
Cost and Value Management in Projects
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Project manager's guide to achieving cost efficiency and value optimization--thoroughly updated with new cases, examples, and problem sets
The newly revised and updated Second Edition of Cost and Value Management in Projects provides project managers with a thorough understanding of the various dimensions of cost and value in projects, along with the factors that impact them and the managerial approaches for achieving cost efficiency and value optimization. Whereas most cost management books discuss the topic from a tactical perspective, such as through the use of simple budgeting or Earned Value Analysis, this Second Edition addresses cost from a strategic perspective, examining project management decision areas that have the potential to enhance value and providing an integrated framework for managing cost.
The Second Edition includes updates to key topic areas such as project benefits realization, updated end-of-chapter exercises such as discussion questions and problem sets, updated case studies, and new spreadsheet analytic techniques and examples.
Written by two highly qualified authors with significant experience in the field, Cost and Value Management in Projects includes information on:
* Value management through value planning, engineering, and analysis from the perspective of projects, and best practices on how to avoid common pitfalls in managing cost and value
* Organization strategy and project selection, organization structure and culture, project definition (and contracts), and estimating project times and cost
* Developing project plans and schedules, managing risk, scheduling resources and cost, reducing project duration, leadership, performance measurement, and project closure
* Attainment of value in complex environmental settings and benefits of effective project management
Cost and Value Management in Projects is an essential resource on the subject for stakeholders at all corporate and government levels, including executives measuring performance, middle level corporate managers, project and team managers, engineers, project team members, and business consultants, along with students in related programs of study.
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Persons
Ray R. Venkataraman, PhD, is Professor and Chair of Project and Supply Chain Management in the Black School of Business at Penn State Erie.
Jeffrey K. Pinto, PhD, is the Andrew Morrow and Elizabeth Lee Black Chair in Management of Technology in the Black School of Business at Penn State Erie.
Together and individually, Dr. Venkataraman and Dr. Pinto are the authors of numerous publications in top-tier Operations Management and Project Management Journals, as well as authors or editors of some 30 books.
Content
About the Authors xiii
Introduction to the Second Edition xv
1 Introduction to the Challenge of Cost and Value Management in Projects 1
1.1 Importance of Cost and Value Management in Projects 2
1.2 Keys to Effective Project Cost Management 7
1.3 Essential Features of Project Value Management 9
1.4 Organization of the Book 11
Chapter Summary 20
References 21
2 Project Needs Assessment, Concept Development, and Planning 23
2.1 Needs Identification 25
2.2 Conceptual Development 29
2.3 Project Feasibility 32
2.3.1 Five Areas of Project Feasibility 32
2.3.2 Benefits of Conducting a Project Feasibility Study 33
2.4 The Statement of Work 34
2.5 Project Planning 37
2.6 Project Scope Definition 38
2.6.1 Purpose of the Scope Definition Document 38
2.6.2 Elements of the Scope Definition Document 39
2.6.3 Project Scope Changes 42
2.7 Work Breakdown Structure 43
2.7.1 Types of Work Breakdown Structures 44
2.7.2 Work Breakdown Structure Development 46
2.7.3 Coding of Work Breakdown Structures 49
2.7.4 Integrating the WBS and the Organization 49
2.7.5 Guidelines for Developing a Work Breakdown Structure 52
Chapter Summary 53
Discussion and Review Questions 53
References 53
3 Cost Estimation 55
3.1 Importance of Cost Estimation 58
