
War and Punishment
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Democracies, according to Goemans, will prefer to withdraw quickly from a war they are not winning in order to appease the populace. Autocracies will do likewise so as not to be overthrown by their internal enemies. Mixed regimes, which are made up of several competing groups and which exclude a substantial proportion of the people from access to power, will likely see little risk in continuing a losing war in the hope of turning the tide. Goemans explores the conditions and the reasoning behind this "gamble for resurrection" as well as other strategies, using rational choice theory, statistical analysis, and detailed case studies of Germany, Britain, France, and Russia during World War I. In so doing, he offers a new perspective of the Great War that integrates domestic politics, international politics, and battlefield developments.
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Content
Acknowlegments ix
Chapter One: Introduction 3
Chapter Two: A Theory of War Termination 19
Chapter Three: Large N: The Fate of Leaders and the Diration of War 53
Chapter Four: Germany 72
Chapter Five: Russia 122
Chapter Six: France 134
Chapter Seven: Great Britain 181
Chapter Eight: The Termination of the First World War, I: 1914-1917 232
Chapter Nine: The Termination of the First World War, II: 1918 270
Chapter Ten: Conclusion 310
Bibliography 325
Index 351
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