Foresight in Organizations
Methods and Tools
Published on 13. January 2016
268 pages
978-1-317-54315-2 (ISBN)
Description
Foresight for Organizations will acquaint the reader with various foresight methods and tools, to show the reader how these methods are used, what the pitfalls are and how the methods relate to each other. This innovative volume offers the reader the ability to carry out a study of the future by him- or herself and apply the results in a decision-making strategy process.
The author addresses the following methods: scenarios, trend analysis, the Delphi method, quantitative trend extrapolation, technology assessment, backcasting and roadmapping; the most relevant and popular methods that also cover the range of approaches from predictive, via normative to explorative. Every chapter also contains references to additional literature about the methods being discussed.
This book is essential reading for researchers, academics and students in the areas of Community Development, Sociology of organizations, Change management, Social entrepreneurship, Sustainable development and participative planning.
The author addresses the following methods: scenarios, trend analysis, the Delphi method, quantitative trend extrapolation, technology assessment, backcasting and roadmapping; the most relevant and popular methods that also cover the range of approaches from predictive, via normative to explorative. Every chapter also contains references to additional literature about the methods being discussed.
This book is essential reading for researchers, academics and students in the areas of Community Development, Sociology of organizations, Change management, Social entrepreneurship, Sustainable development and participative planning.
More details
Series
Language
English
Place of publication
London
United Kingdom
Publishing group
Taylor & Francis Ltd
Target group
College/higher education
Illustrations
17 Tables, black and white; 64 Line drawings, black and white; 34 Halftones, black and white; 98 Illustrations, black and white
File size
6,51 MB
ISBN-13
978-1-317-54315-2 (9781317543152)
Copyright in bibliographic data and cover images is held by Nielsen Book Services Limited or by the publishers or by their respective licensors: all rights reserved.
Schweitzer Classification
Other editions
Additional editions
Book
05/2016
1st Edition
Routledge
€84.20
Shipment within 10-20 days
Book
01/2016
1st Edition
Routledge
€231.90
Shipment within 10-20 days
Person
Patrick van der Duin is Assistant Professor at Delft University of Technology, Faculty of Technology, Policy and Management, the Netherlands, and Associate Professor of Futures Research and Trendwatching at Fontys Academy for Creative Industries, the Netherlands.
Content
1. Introduction 2. Developing Scenarios 3. Trend Analysis 4. The Delphi Method 5. Technological Forecasting 6. Technology Assessment 7. Backcasting 8. Roadmapping 9. Interviews 10. Workshops 11. The Future Recycled: Meta-analysis for foresight 12. The Acceleration Method 13. Creativity in Foresight. Seven exercises 14. Foresight and Creativity 15. Stakeholder Analysis 16. Causal Loop Diagramming 17. Beyond Visualization: Experiencing the future
