
Discrete-time Dynamic Models
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Content
- Intro
- Contents
- 1 Motivations and Perspectives
- 1.1 Modeling complex systems
- 1.1.1 Fundamental models
- 1.1.2 Assumptions, approximations, and simplifications
- 1.1.3 Continuous- vs. discrete-time models
- 1.1.4 Empirical models
- 1.1.5 Gray-box models
- 1.1.6 Indirect empirical modeling
- 1.2 Inherently nonlinear behavior
- 1.2.1 Harmonic generation
- 1.2.2 Subharmonic generation
- 1.2.3 Chaotic response to simple inputs
- 1.2.4 Input-dependent stability
- 1.2.5 Asymmetric responses to symmetric inputs
- 1.2.6 Steady-state multiplicity
- 1.3 Example 1: distillation columns
- 1.3.1 Hammerstein models
- 1.3.2 Wiener models
- 1.3.3 A bilinear model
- 1.3.4 A polynomial NARMAX model
- 1.4 Example 2: chemical reactors
- 1.4.1 Hammerstein and Wiener models
- 1.4.2 Bilinear models
- 1.4.3 Polynomial NARMAX models
- 1.4.4 Linear multimodels
- 1.4.5 The Uryson model
- 1.5 Organization of this book
- 2 Linear Dynamic Models
- 2.1 Four second-order linear models
- 2.2 Realizations of linear models
- 2.2.1 Autoregressive moving average models
- 2.2.2 Moving average and autoregressive models
- 2.2.3 State-space models
- 2.2.4 Exponential and BIBO stability of linear models
- 2.3 Characterization of linear models
- 2.4 Infinite-dimensional linear models
- 2.4.1 Continuous-time examples
- 2.4.2 Discrete-time slow decay models
- 2.4.3 Fractional Brownian motion
- 2.5 Time-varying linear models
- 2.5.1 First-order systems
- 2.5.2 Periodically time-varying systems
- 2.6 Summary: the nature of linearity
- 3 Four Views of Nonlinearity
- 3.1 Bilinear models
- 3.1.1 Four examples and a general result
- 3.1.2 Completely bilinear models
- 3.1.3 Stability and steady-state behavior
- 3.2 Homogeneous models
- 3.2.1 Homogeneous functions and homogeneous models
- 3.2.2 Homomorphic systems
- 3.2.3 Homogeneous ARMAX models of order zero
- 3.3 Positive homogeneous models
- 3.3.1 Positive-homogeneous functions and models
- 3.3.2 PH°-ARMAX models
- 3.3.3 TARMAX models
- 3.4 Static-linear models
- 3.4.1 Definition of the model class
- 3.4.2 A static-linear Uryson model
- 3.4.3 Bilinear models
- 3.4.4 Mallows' nonlinear data smoothers
- 3.5 Summary: the nature of nonlinearity
- 4 NARMAX Models
- 4.1 Classes of NARMAX models
- 4.2 Nonlinear moving average models
- 4.2.1 Two NMAX model examples
- 4.2.2 Qualitative behavior of NMAX models
- 4.3 Nonlinear autoregressive models
- 4.3.1 A simple example
- 4.3.2 Responses to periodic inputs
- 4.3.3 NARX model stability
- 4.3.4 Steady-state behavior of NARX models
- 4.3.5 Differences between NARX and NARX* models
- 4.4 Additive NARMAX Models
- 4.4.1 Wiener vs. Hammerstein models
- 4.4.2 EXPAR vs. modified EXPAR models
- 4.4.3 Stability of additive models
- 4.4.4 Steady-state behavior of NAARX models
- 4.5 Polynomial NARMAX models
- 4.5.1 Robinson's AR-Volterra model
- 4.5.2 A more general example
- 4.6 Rational NARMAX models
- 4.6.1 Zhu and Billings model
- 4.6.2 Another rational NARMAX example
- 4.7 More Complex NARMAX Models
- 4.7.1 Projection-pursuit models
- 4.7.2 Neural network models
- 4.7.3 Cybenko's approximation result
- 4.7.4 Radial basis functions
- 4.8 Summary: the nature of NARMAX models
- 5 Volterra Models
- 5.1 Definitions and basic results
- 5.1.1 The class V[sub(N,M)] and related model classes
- 5.1.2 Four simple examples
- 5.1.3 Stochastic characterizations
- 5.2 Four important subsets of V[sub(N,M)]
- 5.2.1 The class H[sub(N,M)]
- 5.2.2 The class U[sup(r)][sub(N,M)]
- 5.2.3 The class W[sub(N,M)]
- 5.2.4 The class P[sup(r)][sub(N,M)]
- 5.3 Block-oriented nonlinear models
- 5.3.1 Block-oriented model structures
- 5.3.2 Equivalence with the class V[sub(N,M)]
- 5.4 Pruned Volterra models