3.2 Problems of Cost Estimation 60
3.3 Sources and Categories of Project Costs 64
3.4 Cost Estimating Methods 66
3.5 Cost Estimation Process 75
3.5.1 Creating the Detailed Estimate 76
3.6 Allowances for Contingencies in Cost Estimation 78
3.7 The Use of Learning Curves in Cost Estimation 81
Chapter Summary 85
Discussion and Review Questions 86
References 87
3A Appendix to Chapter 3: Forecasting Methods for Cost and Value Management 89
3A.1 Categories of Forecasting in Project Management 90
3A.2 Forecasting Methods for Projects 91
3A.3 Time Series Analysis 91
3A.4 Linear Regression Analysis 92
3A.4.1 Evaluating the "Fit" of the Regression Line 96
3A.4.2 Limitations in Forecasting Using Linear Regression 99
3A.4 Forecasting the Project End Conditions 102
3A.5 S- Curve Forecasting 102
3A.6 Technological Forecasting 109
Chapter Summary 110
Discussion and Review Questions 111
References 112
4 Project Budgeting 113
4.1 Issues in Project Budgeting 114
4.2 Developing a Project Budget 115
4.2.1 Work Breakdown Structure (WBS) 117
4.2.2 Issues in Creating a Project Budget 117
4.3 Approaches to Developing a Project Budget 118
4.3.1 Top- down Budgeting 118
4.3.2 Bottom- up Budgeting 120
4.3.3 Preparing the Project Budget 123
4.4 Activity- based Costing 124
4.4.1 Steps in Activity- based Costing 124
4.4.2 Cost Drivers in Activity- based Costing 124
4.4.3 Sample Project Budget 1 125
4.4.4 Sample Project Budget 2 125
4.5 Program Budgeting 126
4.5.1 Time- phased Budgets 127
4.5.2 Tracking Chart 127
4.6 Developing a Project Contingency Budget 128
4.6.1 Allocation of Contingency Funds 129
4.6.2 Drawbacks of Contingency Funding 130
4.6.3 Advantages of Contingency Funding 131
4.7 Issues in Budget Development 132
4.8 Crashing the Project: Budget Effects 132
4.8.1 Crashing Project Activities- Decision Making 133
Chapter Summary 138
Discussion and Review Questions 138
References 138
5 Project Cost Control 141
5.1 Overview of the Project Evaluation and Control System 142
5.1.1 Project Control Process 142
5.2 Integrating Cost and Time in Monitoring Project Performance: The S- Curve 144
5.3 Earned Value Management 148
5.4 Earned Value Management Model 149
5.5 Fundamentals of Earned Value 151
5.6 EVM Terminology 152
5.7 Relevancy of Earned Value Management 153
5.8 Conducting an Earned Value Analysis 154
5.9 Performing an Earned Value Assessment 156
5.10 Managing a Portfolio of Projects with Earned Value Management 160
5.11 Important Issues in the Effective Use of Earned Value Management 161
5.12 Benefits of EVM 164
5.13 EVM Using Microsoft Project 165
5.13.1 Step 1. Enter Resources in the Resource Sheet View 165
5.13.2 Step 2. Assign Resources to Tasks 166
5.13.3 Step 3. Save the Project Baseline 168
5.13.4 Step 4. Record Project Actuals 169
5.13.5 Step 5. Review the EVA View and Reports 169
5.13.6 Step 6. Calculate Schedule Performance and Cost Performance indices 172
5.13.7 Summary: Earned Value Management in Six Easy Steps 173
Chapter Summary 173
Discussion and Review Questions 174
References 174
6 Cash Flow Management 177
6.1 The Concept of Cash Flow 178
6.2 Cash Flow and the Worth of Projects 183
6.2.1 The Time Value of Money, and Techniques for Determining It 184
6.2.2 Applying Discounting to Project Cash Flow 185
6.3 Payment Arrangements 190
6.3.1 Cost- Reimbursable Arrangements 191
6.3.2 Payment Plans 192
6.3.3 Claims and Variations 194
6.3.4 Cost Variation Due to Inflation and Exchange Rate Fluctuation 197
6.3.5 Price Incentives 198
6.3.6 Retentions 199
Chapter Summary 201
Discussion and Review Questions 201
References 202
7 Financial Management in Projects 203
7.1 Project Financial Management 204
7.2 Project Accounting 205
7.3 Financing of Projects Versus Project Finance 206
7.4 Principles of Financing Projects 207
7.5 Types and Sources of Finance 208
7.6 Sources of Finance 210
7.7 Cost of Financing 211
7.8 Project Finance 212
7.9 The Process of Project Financial Management 214
7.9.1 Conducting Feasibility Studies 214
7.9.2 Planning the Project Finance 214
7.9.3 Arranging the Financial Package 215
