Social Computing, Behavioral-Cultural Modeling and Prediction

Name: Social Computing, Behavioral-Cultural Modeling and Prediction | 5th International Conference, SBP 2012, College Park, MD, USA, April 3-5, 2012, Proceedings
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5th International Conference, SBP 2012, College Park, MD, USA, April 3-5, 2012, Proceedings

Shanchieh Jay Yang Ariel M. Greenberg Mica Endsley(Editor)

Springer (Publisher)

Published on 20. March 2012

XIV, 366 pages

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978-3-642-29047-3 (ISBN)

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Content

Title
Preface
Organization
Table of Contents
Consensus under Constraints: Modeling the Great English Vowel Shift
Introduction
The Great Vowel Shift
A Model of Population Wide Language Change
Simulation Results
Discussion
Conclusions and Future Work
References
A Study of Informational Support Exchanges in MedHelp Alcoholism Community
Introduction
Methods
Results
Discussion
Conclusion
References
Real-World Behavior Analysis through a Social Media Lens
Introduction
Methodology
Observations
Discussion
Conclusions and Future Work
References
The Mythology of Game Theory
The Mythology of Non-cooperative Games
Experimental Design
Inconsistent Behavior within and Across Games
Are Beliefs and Behavior Consistent?
Discussion
References
Crowdsourced Cyber Defense: Lessons from a Large-Scale, Game-Based Approach to Threat Identification on a Live Network
Introduction
FLUXHUNTER: A Game for Detecting Fast-Flux Domains
Results
Data Collection
Fast-Flux Detection Performance: Individuals
Fast-Flux Detection Performance: The Crowd
Conclusions and Future Work
References
How Many Makes a Crowd? On the Evolution of Learning as a Factor of Community Coverage
Introduction
Scientific Background
Mobile Phones as Social Sensors
Individual Based Data Collection
Learning and Prediction of Social and Individual Information
Analysis and Results
Conclusion
References
Cultural Consensus Theory: Aggregating Signed Graphs under a Balance Constraint
Introduction
A CCT Model for Balanced Signed Graphs
Bayesian Inference for the Model
Performance of the Model
Simulated Data
Real Data
Conclusion
References
Using Organizational Similarity to Identify Statistical Interactions for Improving Situational Awareness of CBRN Activities
Introduction
Background
Generalized Interaction Detection
Data and Baseline Model
Interaction Detection: Application
Discussion
References
Opinion Dynamics in Gendered Social Networks: An Examination of Female Engagement Teams in Afghanistan
Introduction
Origin of Structure in Gendered Social Networks
The Existence of Gendered Networks in Afghan Communities
The Opinion Dynamics Model
Network Structures
Experimental Results
Discussion
References
Socio-cultural Evolution of Opinion Dynamics in Networked Societies
Introduction
The Framework for Discrete Choice Modeling (DCM)
Normative Perspective Modeled as a Probabilistic Finite State Automata (PFSA)
Rewards, Transition Costs and Probabilities
Measure of Attractiveness of the States
Influence Model
Progression of the Social Dynamics
Simulation Scenarios and Results
Effect of Global Events
Effect of an Influence Group
Conclusion and Future Work
References
A Comparative Study of Smoking Cessation Intervention Programs on Social Media
Introduction
Data Collection and Description
Methods
Results and Discussion
Comparing Quit Status of Users in the Two Channels
Centrality Analysis of Social Networks
Core/Periphery Structure of Social Networks
Conclusion
References
Trends Prediction Using Social Diffusion Models
Introduction
Related Work
Trend Prediction in Social Networks
Experimental Results
Conclusions and Future Work
References
Towards Democratic Group Detection in Complex Networks
Introduction
Related Work
Networks and Communities
The Algorithm
Experiments
Evaluation
Case Study
Conclusion and Future Works
References
Addiction Dynamics May Explain the SlowDecline of Smoking Prevalence
Introduction
Modeling the Smoking Epidemic
