The Power of Polls?
A Cross-National Experimental Analysis of the Effects of Campaign Polls
Published on 22. September 2021
978-1-108-89049-6 (ISBN)
Description
Public opinion polls have become increasingly prominent during elections, but how they affect voting behaviour remains uncertain. In this work, we estimate the effects of poll exposure using an experimental design in which we randomly assign the availability of polls to participants in simulated election campaigns. We draw upon results from ten independent experiments conducted across six countries on four continents (Argentina, Australia, Canada, New Zealand, the United Kingdom, and the United States) to examine how polls affect the amount of information individuals seek and the votes that they cast. We further assess how poll effects differ according to individual-level factors, such as partisanship and political sophistication, and the content included in polls and how it is presented. Our work provides a comprehensive assessment of the power of polls and the implications for poll reporting in contemporary elections.
More details
Series
Language
English
Place of publication
Cambridge
United Kingdom
Illustrations
Worked examples or Exercises
File size
1,86 MB
ISBN-13
978-1-108-89049-6 (9781108890496)
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Other editions
Additional editions
Jason Roy | Shane P. Singh | Patrick Fournier
The Power of Polls?
A Cross-National Experimental Analysis of the Effects of Campaign Polls
Book
10/2021
Cambridge University Press
€26.60
Shipment within 15-20 days
Persons
Content
1. Do Polls Matter?; 2. Methodology and Assessment; 3. The Effects of Polls on the Search for Campaign Information; 4. The Effects of Polls on Vote Choice; 5. Conclusion.
