Determinants of Democratization
Explaining Regime Change in the World, 1972-2006
1st Edition
Published on 19. November 2010
978-0-511-91128-6 (ISBN)
Description
What are the determinants of democratization? Do the factors that move countries toward democracy also help them refrain from backsliding toward autocracy? This book attempts to answer these questions through a combination of a statistical analysis of social, economic, and international determinants of regime change in 165 countries around the world in 1972-2006, and case study work on nine episodes of democratization occurring in Argentina, Bolivia, Hungary, Nepal, Peru, the Philippines, South Africa, Turkey, and Uruguay. The findings suggest that democracy is promoted by long-term structural forces such as economic prosperity, but also by peaceful popular uprisings and the institutional setup of authoritarian regimes. In the short-run, however, elite actors may play a key role, particularly through the importance of intra-regime splits. Jan Teorell argues that these results have important repercussions both for current theories of democratization and for the international community's effort in developing policies for democracy promotion.
Reviews / Votes
'The most systematic and comprehensive analysis of democracy's Third Wave, integrating case studies and large-N cross-national comparisons. A major contribution to the field of democratization.' John Gerring, Boston University 'Determinants of Democratization is one of the most empirically ambitious, sweeping, and important books that has been written on democratization. It is a must read for all scholars who work on democratic and authoritarian regimes.' Scott Mainwaring, University of Notre Dame '... there is no doubt that Teorell's book makes a major contribution to the already crowded field of democratization studies. The theoretical and empirical ground covered is breath-taking and in their combination with high methodological sophistication and various conceptual innovations, such as the intriguing operationalization of pathway cases and the distinction between upturns and downturn, are outstanding. His book should be considered a must-read for democratization and multi-method scholars alike.' Acta PoliticaMore details
Language
English
Place of publication
Cambridge
United Kingdom
Publishing group
Cambridge University Press
Target group
Professional and scholarly
Illustrations
19 Tables, black and white; 12 Line drawings, black and white
File size
1,83 MB
ISBN-13
978-0-511-91128-6 (9780511911286)
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Schweitzer Classification
Other editions
Additional editions
Book
10/2010
Cambridge University Press
€39.20
Shipment within 15-20 days
Book
10/2010
Cambridge University Press
€143.00
Shipment within 15-20 days
Person
Jan Teorell is Associate Professor of Political Science at Lund University. His most recent publications have appeared in Studies in Comparative International Development, the European Journal of Political Research, the Journal of Democracy, Governance, and Political Research Quarterly.
Content
Introduction; 1. Explaining democratization; 2. The shadow of the past: social determinants; 3. The power of prosperity: economic determinants; 4. The impetus from abroad: international determinants; 5. The force from below: popular mobilization; 6. Exogenous shocks and authoritarian regime types: institutional contingency; 7. Conclusions; Appendix A. Data and variable definitions; Appendix B. Statistical model; Appendix C. Robustness tests; Appendix D. The pathway criterion.