7.9.4 Controlling the Financial Package 215
7.9.5 Controlling Financial Risk 216
7.9.6 Options Models 217
Chapter Summary 219
Discussion and Review Questions 220
References 220
8 Value Management 223
8.1 Concept of Value 224
8.2 Dimensions and Measures of Value 228
8.3 Overview of Value Management 229
8.3.1 Definition 230
8.3.2 Scope 230
8.3.3 Key Principles of VM 230
8.3.4 Key Attributes of VM 231
8.4 Value Management Terms 231
8.5 Need for Value Management in Projects 233
8.6 The Value Management Approach 234
8.6.1 Cross- functional Framework 234
8.6.2 Use of Functions 235
8.6.3 Structured Decision Process 235
8.7 The VM Process 235
8.8 Benefits of Value Management 237
8.9 Other VM Requirements 238
8.10 Value Management Reviews 239
8.11 Relationship Between Project Value and Risk 243
8.12 Value Management as an Aid to Risk Assessment 245
8.13 An Example of How VM and Risk Management Interrelate 246
8.14 Project Benefits Management 248
Chapter Summary 251
Discussion and Review Questions 251
References 252
9 Change Control and Configuration Management 255
9.1 Causes of Changes 256
9.2 Influence of Changes 262
9.3 Configuration Management 262
9.4 Configuration Management Standards 264
9.5 The CM Process 265
9.6 Role and Benefits of Configuration Management in Projects 267
9.7 Control of Changes 270
9.8 Change Control Procedure and Configuration Control 272
9.9 Responsibility for the Control of Changes 275
9.10 Crisis Management 276
9.11 An Example of Configuration Management 282
Chapter Summary 282
Discussion and Review Questions 283
References 283
10 Supply Chain Management 285
10.1 What Is Supply Chain Management? 286
10.2 The Need to Manage Supply Chains 288
10.3 SCM Benefits 289
10.4 Critical Areas of SCM 290
10.4.1 Customers 290
10.4.2 Suppliers 290
10.4.3 Design and Operations 291
10.4.4 Logistics 291
10.4.5 Inventory 292
10.5 SCM Issues in Project Management 292
10.6 Value Drivers in Project Supply Chain Management 294
10.7 Optimizing Value in Project Supply Chains 297
10.7.1 Total Quality Management 297
10.7.2 Choosing the Right Supply Chain 299
10.8 Project Supply Chain Process Framework 299
10.8.1 Procurement 299
10.8.2 Conversion 302
10.8.3 Delivery 303
10.9 Integrating the Supply Chain 303
10.10 Performance Metrics in Project Supply Chain Management 305
10.11 Project Supply Chain Metrics and the Supply Chain Operations Reference (SCOR) Model 308
10.12 Future Issues in Project Supply Chain Management 310
Chapter Summary 313
Discussion and Review Questions 313
References 314
11 Quality Management in Projects 317
11.1 Definition of Quality in Projects 318
11.2 Elements of Project Quality 319
11.2.1 The Project's Product 320
11.2.2 Management Processes 326
11.2.3 Quality Planning 326
11.2.4 Quality Assurance (QA) 327
11.2.5 Quality Control 329
11.2.6 Corporate Culture 330
11.3 Total Quality Management in Projects 330
11.4 Root Cause Analysis 332
11.5 Quality Management System 333
11.6 Quality Management Methods for a Project Organization 334
11.6.1 The Six Sigma Methodology 337
11.6.2 The Six Sigma Model for Projects 338
11.6.3 Application of Six Sigma in Software Project Management 339
11.7 Quality Standards for Projects 340
Chapter Summary 342
Discussion and Review Questions 342
References 343
12 Integrating Cost and Value in Projects 345
12.1 The Project Value Chain 346
12.2 Project Value Chain Analysis 348
12.3 Sources and Strategies for Integrating Cost and Value in Projects 350
12.3.1 The Project's Inbound Supply Chain 350
12.3.2 Project Design 351
12.3.3 Project Development 356
12.3.4 Project Delivery/Implementation 358
12.3.5 Costs of the Project Life Cycle Employing the LCC Model 362
12.4 Integrated Value and Risk Management 363
12.5 The Project Cost and Value Integration Process 367
Chapter Summary 369
Discussion and Review Questions 370
References 370
Index 373
Chapter 1
Introduction to the Challenge of Cost and Value Management in Projects
Learning Objectives
After studying this chapter, you should be able to:
- Explain the challenges of cost and value management in projects.
