
The Next Catastrophe
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Perrow argues that rather than laying exclusive emphasis on protecting targets, we should reduce their size to minimize damage and diminish their attractiveness to terrorists. He focuses on three causes of disaster--natural, organizational, and deliberate--and shows that our best hope lies in the deconcentration of high-risk populations, corporate power, and critical infrastructures such as electric energy, computer systems, and the chemical and food industries. Perrow reveals how the threat of catastrophe is on the rise, whether from terrorism, natural disasters, or industrial accidents. Along the way, he gives us the first comprehensive history of FEMA and the Department of Homeland Security and examines why these agencies are so ill equipped to protect us.
The Next Catastrophe is a penetrating reassessment of the very real dangers we face today and what we must do to confront them. Written in a highly accessible style by a renowned systems-behavior expert, this book is essential reading for the twenty-first century. The events of September 11 and Hurricane Katrina--and the devastating human toll they wrought--were only the beginning. When the next big disaster comes, will we be ready? In a new preface to the paperback edition, Perrow examines the recent (and ongoing) catastrophes of the financial crisis, the BP oil spill, and global warming.
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Content
Acknowledgments xlix
Part One: Introduction and Natural Disasters li
Chapter 1 Shrink the Targets 1
Chapter 2 "Natural" Disasters? 14
Part Two: Can Government Help? 41
Chapter 3 The Government Response: The First FEMA 43
Chapter 4 The Disaster after 9/11: The Department of Homeland Security and a New FEMA 68
Part Three: The Disastrous Private Sector 131
Chapter 5 Are Terrorists as Dangerous as Management? The Nuclear Plant Threat 133
Chapter 6 Better Vulnerability through Chemistry 174
Chapter 7 Disastrous Concentration in the National Power Grid 211
Chapter 8 Concentration and Terror on the Internet 248
Part Four: What Is to Be Done? 289
Chapter 9 The Enduring Sources of Failure: Organizational, Executive, and Regulatory 291
Appendix A Three Types of Redundancy 327
Appendix B Networks of Small Firms 331
Bibliography 335
Index 355
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