
Strategic Analytics
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Defines common ground at the interface of strategy and management science and unites the topics with an original approach vital for strategy students, researchers and managers
Strategic Analytics: Integrating Management Science and Strategy combines strategy content with strategy process through the lenses of management science, masterfully defining the common ground that unites both fields. Each chapter starts with the perspective of a certain strategy problem, such as competition, but continues with an explanation of the strategy process using management science tools such as simulation. Facilitating the process of strategic decision making through the lens of management science, the author integrates topics that are usually in conflict for MBAs: strategy and quantitative methods. Strategic Analytics features multiple international real-life case studies and examples, business issues for further research and theory review questions and exercises at the end of each chapter.
Strategic Analytics starts by introducing readers to strategic management. It then goes on to cover: managerial capabilities for a complex world; politics, economy, society, technology, and environment; external environments known as exogenous factors (PESTE) and endogenous factors (industry); industry dynamics; industry evolution; competitive advantage; dynamic resource management; organisational design; performance measurement system; the life cycle of organisations from start-ups; maturity for maintaining profitability and growth; and finally, regeneration.
- Developed from the author's own Strategy Analytics course at Warwick Business School, personal experience as consultant, and in consultation with other leading scholars
- Uses management science to facilitate the process of strategic decision making
- Chapters structured with chapter objectives, summaries, short case studies, tables, student exercises, references and management science models
- Accompanied by a supporting website
Aimed at both academics and practitioners, Strategic Analytics is an ideal text for postgraduates and advanced undergraduate students of business and management.
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MARTIN KUNC, PhD, is Professor of Business Analytics/Management Science at Southampton Business School, University of Southampton. He is a member of Operational Research Society, INFORMS System Dynamics Society, and Arthur Andersen Alumni. Martin Kunc has extensive experience in consulting and published more than 50 articles.
Content
About the Companion website xi
1 Introduction to Strategic Analytics 1
1.1 What is Analytics? 3
1.2 What is Management Science? 10
1.3 What is Information Technology: New Challenges? 18
1.4 What is Strategic Management? 22
1.4.1 What are the Characteristics of Strategic Problems? 24
1.5 Strategy Analytics: Integrating Management Science with Strategic Management 28
References 31
2 Dynamic Managerial Capabilities for a Complex World Under Big Data 35
2.1 Dynamic Managerial Capabilities 36
2.1.1 Task Dimension 37
2.1.2 Cognitive Dimension 39
2.1.3 Behavior Dimension 39
2.2 Integrating Management Science and Strategic Management: Managers as Modelers 42
2.2.1 Modeling 43
2.2.2 Behavior with and Beyond Models 44
2.2.3 Modeling Systems 45
2.2.4 Big Data Analytics Capabilities 47
2.3 End of Chapter 48
2.3.1 Revision Questions 49
2.3.2 Case Study: The Future of Strategizing 49
References 50
Further Reading 54
3 External Environment: Political, Economic, Societal, Technological and Environmental Factors 55
3.1 The PESTE Analysis 57
3.1.1 Limitations of PESTE Analysis 58
3.2 Integrating Management Science in the Strategic Management Process 61
3.2.1 Achieving Consistency in PESTE Analysis Using the Analytic Hierarchy Process 65
3.2.2 Understanding the Evolution of PESTE Factors Using Visualization Analytics 73
3.3 End of Chapter 74
3.4.1 Revision Questions 75
3.4.2 Case Study: Westmill Co-op and the Rise of Renewable Energy 75
References 76
Further Reading 78
4 Industry Dynamics 79
4.1 Defining the Industry 80
4.2 Porter's Five Forces and Industry Dynamics 80
4.2.1 Bargaining Power of Suppliers 81
4.2.2 Bargaining Power of Buyers 82
4.2.3 Substitutes 83
4.2.4 Threat of New Entrants 84
4.2.5 Intensity of Rivalry 85
4.2.6 Strategic Issues Derived from Five Forces Analysis 86
4.3 Integrating Management Science into Strategic Management 91
