Loyalty
- Fuzzy Logic
- Fuzzy Number and Linguistic Variable
- The Hungarian Method for the Assignment Problem
- The Theorem
- Theorem 1:
- Theorem 2:
- The Hungarian Algorithm
- Application
- Conclusion and Further Research
- References
- User and Usage Constraints in Information Systems Development - Application to University: A Case Study of Lagos State University, Lagos, Nigeria
- Introduction
- Economic Intelligence Systems
- Information System Development in Lagos State University
- Applications Specification
- Entity Relation Model
- Implementation Constraints
- Constraints Associated With Matriculation Number
- PRE-COMPUTERISATION COMPUTERISATION ERA CODES ERA CODES
- Non-existing / Inconsistent Matriculation Number Pattern
- Conclusion
- References
- Online Business Registration and Congolese Entrepreneurs in Cape Town
- Introduction
- Conceptual Background
- Research Hypotheses
- Research Methodology
- Analysis and Results
- Discussion of Results
- Conclusions
- References
- The Algorithm of Optimal Polynomial Extrapolation of Random Processes
- Introduction
- Problem Statement
- Conclusions
- References
- An Analytic Framework for Assessing Automobile Sales Loss from Recalls: A Toyota Case Study
- Introduction
- Toyota Recalls
- Model Development
- Dependent Variable: Product Sales
- Independent Variable: Product Recall
- Independent Variable: Accident Factor
- Independent Variable: Media Coverage
- Model Specification: Development of the Mathematical Model
- Results
- Conclusion
- References
- A Method for Uncertain Sales Forecast by Using Triangular Fuzzy Numbers
- Introduction
- Fundamentals of Fuzzy Subsets
- OWA Operators and Aggregation Functions
- Proposal for the Creation of a Triangular Fuzzy Number Concerning Sales Forecast from the Opinions of an Expert Group
- Conclusions
- References
- A Metaheuristic Approach for Supply Chain Network Design Problems
- Introduction
- Problem Formulation
- Solution Strategy
- Single Objective Solution
- Multi-objective Solution Using Goal Attainment
- Multi-objective Solution Using Multi-Objective Simulated Annealing
- Computational Results
- Conclusion
- References
- Random Forests for Uplift Modeling: An Insurance Customer Retention Case
- Introduction and Background
- The Uplift Problem
- State of Art Solutions to the Uplift Problem
- Subtraction of Two Models
- Modeling Uplift Directly
- Random Forests for Uplift Modeling
- A Proposed Algorithm
- Variable Importance
- Assessing Model Performance
- The Data
- Conclusions
- References
- Age Diversity in the Boardroom: Measures and Implications
- Introduction
- Theoretical Framework
- Data and Methodology
- Sample
- Model
- Variables
- Empirical Results
- Conclusion and Discussion
- References
- Hierarchical Structure of Variables in Export Agribusiness: The Case of Michoacan
- Background
- Theory and Hypotheses
- Conclusions
- References
- Division of Labour and Outsourcing: Mutually Exclusive Concepts?
- Introduction
- References
- OWA Operators in the Assignment Process: The Case of the Hungarian Algorithm
- Introduction
- Theoretical Foundations
- The OWA Operator
- The OWA Distance Operator
- The Hungarian Method
- Fuzzy Hungarian Algorithm
- OWA Operators in the Hungarian Algorithm
- Using the OWAD Operator in the Hungarian Algorithm
- Illustrative Example
- Conclusions
- References
- Mathematic Modeling of Reactor's Temperature Mode of Multiloop Pyrolysis Plant
- Introduction
- Geometrical Model and Basic Heat Equations of the MPP's Reactor
- Computer Simulation of the MPP Reactor's Temperature Mode
- Conclusions
- References
- Step Size Bounds for a Class of Multiderivative Explicit Runge-Kutta Methods
- Introduction
- Explicit Runge-Kutta Methods
- A Class of 3 - Stage MERK Methods
- Propagation of Errors in MERK Methods
- Numerical Computation and Results
- Conclusion
- References
- Tapping the Potential of Virtual World-Based Simulations in Higher Education
- Introduction
- Pedagogy in Higher Business Education
- Lecture Method
- Video
- Case Studies
- Internships
- Experiential Exercises
- Role Playing
- Research Reports
- Simulations/Games
- Virtual World Simulations and Second Life
- Interactivity
- Immersion
- Creativity
- Authenticity
- Fantasy
- Application Areas of Virtual World Simulations in Higher Education
- Health Care
- Sociology
- Language Education
- Visual Arts
- Architecture
- Travel/Tourism
- Music
- History
- Scripting Languages/Animation
- Forensics/Auditing
- Military Science
- Environmental Science
- Business
- Summary and Conclusions
- References
- Evaluating the Impact of Virtual Reality on Liver Surgical Planning Procedures
- Introduction
- Potential Impact of Image Guided Systems to the Surgical Domain
- The Proposed Virtual Liver Surgery Planning Model
- Frame Work of the VLSP Model
- VR-Based Segmentation Refinement Tools
- The Proposed Surgical Planning Workflow
- Results and Conclusions
- References
- A Model to Determine the Effect of International Business Competences
- Introduction
- Literature Review
- Internationalisation from a Knowledge-Based Approach
- Theoretical Model
- Methodology
- Variables
- Data Collection
- Results
- Empirical Testing of the Hypotheses
- Conclusions and Managerial Implications
- References
- Ant Colony Optimization for Solving the Vehicle Routing Problem with Delivery Preferences
- Introduction
- Setting the Problem
- HSACS: Solving the VRPHSTW Using an Ant Colony System
- Computational Study
- Conclusions
- References
- Metaheuristic for the Multiple Level Warehouse Layout Problem
- Introduction
- Literature Review
- Mathematical Formulation
- Ant Colony Optimization (ACO)
- ACO Application to MLWLP
- Computational Tests
- Conclusions and Future Research
- References
- Study of the Reaction of Dissolution of Sphalerite Using the Model of Pitzer-Variation in the Activity Coefficient of Zinc Sulfate
- Introduction
- Thermodynamic Model
- Optimization of Model Parameters
- Results and Discussion
- Conclusions
- Nomenclature
- References
- Application of Geometric Explicit Runge-Kutta Methods to Pharmacokinetic Models
- Introduction
- A Brief Overview of Explicit Runge-Kutta Methods
- Geometric Explicit Runge-Kutta (GERK) Method and Its Derivation
- Application of GERK to Pharmacokinetic Models
- Concluding Remarks and Future Research
- References
- Frequency Tuning Algorithm for Loudspeaker Driven Thermoacoustic Refrigerator Optimization
- Introduction
- Experimental Study of TAR Amplitude-Frequency Response by Acoustic Pressure
- The Real-Time Amplitude-Frequency Response Determination Method
- Synthesis of TAR Acoustic Pressure Nonlinear Mathematical Models
- Analysis of the Synthesized Mathematical Models Adequacy
- Frequency Tuning Algorithm for Parametric Optimization of Loudspeaker Driven TAR
- Conclusions
- References
- Author Index
