
Useless Arithmetic
Description
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Writing for the general, nonmathematician reader and using examples from throughout the environmental sciences, Pilkey and Pilkey-Jarvis show how unquestioned faith in mathematical models can blind us to the hard data and sound judgment of experienced scientific fieldwork. They begin with a riveting account of the extinction of the North Atlantic cod on the Grand Banks of Canada. Next they engage in a general discussion of the limitations of many models across a broad array of crucial environmental subjects.
The book offers fascinating case studies depicting how the seductiveness of quantitative models has led to unmanageable nuclear waste disposal practices, poisoned mining sites, unjustifiable faith in predicted sea level rise rates, bad predictions of future shoreline erosion rates, overoptimistic cost estimates of artificial beaches, and a host of other thorny problems. The authors demonstrate how many modelers have been reckless, employing fudge factors to assure "correct" answers and caring little if their models actually worked.
A timely and urgent book written in an engaging style, Useless Arithmetic evaluates the assumptions behind models, the nature of the field data, and the dialogue between modelers and their "customers."
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Content
- Intro
- Contents
- Preface
- CHAPTER ONE: Mathematical Fishing
- CHAPTER TWO: Mathematical Models: Escaping from Reality
- CHAPTER THREE: Yucca Mountain: a Million Years of Certainty
- CHAPTER FOUR: How Fast the Rising Sea?
- CHAPTER FIVE: Following a Wayward Rule
- CHAPTER SIX: Beaches in an Expected Universe
- CHAPTER SEVEN: Giant Cups of Poison
- CHAPTER EIGHT: Invasive Plants: An Environmental Apocalypse
- CHAPTER NINE: a Promise Unfulfilled
- Appendix
- References
- Index
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The file format ePUB works well for novels and non-fiction books – i.e., „flowing” text without complex layout. On an e-reader or smartphone, line and page breaks automatically adjust to fit the small displays.
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