Your search for Malte Knüppel

Forecast uncertainty, disagreement, and the linear pool

Non-Normalities of the Business Cycle

Assessing the uncertainty in central banks' inflation outlooks

Approximating fixed-horizon forecasts using fixed-event forecasts

How far can we forecast?

Forecast-error-based estimation of forecast uncertainty when the horizon is increased

The empirical (ir)relevance of the interest rate assumption for central bank forecasts

Evaluating the calibration of multi-step-ahead density forecasts using raw moments

Evaluating macroeconomic risk forecasts

How informative are central bank assessments of macroeconomic risks?

Efficient estimation of forecast uncertainty based on recent forecast errors

Empirical simultaneous confidence regions for path-forecasts

Quantifying risk and uncertainty in macroeconomic forecasts

Can capacity constraints explain asymmetries of the business cycle?

How informative are macroeconomic risk forecasts?

Testing for business cycle asymmetries based on autoregressions with a Markov-switching intercept