4.3.1 Revenue Management 91
4.3.2 Evaluating Competitors' Performance in the Market Using Text Mining 96
4.4 End of Chapter 98
4.4.1 Revision Questions 99
4.4.2 Case Study: Strategic Evaluation of Entering in a New Market as a Low-cost Airline Using System Dynamics Modeling 100
4.4.2.1 Describing the Key Strategic Aspects of a Business Using a System Dynamics Model 100
4.4.2.2 The easyJet Case 100
References 105
Further Reading 107
5 Industry Evolution 109
5.1 Dynamic Behavioral Model of Industry Evolution 113
5.1.1 Industries as Feedback Systems 114
5.1.2 A Behavioral Model of Organizations 115
5.1.3 Dynamic Behavioral Model of Industry Evolution 118
5.1.4 Types of Dynamic Behavior and Strategic Implications on the Evolution of Industries 119
5.2 Integrating Management Science into Strategic Management 125
5.2.1 Exploring Industry Evolution Using System Dynamics 126
5.2.2 Understanding How the Levels of Integration/Interaction Between Companies Affect the Evolution of Companies Using NKC Models 133
5.2.2.1 Insights from the Model 135
5.2.3 Uncovering the Evolution of the Technology in an Industry Using Latent Topic Modeling 136
5.3 End of Chapter 137
5.3.1 Revision Questions 139
5.3.2 Case Study: The Rise of Smartphones and its Impact on the Camera Industry 139
References 141
Further Reading 143
6 Competitive Advantage: Static Analysis 145
6.1 The Direction of a Company: Vision and Mission 146
6.2 Defining Value and Market Segmentation 146
6.3 Mapping the Activities to Deliver Value 149
6.3.1 Value Chain 149
6.3.2 Activity System Map 151
6.3.3 Business Model Canvas 152
6.4 Type of Business Strategies 154
6.4.1 Cost Advantage 154
6.4.2 Differentiation Advantage 154
6.4.3 Blue Ocean Strategy 157
6.5 Integrating Management Science into Strategic Management 160
6.5.1 Uncovering Market Segments Using Analytics Tools: Market Basket Transactions Analysis 160
6.6 End of Chapter 166
6.6.1 Revision Questions 166
6.6.2 Case Study: Revisiting Porter's Generic Strategies Using System Dynamics 167
6.6.2.1 The Model 169
References 175
Futher Reading 176
7 Dynamic Resource Management 177
7.1 Resources and Capabilities 178
7.2 Resource Management 180
7.2.1 Resource Conceptualization 181
7.2.2 Resource Development 186
7.2.3 Business Performance 187
7.3 Integrating Management Science into Strategic Management 189
7.3.1 Resource Conceptualization Using Resource Mapping (as a Problem Structuring Method) 189
7.3.2 Resource Development Using Resource Mapping, System Dynamics and Scenarios 194
7.3.3 Resource Development Under Uncertainty Using Decision Trees 196
7.3.4 Developing Decision Trees from Big Data 202
7.3.5 Inferring Business Performance from Management Science Methods 203
7.4 End of Chapter 204
7.4.1 Revision Questions 205
7.4.2 Case Study: Majestic Wines 205
References 208
Futher Reading 210
8 Organizational Design 211
8.1 Organizational Components 212
8.1.1 Structure 212
8.1.2 Processes 215
8.2 Integrating Management Science into Strategic Management 217
8.2.1 Network Analysis for Organizational Structure Design 217
8.2.2 Business Process Modeling 222
8.2.3 Improving Manufacturing Productivity Using Predictive Analytics 227
8.3 End of Chapter 227
8.3.1 Revision Questions 229
8.3.2 Case Study: Improving Processes in Health Services Using Simulation 229
References 233
Futher Reading 235
9 Performance Measurement System 237
9.1 Measuring Financial Performance 240
9.2 Strategic Controls 243
9.3 Integrating Management Science into Strategic Management 244
9.3.1 Causal Models to Design Performance Management Systems 245
9.3.2 Implementing the Performance Management System: Analyzing, Reviewing, and Reporting Performance Data - the Role of Analytics 256
9.4 End of Chapter 257
9.4.1 Revision Questions 261
9.4.2 Case Study: The Impact of Performance Measurement Systems Adoption in Business Performance: the Shipping Industry
Case 262
References 267
Futher Reading 269
10 Start-ups 271
10.1 The Components of a Business Plan for a Start-up 274
10.1.1 Management 274
10.1.2 Market 278
10.1.3 Product/Service and Business Processes 279
10.1.4 Organization Design and Resources 281
10.2 Financial Management 284
10.3 Integrating Management Science into Strategic Management 293
10.3.1 Monte Carlo Simulation 293
10.4 End of Chapter 298
10.4.1 Revision Questions 300
10.4.2 Case Study: Designing the Next Boutique Winery 300
References 303
Futher Reading 305
11 Maturity 307
11.1 Strategies for Mature Organizations 310