- Describe the importance of cost and value management in projects.
- Identify the key elements of effective project cost management.
- Describe the essential features of effective value management in projects.
The past 40 years have witnessed a dramatic increase in the number and variety of organizations engaged in project-based work. In addition to "traditional" project-oriented industries, like construction, aerospace, and pharmaceuticals, service industries as diverse as finance, utilities, telecommunications, and insurance have embraced project-based ventures.
This paradigm shift is due to growing recognition that projects and their effective management can provide organizations with a significant competitive edge through cost reduction, enhanced responsiveness, and overall value to customers. Consequently, a number of organizations have adopted many of the well-known techniques of project management, and professional project management organizations have witnessed marked increases in membership.
Despite this enormous interest in projects and project management practices, success rates in many industries are at alarmingly low levels. In addition, bad news about high-profile projects continues to dominate the headlines-in both the public and private sectors. Consider these recent examples:
When it comes to cost overruns, Honolulu's new rapid transit system is in a league of its own.
When City and County of Honolulu leaders signed a funding agreement for the project in 2009, the rapid transit rail project was slated to cost some $5.12 billion. As of 2022, it's expected to cost more than $12.4 billion and faces an approximately $3.6 billion shortfall, according to recent Honolulu Authority for Rapid Transportation estimates. Officials who helped launch Honolulu rail more than a decade ago said the dramatic cost overruns that have plagued the project ever since construction started are worse than anything they've ever seen.1
Rome joins the growing list of cities refusing to host the Olympics.
Rome's mayor, Virginia Raggi, addressed the media in late 2016 to announce her decision to cancel the city's efforts to bid for the 2024 Olympic Games. Citing the huge increase in costs for recent Olympic Games, Ms. Raggi noted that in addition to Rome, a number of other cities worldwide (including Boston, Budapest, and Hamburg) had independently decided that the costs of hosting Olympics had become prohibitive and that the billions spent on the games could more profitably be used to fund social programs. Indeed, the final estimated price tag for the 2016 summer Olympics in Rio are estimated to have cost $14 billion, which represents a 352% cost overrun, while many of the sites created for the Games (such as the aquatic center) have since been abandoned.2
Clearly, something is going wrong.
1.1 IMPORTANCE OF COST AND VALUE MANAGEMENT IN PROJECTS
The key features that define project success are twofold: managing costs to achieve efficiencies, and creating and enhancing value. These two elements enable project stakeholders to understand the activities and resources required to meet project goals, as well as the expenditures necessary to complete the project to the satisfaction of the customer.