- 5.4.1 The class of pruned Volterra models
- 5.4.2 An example: prunings of V[sub(2,2)]
- 5.4.3 The PPOD model structure
- 5.5 Infinite-dimensional Volterra models
- 5.5.1 Infinite-dimensional Hammerstein models
- 5.5.2 Robinson's AR-Volterra model
- 5.6 Bilinear models
- 5.6.1 Matching conditions
- 5.6.2 The completely bilinear case
- 5.6.3 A superdiagonal example
- 5.7 Summary: the nature of Volterra models
- 6 Linear Multimodels
- 6.1 A motivating example
- 6.2 Three classes of multimodels
- 6.2.1 Johansen-Foss discrete-time models
- 6.2.2 A modifed Johansen-Foss model
- 6.2.3 Tong's TARSO model class
- 6.3 Two important details
- 6.3.1 Local model selection criteria
- 6.3.2 Affine vs. linear models
- 6.4 Input-selected multimodels
- 6.4.1 Input-selected moving average models
- 6.4.2 Steady states of input-selected models
- 6.4.3 J-F vs. modified J-F models
- 6.4.4 Two input-selected examples
- 6.5 Output-selected multimodels
- 6.5.1 Output-selected autoregressive models
- 6.5.2 Steady-state behavior
- 6.5.3 Two output-selected examples
- 6.6 More general selection schemes
- 6.6.1 Johanssen-Foss and modified models
- 6.6.2 The isola model
- 6.6.3 Wiener and Hammerstein models
- 6.7 TARMAX models
- 6.7.1 The first-order model
- 6.7.2 The multimodel representation
- 6.7.3 Steady-state behavior
- 6.7.4 Some representation results
- 6.7.5 Positive systems
- 6.7.6 PHADD models
- 6.8 Summary: the nature of multimodels
- 7 Relations between Model Classes
- 7.1 Inclusions and exclusions
- 7.1.1 The basic inclusions
- 7.1.2 Some important exclusions
- 7.2 Basic notions of category theory
- 7.2.1 Definition of a category
- 7.2.2 Classes vs. sets
- 7.2.3 Some illuminating examples
- 7.2.4 Some simple "non-examples
- 7.3 The discrete-time dynamic model category
- 7.3.1 Composition of morphisms
- 7.3.2 The category DTDM and its objects
- 7.3.3 The morphism sets in DTDM
- 7.4 Restricted model categories
- 7.4.1 Subcategories
- 7.4.2 Linear model categories
- 7.4.3 Structural model categories
- 7.4.4 Behavioral model categories
- 7.5 Empirical modeling and IO subcategories
- 7.5.1 IO subcategories
- 7.5.2 Example 1: the category Aff[sup(SS)]
- 7.5.3 Example 2: the category Gauss
- 7.5.4 Example 3: the category Median
- 7.6 Structure-behavior relations
- 7.6.1 Joint subcategories
- 7.6.2 Linear model characterizations
- 7.6.3 Volterra model characterizations
- 7.6.4 Homomorphic system characterizations
- 7.7 Functors, linearization and inversion
- 7.7.1 Basic notion of a functor
- 7.7.2 Linearization functors
- 7.7.3 Inverse NARX models
- 7.8 Isomorphic model categories
- 7.8.1 Autoregressive vs. moving average models
- 7.8.2 Discrete- vs. continuous-time
- 7.9 Homomorphic systems
- 7.9.1 Relation to linear models
- 7.9.2 Relation to homogeneous models
- 7.9.3 Constructing new model categories
- 7.10 Summary: the utility of category theory
- 8 The Art of Model Development
- 8.1 The model development process
- 8.1.1 Parameter estimation
- 8.1.2 Outliers, disturbances and data pretreatment
- 8.1.3 Goodness-of-fit is not enough
- 8.2 Case study 1-bilinear model identification
- 8.3 Model structure selction
- 8.3.1 Structural implications of behavior
- 8.3.2 Behavioral implications of structure
- 8.4 Input sequence design
- 8.4.1 Effectiveness criteria and practical constraints
- 8.4.2 Design parameters
- 8.4.3 Random step sequences
- 8.4.4 The sine-power sequences
- 8.5 Case study 2-structure and inputs
- 8.5.1 The Eaton-Rawlings reactor model
- 8.5.2 Exact discretization
- 8.5.3 Linear approximations
- 8.5.4 Nonlinear approximations
- 8.6 Summary: the nature of empirical modeling
- Bibliography
- Index
- A
- B
- C
- D
- E
- F
- G
- H
- I
- L
- M
- N
- O
- P
- Q
- R
- S
- T
- U
- V
- W
- Z
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