The Structured Resistance Model
Simulations
Conclusion
References
Love All, Trust a Few: Link Prediction for Trust and Psycho-social Factors in MMOs
Introduction
Background
A Psycho-Social Framework for Link Prediction
Experiments
Interpretation and Methodological Issues
Conclusion
References
Effect of In/Out-Degree Correlation on Influence Degree of Two Contrasting Information Diffusion Models
Introduction
Diffusion Models
Analysis of Local Influence Degree
Experiments
Rewiring Strategies
Datasets and Network Structure
Experimental Results
Conclusion
References
A Computer-in-the-Loop Approach for Detecting Bullies in the Classroom
Introduction
Related Work
Game Design
Correlating Game Behaviors with Questionnaire Data
Data Collected through Surveys
Data from the Game
Observations of Informative Behavior
Conclusions and Future Work
References
Beyond Validation: Alternative Uses and Associated Assessments of Goodness for Computational Social Models
Introduction
Validation versus Calibration
Validation and Calibration in Environmental Science
Validation in Physics
The Relationship of Validity to the User
Modeling 'Wicked' Problems
Implications for Models
Conclusions
References
Predicting Recent Links in FOAF Networks
Introduction
Related Work
RSS and Recency Factor
Experiments
Experiment Setup
Experimental Results
Discussion and Future Work
References
Mapping the Twitterverse in the Developing World: An Analysis of Social Media Use in Nigeria
Introduction
Data Collection
Identifying User Locations
Spatial Distribution of Users
Mobile Usage
Ethnicity of Twitter Users
Conclusion
References
Modeling Infection with Multi-agent Dynamics
Introduction
Contagion in Social Evolution Experiment
Modeling Infection Dynamics
Experimental Result
Conclusions
References
Dynamic Multi-chain Graphical Model for Psychosocial and Behavioral Profiles in Childhood Obesity
Introduction
Multichain Hidden Markov Model
LA Health Data and Simulated Data Sets
Results of Data Analysis
Discussion and Conclusion
References
The Imperative for Social Competency Prediction
Introduction
Improving Screening
Social Skills Assessment
The Need for Predictive Ability
Tool Development
Moving beyond Existing Best Practices for Assessment of Social Skills
Designing and Developing Virtual Vignettes
Validating through Baseline Assessment and Follow-Up
Developing Clinical Guidance for Use by Clinical Staff
Summary
References
Partitioning Signed Bipartite Graphs for Classification of Individuals and Organizations
Introduction
Related Works
Problem Formulation
Computational Techniques
Optimal Solution for SBGPP
Move-Based Heuristics
Experimental Results and Discussions
US Congress Data [SENATE, REP]
Blog Data [BLOG]
Conclusion
References
Information and Attitude Diffusion in Networks
Introduction
Background
Individual Attitude Change
Selective Exposure of Information
Active Dissemination of Information
The Model Simulation
The Network
Spread of Information and Attitude
Results
Conclusions
References
Using Mixed-Mode Networks to Disentangle Multiple Sources of Social Influence
Introduction
Network Method of Modeling Social Influence
Network Exposure Model
Affiliation Exposure Model
Model Decomposition
Modeling Network Influence on Behavior
Disentangling Some Empirical Applications
Conclusion
References
Implicit Group Membership Detection in Online Text: Analysis and Applications
Introduction
Background and Motivation
Related Work
Communication Modeling Research Issues
Feature Extraction
Experimental Analysis
Data Sets
Performance Metrics
Machine Learning Experimentation
Conclusion
References
Automatic Crime Prediction Using Events Extracted from Twitter Posts
Introduction
Related Work
Crime Mapping and Prediction
Use of Social Media for Prediction
Data Collection and Methods
Data Collection
Methods
Evaluation and Results
Conclusions and Future Work
References
Dynamic, Covert Network Simulation
Introduction
Model Description
Member Attributes
Network Attributes
Node Update Process
Connections
Operations
Results
Conclusion
References
Computing the Value of a Crowd
