Modelling Potential Malaria Spread in Germany by Use of Climate Change Projections
A Risk Assessment Approach Coupling Epidemiologic and Geostatistical Measures
1st Edition
Published on 14. December 2013
VIII, 58 pages
978-3-319-03823-0 (ISBN)
Description
This book investigates the spatial distribution of potential temperature-driven malaria transmissions, using the basic reproduction rate (R0) to model the reproduction of the malaria pathogen Plasmodium vivax. The authors mapped areas at risk of an outbreak of tertian malaria in the federal state of Lower Saxony (pre-study) and for whole Germany (main-study) by means of geostatistics for past (1947-2007) and future periods. Projections based on predicted monthly mean air temperature data derived from the IPCC and regionally discriminated by two regional climate models (REMO, WettReg) for the countrywide study.
More details
Series
Language
English
Place of publication
Cham
Switzerland
Publishing group
Springer International Publishing
Target group
Primary & secondary/elementary & high school
Product notice
Reflowable
Illustrations
VIII, 58 p. 18 illus., 15 illus. in color.
File size
2,70 MB
ISBN-13
978-3-319-03823-0 (9783319038230)
DOI
10.1007/978-3-319-03823-0
Schweitzer Classification
Other editions
Additional editions
Winfried Schröder | Gunther Schmidt
Modelling Potential Malaria Spread in Germany by Use of Climate Change Projections
A Risk Assessment Approach Coupling Epidemiologic and Geostatistical Measures
Book
01/2014
Springer
€53.49
Shipment within 10-15 days
Content
1. Background and Goals.- 2. Case Study 1: Modelling Potential Transmission Gates of Malaria Tertiana in Lower Saxony.- 3. Case Study 2: Modelling Potential Transmission Gates of Malaria Tertiana in Germany.- 4. Conclusions and Outlook.
