
Expectations Investing
Description
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Michael J. Mauboussin and Alfred Rappaport suggest that an investor start with a known quantity, the stock price, and ask what it implies for future financial results. After showing how to read expectations, Mauboussin and Rappaport provide a guide to rigorous strategic and financial analysis to help investors assess the likelihood of revisions to these expectations. Their framework traces value creation from the triggers that shape a company's performance to the impact on the value drivers. This allows a practitioner of expectations investing to determine whether a stock is an attractive buy or sell candidate.
Investors who read this book will be able to evaluate stocks of companies in any sector or geography more effectively than those who use the standard approaches of most investors. Managers can use the book's principles to devise, adjust, and communicate their company's strategy in light of shareholder expectations.
This revised and updated edition reflects the many changes in accounting and the business landscape since the book was first published and provides a wealth of new examples and case studies.
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Persons
Alfred Rappaport is the Leonard Spacek Professor Emeritus at Northwestern University's Kellogg School of Management. He is the author of Creating Shareholder Value (revised edition, 1997) and Saving Capitalism from Short-Termism: How to Build Long-Term Value and Take Back Our Financial Future (2011). Rappaport has been a guest columnist for the Wall Street Journal, the New York Times, the Financial Times, Fortune, and BusinessWeek.
Content
Foreword
Preface
Acknowledgments
1. The Case for Expectations Investing
Part I. Gathering the Tools
2. How the Market Values Stocks
3. The Expectations Infrastructure
4. Analyzing Competitive Strategy
Part II. Implementing the Process
5. How to Estimate Price-Implied Expectations
6. Identifying Expectations Opportunities
7. Buy, Sell, or Hold?
8. Beyond Discounted Cash Flow
9. Across the Economic Landscape
Part III. Reading Corporate Signals and Sources of Opportunities
10. Mergers and Acquisitions
11. Share Buybacks
12. Sources of Expectations Opportunities
Notes
Index
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