Clinical Prediction of Violent Behavior (The Master Work Series)
1st Edition
Published on 7. July 1977
134 pages
978-1-4616-2783-8 (ISBN)
Description
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More details
Edition
1. Auflage
Language
English
Place of publication
Northvale NJ
United States
Publishing group
Bloomsbury Publishing Plc
ISBN-13
978-1-4616-2783-8 (9781461627838)
Copyright in bibliographic data and cover images is held by Nielsen Book Services Limited or by the publishers or by their respective licensors: all rights reserved.
Schweitzer Classification
Other editions
Additional editions
Book
09/1977
Jason Aronson Publishers
€66.99
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Person
By John Monahan
Content
- Cover
- Title Page
- Copyright Page
- Table of Contents
- Foreword
- Preface to the New Edition
- Preface
- Chapter 1. Introduction to a Controversy
- Prediction in Life and in Law
- Definitions of Dangerous and Violent Behavior
- Criticism of Prediction in Law
- The Empirical Attack: Accurate Prediction is Impossible
- The Political Attack: Prediction Violates Civil Liberties
- The Professional Attack: Prediction Destroys the Helping Role of the Mental Health Disciplines
- The Moral and Political Issues Raised by Prediction
- The Criterion: Why Some Forms of Violence and Not Others?
- The Predictors: What shall be Included?
- The Relationship: How Accurate is Accurate Enough?
- The Consequences: Prediction for what Purpose?
- A Statement of Personal Values
- Summary
- Chapter 2. The Clinical Prediction Process in Theory and in Practice
- Core Concepts in Prediction
- Predictor and Criterion Variables
- Outcome of Positive and Negative Predictions
- Decision Rules
- Base Rates
- The Clinical Prediction Process in Theory
- Personality Factors
- Motivation
- Inhibition
- Habit
- Situational Factors
- Interactions
- The Clinical Prediction Process in Practice
- Common Clinical Errors in Prediction
- Lack of Specificity in Defining the Criterion
- Ignoring Statistical Base Rates
- Relying upon illusory Correlations
- Failing To Incorporate Environmental Information
- Summary
- Chapter 3. Research on Clinical Prediction
- Childhood Prediction of Adult Violence
- Outcome Studies of Clinical Prediction
- Psychological Tests
- Criticisms of the Clinical Research
- The Studies Tested Something Other than Prediction
- The Predictions that were Tested were Seriously Out of Date
- Much Violence May have Occurred but Not Been Detected
- Possible Limits on the Generalizability of the Research: The Prediction of Imminent Violence in Emergency Contexts
- Summary
- Chapter 4. Statistical Approaches to Improving Clinical Prediction
- Clinical and Actuarial Prediction
- The Nature of the Distinction
- Statistical Data Combined Statistically
- Statistical Data Combined Clinically
- Clinical Data Combined Statistically
- Clinical Data Combined Clinically
- On Predicting an Individual's Behavior from Class Membership
- Actuarial Studies of the Prediction of Violence
- Major Actuarial Correlates of Violent Behavior
- Past Crime, Particularly Violent Crime
- Age
- Sex
- Race
- Socioeconomic Status and Employment Stability
- Opiate or Alcohol Abuse
- Mental Illness and Violent Behavior
- Mental Illness among Criminals
- Violent Behavior among Former Mental Patients
- The Dominance of Clinical Prediction in the Law
- Clinical Prediction and the Rare Event
- Insufficient Time for Actuarial Analysis
- The Unavailability of Actuarial Data
- The Clinical Use of Statistical Data
- Making Base Rates of Violence a Prime Consideration
- Obtaining Information on Valid Predictive Relationships
- Not Overreacting to Positive Correlations
- Summary
- Chapter 5. Environmental Approaches to Improving Clinical Prediction
- Assessing Environmental Factors
- Major Situational Correlates of Violent Behavior
- Family Environment
- Peer Environment
- Job Environment
- Availability of Victims
- Availability of Weapons
- Availability of Alcohol
- Assessing Interactions between Persons and Their Environments
- Summary
- Chapter 6. The Clinical Examination
- Questions for the Clinician
- Is it a Prediction of Violent Behavior that is Being Requested?
- Am I Professionally Competent to Offer an Estimate of the Probability of Future Violence?
- Are any Issues of Personal or Professional Ethics Involved in this Case?
- Given My Answers to the above Questions, Is this Case an Appropriate One in Which to Offer a Prediction?
- What Events Precipitated Raising the Question of the Person's Potential for Violence, and in what Context Did these Events Take Place?
- What Are the Person's Relevant Demographic Characteristics?
- What is the Person's History of Violent Behavior?
- What is the Base Rate of Violent Behavior among Individuals of this Person's Background?
- What are the Sources of Stress in the Person's Current Environment?
- What Cognitive and Affective Factors Indicate that the Person May Be Predisposed to Cope with Stress in a Violent Manner?
- What Cognitive and Affective Factors Indicate that the Person May be Predisposed to Cope With Stress in a Nonviolent Manner?
- How Similar are the Contexts in which the Person Has Used Violent Coping Mechanisms in the Past to the Contexts in which the Person Likely will Function in the Future?
- In Particular, Who are the Likely Victims of the Person's Violent Behavior, and how Available are they?
- What Means Does the Person Possess to Commit Violence?
- Summary
- A Case Study
- A Clinical Report
- Conclusion
- References