Unfortunately, in the field of project management today, significant cost and schedule overruns are the norm, rather than the exception. In fact, recent research that examined the success rates of information technology (IT) projects indicates that the majority of these projects neither met their cost objectives nor delivered the promised value. For example:
- IT project failure statistics show that 75% of respondents in the IT industry lack confidence in project success; i.e., they believe from the start that they are doomed to fail. Further, 55% of project managers cite budget overruns as the number-one reason for project failure. On the other hand, in organizations that develop robust project management practices, their projects are 2.5 times more likely to succeed than those of other organizations.3
- In a 2020 report on the current state of IT project implementation, the Standish Group reported on the results of over 50,000 in-depth software projects they had studied over the past five years. They identified 31% as successful, 50% as "challenged," and 19% as failed. These numbers have remained remarkably steady for year. At the same time, a report by the Consortium for Information and Software Quality (CISQ) reports that the total cost of poor software quality in the United States is approximately $2.1 trillion.4 In other words, these projects will meet neither their cost nor their value objectives.
Why do these problems persist, despite the fact that tools for cost efficiency and value enhancement are widely used, and their benefits are well understood? One key answer is the lack of an integrated cost and value management framework.
Before we explore this integration of cost and value, a brief discussion of their concepts in relationship to projects is worthwhile. Both require well-defined and structured management processes, commonly referred to as cost and value management. Project cost management focuses on issues such as cost estimation and budgeting, cash flow management, and cost control. On the other hand, the emphasis of value management is on optimizing project value-given cost, time, and resource constraints-while meeting performance requirements such as functionality and quality.
Cost and value management remains a critical but often underrepresented issue for a couple of reasons. First, in this book, we define value as the relationship between meeting or exceeding the expectations of project stakeholders, as well as the resources expended to meet or exceed those expectations. This definition clearly implies that project cost and value are inextricably linked, to the point where any attempt to enhance project value without a thorough understanding of its impact on cost and associated trade-offs is meaningless.
Second, project value is a multidimensional concept. Different project stakeholders with different vested interests have different perceptions about what constitutes value to them. For example, the expectations of top management often leave IT project teams scrambling to complete projects as quickly as possible. Internal customers, however, may request additional features that will delay completion. Each stakeholder sees value in the finished project; however, the measures they use to determine value can actually conflict. And yet, despite these differences, the one constant in any attempt to enhance project value is its cost ramifications.
The inability to clearly understand this complex relationship between project cost and value is one of the primary reasons why it is an underrepresented issue. The following case example illustrates this point.
Case Study: New York City's Second Avenue Subway-Two Miles Completed for Only $5 Billion Spent
Labeled "a catastrophe of cost control at every level" by the Wall Street Journal, the first 1.6-mile segment of the Second Avenue subway line in Manhattan-the first to open in decades-was celebrated as a feat of engineering and the ability of government to "accomplish big things for the people it serves," according to then-New York governor Cuomo. After ceremonies marking the completion of the opening stretch of the new subway line in late 2016, harsh commentary about the cost of the subway line became louder and harder to ignore. The line, so far consisting of just three stations and two miles of track (from 96th to 72nd Streets), is costing roughly $1.6 billion per kilometer, the most expensive train line ever built. When Phase 2, which extends the line north to Harlem and adds three additional stations, begins construction, it will cost even more: an estimated $2.2 billion per kilometer.
The Second Avenue subway project reinforces an already unenviable record. Researchers, studying rail projects, examined dozens of projects across 44 countries worldwide and found that the four most expensive rail projects, and six of the top 12, were American, with the Second Avenue project among them. Is this just a case of government agencies' willingness to spend public money without taking adequate care of how the funds are being used? Is there some other, more institutionally-rooted reason for the high price tag and poor cost control of the Second Avenue subway?
Trying to make sense of the skyrocketing cost of public works rail projects in the United States is complicated, but there are some reasons why we continue to see runaway budgets. Among the top four reasons for poor cost control are:
- Regulatory statutes and other hurdles drag out the permitting process and increase costs. Environmental and workplace safety regulations, while important, slow the construction process to a crawl. On the Second Avenue subway, for example, the federal government and New York's Metropolitan Transportation Authority (MTA) fought for more than a year about whether a fire-suppression system met longstanding federal "buy...
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