Modelling Potential Malaria Spread in Germany by Use of Climate Change Projections
A Risk Assessment Approach Coupling Epidemiologic and Geostatistical Measures
Published on 8. January 2014
Book
Paperback/Softback
VIII, 58 pages
978-3-319-03822-3 (ISBN)
Description
This book investigates the spatial distribution of potential temperature-driven malaria transmissions, using the basic reproduction rate (R0) to model the reproduction of the malaria pathogen Plasmodium vivax. The authors mapped areas at risk of an outbreak of tertian malaria in the federal state of Lower Saxony (pre-study) and for whole Germany (main-study) by means of geostatistics for past (1947-2007) and future periods. Projections based on predicted monthly mean air temperature data derived from the IPCC and regionally discriminated by two regional climate models (REMO, WettReg) for the countrywide study.
More details
Series
Edition
2014 ed.
Language
English
Place of publication
Cham
Switzerland
Publishing group
Springer International Publishing
Target group
Primary & secondary/elementary & high school
Graduate
Illustrations
3 s/w Abbildungen, 15 farbige Abbildungen
VIII, 58 p. 18 illus., 15 illus. in color.
Dimensions
Height: 235 mm
Width: 155 mm
Thickness: 5 mm
Weight
119 gr
ISBN-13
978-3-319-03822-3 (9783319038223)
DOI
10.1007/978-3-319-03823-0
Schweitzer Classification
Other editions
Additional editions
Winfried Schröder | Gunther Schmidt
Modelling Potential Malaria Spread in Germany by Use of Climate Change Projections
A Risk Assessment Approach Coupling Epidemiologic and Geostatistical Measures
E-Book
12/2013
1st Edition
Springer
€53.49
Available for download
Persons
Angela Schlutow was Senior Researcher at the Federal Environment Agency, Germany. She holds a diploma in agricultural engineering and a diploma in ecology and environmental protection. As a habilitated lecturer, she taught landscape ecology at universities in Berlin, Greifswald and Rostock.
Winfried Schröder holds the Chair of Landscape Ecology at the University of Vechta. He was awarded his doctorate in 1989 and habilitated in 1997. His scientific focus is on the environmental monitoring of genetically modified organisms, chemical substances (metals and nitrogen) and microplastics. Winfried Schröder has given several hundred lectures and published scientific papers on the empirical methodology and multivariate and geostatistical analyses of a large number of projects in these research areas.
Content
1. Background and Goals.- 2. Case Study 1: Modelling Potential Transmission Gates of Malaria Tertiana in Lower Saxony.- 3. Case Study 2: Modelling Potential Transmission Gates of Malaria Tertiana in Germany.- 4. Conclusions and Outlook.