
An Introduction to Models in the Social Sciences
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Content
- AN INTRODUCTION TO MODELS IN THE SOCIAL SCIENCES
- contents
- PREFACE
- ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
- CHAPTER ONE WHAT WE ARE UP TO
- CHAPTER TWO AN INTRODUCTION TO SPECULATION
- 2.1 Introduction
- 2.2 Contact and Friendship
- 2.3 Rocks, Lakes, and Rivers
- 2.3.1 A Model of the Model-Building Process
- 2.4 Responsibility Corrupts
- 2.5 The Case of the Dumb Question
- 2.6 The Case of the Smart Women
- 2.7 On Becoming a Social Scientist
- 2.8 The Politics of Population
- 2.9 Three Rules of Thumb for Model Building
- CHAPTER THREE THE EVALUATION OF SPECULATIONS
- 3.1 Introduction
- 3.2 Truth
- 3.2.1 Circular Models
- 3.2.2 Critical Experiments
- 3.2.3 The Importance of Being Wrong
- 3.3 Beauty
- 3.3.1 Simplicity
- 3.3.2 Fertility
- 3.3.3 Surprise
- 3.4 Justice
- 3.5 The Search
- CHAPTER FOUR CHOICE
- 4.1 Introduction
- 4.2 A Model of Individual Decision Making
- 4.2.1 Probability
- 4.2.2 Expected Value
- 4.2.3 Decision Trees
- 4.2.4 Expected Value and Probability (Round II)
- 4.3 Explorations of Decision Trees
- 4.3.1 Decision Making Under Risk
- 4.3.2 The Value of Information
- 4.3.3 The Value of Control
- 4.3.4 The Value of Insurance (Optional)
- 4.4 Maximization of Expected Utility
- 4.5 Trees Without Numbers
- 4.5.1 Traffic Routes as Choices
- 4.5.2 College as a Choice
- 4.6 Alternative Decision Rules (Optional)
- CHAPTER FIVE EXCHANGE
- 5.1 Introduction
- 5.2 Internal Exchange
- 5.2.1 Utility (Again)
- 5.2.2 Indifference Curves
- 5.2.3 Consumption Possibility Line
- 5.2.4 Maximization of Utility
- 5.2.5 Effect of Price Changes
- 5.2.6 Effect of Budget Changes
- 5.2.7 Summary of Utility Maximization Graphs
- 5.3 Explorations of Indifference Curves
- 5.3.1 Trade-offs
- 5.3.2 The Squeaky Wheel Theory of Value
- 5.3.3 Men and Women
- 5.4 A Formal Model of Internal Exchange
- 5.4.1 How to Draw Indifference Curves
- 5.5 External Exchange
- 5.5.1 The Edgeworth Box (Optional)
- 5.5.2 Supply/Demand Analysis (Optional)
- 5.5.3 Derivation of Supply and Demand Curves (Optional)
- CHAPTER SIX ADAPTATION
- 6.1 Introduction
- 6.2 The Basic Model
- 6.3 The Adaptation Equations
- 6.3.1 Adaptation Equations in a T-Maze
- 6.3.2 Expected Probability
- 6.3.3 The Meaning of Probabilities in Adaptation Models
- 6.3.4 The Significance of a and b
- 6.4 How the Model Works
- 6.4.1 The Effect of Reward Schedules
- 6.4.2 Learning Limits (Optional)
- 6.4.3 Explorations of T-Mazes
- 6.5 Superstitious Learning
- 6.5.1 Benign Worlds
- 6.5.2 Malevolent Worlds
- 6.5.3 Learning Limits (Optional)
- 6.5.4 Explorations of Superstition
- 6.6 Mutual Learning (Optional)
- 6.6.1 Mating
- 6.6.2 Hunting
- CHAPTER SEVEN DIFFUSION
- 7.1 Introduction
- 7.2 A Set of Basic Assumptions
- 7.3 Intergenerational Diffusion
- 7.4 Some Models
- 7.4.1 The Idea of Rate of Change
- 7.4.2 A Model of Information Explosion
- 7.4.3 A Birth Process with Limits
- 7.4.4 A Broadcast Process
- 7.5 Explorations of Social Diseases
- 7.5.1 Diffusion as Individual Choice and Adaptation
- 7.6 Diffusion in a Social Structure
- 7.6.1 The Elements of Social Structure
- 7.6.2 Relevant Group Model
- 7.6.3 Separate Group Model
- 7.6.4 Semipermeable Groups (Optional)
- INDEX
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