
Mathematical Modeling of Random and Deterministic Phenomena
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The chapters can be read independently of each other, with dedicated references specific to each chapter. The book is organized in two main parts. The first is devoted to some advanced mathematical problems regarding epidemic models; predictions of biomass; space-time modeling of extreme rainfall; modeling with the piecewise deterministic Markov process; optimal control problems; evolution equations in a periodic environment; and the analysis of the heat equation. The second is devoted to a modelization with interdisciplinarity in ecological, socio-economic, epistemological, demographic and social problems.
Mathematical Modeling of Random and Deterministic Phenomena is aimed at expert readers, young researchers, plus graduate and advanced undergraduate students who are interested in probability, statistics, modeling and mathematical analysis.
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Persons
Sophie Dabo-Niang is a Full Professor at the University of Lille, France. She is a doctor of statistics and her research program is focused on the study of non(semi)-parametric inference of functional and spatial data. She is interested in medical, environmental and hydrological studies from an applied perspective.
Jean-Jacques Salone is an Associate Professor at Centre Universitaire de Mayotte. He is a doctor of applied mathematics and education sciences, and his research interests are in didactics of mathematics and in modeling of social, natural or educational complex systems.
Content
- Cover
- Half-Title Page
- Title Page
- Copyright Page
- Contents
- Preface
- Acknowledgments
- Introduction
- PART 1: Advances in Mathematical Modeling
- 1. Deviations From the Law of Large Numbers and Extinction of an Endemic Disease
- 1.1. Introduction
- 1.2. The three models
- 1.2.1. The SIS model
- 1.2.2. The SIRS model
- 1.2.3. The SIR model with demography
- 1.3. The stochastic model, LLN, CLT and LD
- 1.3.1. The stochastic model
- 1.3.2. Law of large numbers
- 1.3.3. Central Limit Theorem
- 1.3.4. Large deviations and extinction of an epidemic
- 1.4. Moderate deviations
- 1.4.1. CLT and extinction of an endemic disease
- 1.4.2. Moderate deviations
- 1.5. References
- 2. Nonparametric Prediction for Spatial Dependent Functional Data: Application to Demersal Coastal Fish off Senegal
- 2.1. Introduction
- 2.2. Regression model and predictor
- 2.3. Large sample properties
- 2.4. Application to demersal coastal fish off Senegal
- 2.4.1. Procedure of prediction
- 2.4.2. Demersal coastal fish off Senegal data set
- 2.4.3. Measuring prediction performance
- 2.5. Conclusion
- 2.6. References
- 3. Space-Time Simulations of Extreme Rainfall: Why and How?
- 3.1. Why?
- 3.1.1. Rainfall-induced urban floods
- 3.1.2. Sample hydraulic simulation of a rainfall-induced urban flood
- 3.2. How?
- 3.2.1. Spatial stochastic rainfall generator
- 3.2.2. Modeling extreme events
- 3.2.3. Stochastic rainfall generator geared towards extreme events
- 3.3. Outlook
- 3.4. References
- 4. Change-point Detection for Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes
- 4.1. A quick introduction to stochastic control and change-point detection
- 4.2. Model and problem setting
- 4.2.1. Continuous-time PDMP model
- 4.2.2. Optimal stopping problem under partial observations
- 4.2.3. Fully observed optimal stopping problem
- 4.3. Numerical approximation of the value functions
- 4.3.1. Quantization
- 4.3.2. Discretizations
- 4.3.3. Construction of a stopping strategy
- 4.4. Simulation study
- 4.4.1. Linear model
- 4.4.2. Nonlinear model
- 4.5. Conclusion
- 4.6. References
- 5. Optimal Control of Advection-Diffusion Problems for Cropping Systems with an Unknown Nutrient Service Plant Source
- 5.1. Introduction
- 5.2. Statement of the problem
- 5.2.1. Existence of a solution to the NTB uptake system
- 5.3. Optimal control for the NTB problem with an unknown source
- 5.3.1. Existence of a solution to the adjoint problem of NTB uptake system with an unknown source
- 5.4. Characterization of the low-regret control for the NTB system
- 5.5. Concluding remarks
- 5.6. References
- 6. Existence of an Asymptotically Periodic Solution for a Stochastic Fractional Integro-differential Equation
- 6.1. Introduction
- 6.2. Preliminaries
- 6.2.1. Asymptotically periodic process and periodic limit processes
- 6.2.2. Sectorial operators
- 6.3. A stochastic integro-differential equation of fractional order
- 6.4. An illustrative example
- 6.5. References
