
The Future Population of the World
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Content
Foreword
Preface
Introduction
Contributors
Part I: Why Another Set of Global Population Projections?
1. Long-range Global Population Projections:
Lessons Learned
Tomas Frejka
2. Alternative Approaches to Population Projection
Wolfgang Lutz, Joshua R Goldstein, Christopher Prinz
Part II: Future Fertility in Developing Countries
3. A Regional Review of Fertility Trends in Developing Countries: 1960 to 1995
John Cleland
4. Reproductive Preferences and Future Fertility in Developing Countries
Charles F West08
5. Population Policies and Family-Planning in Southeast Asia
Mercedes B Conception
6. Fertility in China: Past, Present, Prospects
Grifith Feeney
Part III: Future Mortality in Developing Countries
7. Mortality Trends in Developing Countries: A Survey
Birgitta Bucht
8. Mortality in Sub-Saharan Africa: Trends and Prospects
Michel Garenne
9. Global Trends in AIDS Mortality
John Bongaarts
10. How Many People Can Be Fed on Earth?
Gerhard h' Heilig
Part IV: Future Fertility and Mortality in Industrialized Countries 251
11. Future Reproductive Behavior in Industrialized Countries
Wolfgang Lutz
12. The Future of Mortality at Older Ages in Developed Countries
James W Vaupel and Hans Lundstrom
Part V: The Future of Intercontinental Migration
13. Migration to and from Developing Regions: A Review of Past Trends
Hania Zlotnik
14. Spatial and Economic Factors in Future South-North Migration
Sture 0berg
Part VI: Projections
15. World Population Scenarios for the 21st Century
Wolfgang Lutz, Warren Sanderson, Sergei Scherbov, Anne Goujon
16. Probabilistic Population Projections Based on Expert Opinion
Wolfgang Lutz, Warren Sanderson, Sergei Scherbov
17. Epilogue: Dilemmas in Population Stabilization
Wolfgang Lutz
Appendix Tables
References
Index
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