Public Policy in an Uncertain World
Analysis and Decisions
1st Edition
Published on 19. February 2013
216 pages
978-0-674-06754-7 (ISBN)
Description
Manski argues that public policy is based on untrustworthy analysis. Failing to account for uncertainty in an uncertain world, policy analysis routinely misleads policy makers with expressions of certitude. Manski critiques the status quo and offers an innovation to improve both how policy research is conducted and how it is used by policy makers.
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Book
02/2013
Harvard University Press
€75.65
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Person
Charles F. Manski is Board of Trustees Professor of Economics at Northwestern University.
Content
- Intro
- Contents
- Preface
- Introduction
- I. Policy Analysis
- 1. Policy Analysis with Incredible Certitude
- 2. Predicting Policy Outcomes
- 3. Predicting Behavior
- II. Policy Decisions
- 4. Planning with Partial Knowledge
- 5. Diversified Treatment Choice
- 6. Policy Analysis and Decisions
- Appendix A: Derivations for Criteria to Treat X-Pox
- Appendix B: The Minimax- Regret Allocation to a Status Quo Treatment and an Innovation
- Appendix C: Treatment Choice with Partial Knowledge of Response to Both Treatments
- References
- Index