- 7. Bounded Solutions for Impulsive Semilinear Evolution Equations with Non-local Conditions
- 7.1. Introduction
- 7.2. Preliminaries
- 7.3. Main theorems
- 7.4. The smoothness of the bounded solution
- 7.5. Application to the Burgers equation
- 7.6. References
- 8. The History of a Mathematical Model and Some of Its Criticisms up to Today: The Diffusion of Heat That Started with a Fourier "Thought Experiment"
- 8.1. Introduction
- 8.2. A physical invention is translated into mathematics thanks to the heat flow
- 8.3. The proper story of proper modes
- 8.3.1. Mathematical position of the lamina problem
- 8.3.2. Simple modes are naturally involved
- 8.3.3. A remarkable switch to proper modes
- 8.4. The numerical example of the periodic step function gives way to a physical interpretation
- 8.4.1. A calculation that a priori imposes an extension to the function f at the base of the lamina
- 8.4.2. A crazy calculation
- 8.4.3. Fourier is happily confronted with the task of finding an explanation for the simplicity of the result about coefficients
- 8.4.4. Criticisms of the modeling
- 8.5. To invoke arbitrary functions leads to an interpretation of orthogonality relations
- 8.5.1. Function is a leitmotiv in Fourier's intellectual career
- 8.6. The modeling of the temperature of the Earth and the greenhouse effect
- 8.7. Axiomatic shaping by Hilbert spaces provides a good account for another dictionary part in Fourier's theory, and also to its limits, so that his representation finally had to be modified to achieve efficient numerical purposes
- 8.7.1. Another dictionary: the Fourier transform for tempered distributions
- 8.7.2. Heisenberg inequalities may just be deduced from the existence of a scalar product
- 8.7.3. Orthogonality and a quick look to wavelets
- 8.8. Conclusion
- 8.9. References
- PART 2: Some Topics on Mayotte and Its Region
- 9. Towards a Methodology for Interdisciplinary Modeling of Complex Systems Using Hypergraphs
- 9.1. Introduction
- 9.1.1. The ARESMA project
- 9.1.2. Towards a methodology of interdisciplinary modeling
- 9.2. Systemic and lexicometric analyses of questionnaires
- 9.2.1. Complex systems
- 9.2.2. Methodology
- 9.2.3. Results
- 9.2.4. Conclusion of the section
- 9.3. Hypergraphic analyses of diagrams
- 9.3.1. Hypergraphs and modeling of a complex system
- 9.3.2. Methodology
- 9.3.3. Results
- 9.3.4. Conclusion of the section
- 9.4. Discussion and perspectives
- 9.5. Appendix
- 9.5.1. Other properties of a connected hypergraph
- 9.5.2. Metric over an FHT
- 9.6. References
- 10. Modeling of Post-forestry Transitions in Madagascar and the Indian Ocean: Setting Up a Dialogue Between Mathematics, Computer Science and Environmental Sciences
- 10.1. Introduction
- 10.2. Interdisciplinary exploration of agrarian transitions
- 10.2.1. Exploration of post-forestry transitions in rainforests of Madagascar
- 10.2.2. Applications to dry forests in southwestern Madagascar
- 10.2.3. Viability
- 10.3. Community management of resources, looking for consensus
- 10.3.1. Degradation, violation, sanction
- 10.3.2. Local farmers' maps and conceptual graphs
- 10.4. Discussion and conclusion
- 10.5. References
- 11. Structural and Predictive Analysis of the Birth Curve in Mayotte from 2011 to 2017
- 11.1. Introduction
- 11.1.1. Motivation
- 11.1.2. Context
- 11.1.3. About the literature on the birth curve in Mayotte
- 11.1.4. Objective of ARS OI
- 11.2. Origin of the data
- 11.3. Methodologies and results
- 11.3.1. Methodological approach
- 11.3.2. Annual trend
- 11.3.3. Monthly trend
- 11.3.4. Characterization of the explosion risk of the number of births
- 11.3.5. Autocorrelation
- 11.3.6. Modeling by an ARIMA process (p, d, q)
- 11.3.7. Predictions for the year 2018
- 11.4. Discussion
- 11.5. Conclusion
- 11.6. References
- 12. Reflections Upon the Mathematization of Mayotte's Economy
- 12.1. Introduction
- 12.2. Justifying the mathematization of economics
- 12.2.1. The ontological and linguistic arguments
- 12.2.2. Towards a naturalization of modeling in economics
- 12.2.3. A number of caveats
- 12.3. For a reasonable mathematization of economics: the case of Mayotte
- 12.3.1. The trend towards the mathematization of the economics of Mayotte
- 12.3.2. From Mayotte's formal economy to its informal one
- 12.3.3. When the formal economy interacts with the informal one: some issues for the modelization of complex systems
- 12.4. Concluding remark
- 12.5. References
- List of Authors
- Index
- Other titles from iSTE in Mathematics and Statistics
- EULA
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