Introduction
The Significance of Engagement in Crowd Networks
The Value of a Crowd
Entropy of a Network
Entropy Maximization Algorithm
Analysis of the Structural Properties
Discussion
Conclusion
References
Mnemonic Convergence: From Empirical Data to Large-Scale Dynamics
Introduction
The Empirical Work Underlying the Two Processes
Agent Model
Model Details and Formalism
Application of the Model
Results
General Discussion
References
Sizing Strategies in Scarce Environments
Introduction
Model Formation
Scarcity
Growth
Model Configuration
Measuring Market Share
Model Results
Entities' Response to Scarcity and Recovery
An Environment 50% Scarce
An Environment 90% Scarce
Conclusion
References
Applying System Dynamics to Military Operations
Introduction
Complexity, Computers, and Decision Support
Modeling, Simulation, and System Dynamics
A Complex Social Systems Example
Conclusion
References
Lessons Learned in Using Social Media for Disaster Relief - ASU Crisis Response Game
Introduction
Related Work
ASU Crisis Response Game
Game Components
Game Exercise and Lessons Learned
Social Media Data Collection
Lessons Learned
Conclusions
References
Intergroup Prisoner's Dilemma with Intragroup Power Dynamics and Individual Power Drive
Introduction
Background
Conceptual Design of IPD^3
The Intergroup Game
The Intragroup Game
The Intraindividual Game
Design of IPD^3 as an Experimental Paradigm
The IPD^3 Interface
The Other Player's Strategies
The Learning Protocol
Simulation and Prediction
Conclusion
References
Modeling South African Service Protests Using the National Operational Environment Model
Introduction
Background
Model Specification
Service Protests in Gauteng Province, South Africa 2004-2010
Modeling Considerations
Basic Grid Configuration
Modifications to the Model
Estimation of Model Parameters
Results
Conclusion
References
Modeling and Estimating Individual and Population Obesity Dynamics
Motivation and Background
Analysis and Results
Modeling Body Weight Dynamics
Model Calibration and Parameter Estimation
Initial Results
Discussion and Limitations
References
Creating Interaction Environments: Defining a Two-Sided Market Model of the Development and Dominance of Platforms
Introduction
Platforms as Two-Sided Markets
Model Components and Behavior
Model of Producer and Consumer Behavior
Model of Operator Behavior
Model Analysis and Development Status
References
The Impact of Attitude Resolve on Population Wide Attitude Change
Introduction
Theoretical Basis
Model Description
Experimental Results
Parameterizations
Experiment 1: Number of Advocates
Experiment 2: Position of Advocates
Discussion
Experiment 1
Experiment 2
Conclusion and Future Work
Conclusion
Future Work
References
The Impact of Network Structure on the Perturbation Dynamics of a Multi-agent Economic Model
Introduction
Model Formulation
Structural Dynamics of Simple Networks
Fully Connected Networks
Hub Networks
Circular Networks
Combined Networks
Conclusion
References
Robust Recommendations Using Regularized Link Analysis of Browsing Behavior Graphs
Introduction
Co-HITS Algorithm
Regularized Link Analysis of Browsing Behavior Graphs
Experiments
Data Sets
Evaluation Metrics
Experimental Settings
Experimental Results
Conclusions
References
Whodunit? Collective Trust in Virtual Interactions
Introduction
Problem Statements
Theoretical Framework
Individual and Collective Trust
Trustworthiness Attribution
Online Gaming as Research Method
Research Design
Data Collection
Data Analysis
Results and Findings
Conclusions, Contributions and Future Works
References
Towards Building and Analyzing a Social Network of Acknowledgments in Scientific and Academic Documents
Introduction
Related Work
Dataset
Acknowledgments Extraction
Named Entity Extraction
Resulting Dataset
Analyzing the Network
Clustering Coefficients
Degree Distribution
Conclusions and Future work
References
Author Index

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Social Computing, Behavioral-Cultural Modeling and Prediction

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