11.1.1 Concentrated Growth, and Market and Product Development 310
11.1.2 Integration 314
11.1.3 Diversification 317
11.1.4 Associations with Other Companies: Joint Venture, Strategic Alliances and Consortia 320
11.2 Integrating Management Science into Strategic Management 323
11.2.1 Linear Optimization 324
11.2.2 Extensions in Linear Programming 326
11.2.3 Making the Integration of Organizations Reality Through Internet of Things and Analytics 328
11.3 End of Chapter 329
11.3.1 Revision Questions 330
11.3.2 Case Study: Choosing the Right Set of Capabilities - Development Projects to Achieve Multiple Organization Goals 330
References 338
Futher Reading 340
12 Regeneration 343
12.1 Strategies for Regenerating Organizations 346
12.1.1 Innovation 346
12.1.2 Turnaround 348
12.1.3 Ambidextrous Strategies 352
12.2 Integrating Management Science into Strategic Management 356
12.2.1 New Product Development: the Use of Text Analytics 356
12.2.2 Implementing Turnaround Strategies Using Data Envelopment Analysis: Identifying Operational Units for Either Improving or Pruning 357
12.3 End of Chapter 361
12.3.1 Revision Questions 362
12.3.2 Case Study: Managing Strategic Change Successfully: the Role of Benefits Realization Management 363
References 366
Futher Reading 368
Index 371
1
Introduction to Strategic Analytics
Objectives
- To explain Strategic Analytics
- To introduce the main pillars of the book: the fields of analytics, management science, information technology, statistics and strategic management
- To explain the fields of analytics, management science, information technology, big data analytics and strategic management
Learning outcomes and managerial capabilities developed
- Managers can learn to tackle complex problems in strategy through the integration of analytics within strategic management processes
- Principles of Analytics: tools, support systems and methods
- Identification of strategic problems
In today's environment, managers face turbulence and crisis. More information than ever is generated continuously: social media, financial performance management systems, customer relationship management systems, and internal and external reports. There are powerful trends: measuring and quantifying everything and skills in quantitative subjects are widely available. The problem for managers is not only to make sense of abundant quantitative information but also to engage with staff possessing analytical skills. Simultaneously managing multiple factors under pressure requires new managerial capabilities. Managers need to develop their strategies using clear strategy processes supported by the increasing availability of data. This situation calls for a different approach to strategy, such as an integration with analytics, as the science of extracting value from data and structuring complex problems.
Managers' decision processes can fall into a continuum which has on one hand pure analysis, which relies on established processes, and pure synthesis that involves identification of patterns and new ideas (Pidd, 2009). Strategic planning involves a mix between both extremes: analysis to identify problems and synthesis to observe trends and emerging situations before competitors. However, there is not a clear process when combining the two. Sometimes, emerging situations are discovered and then analysis is employed to confirm their impact while transforming them into new emergent strategies. In other circumstances, there is a careful planning process involving extensive data gathering and the construction of complex financial, operational and other type models to validate the new strategies.
The idea behind "Strategic Analytics" is to answer a simple question: how can quantitative and qualitative information be used to make strategic decisions? Strategic Analytics does not imply turning managers into quantitative analysts or quantitative analysts into expert strategists. Organizations need interdisciplinary teams comprised by members who can talk to each other sharing a common language. Thus, Strategic Analytics works on the basis of providing a reasonable understanding of how a variety of quantitative methods, in conjunction with structured and unstructured data, can be used to help strategic decision making in any organization. There is also the intent to show the real and practical benefit of Strategic Analytics. Strategic Analytics does not pretend to offer easy solutions to strategic problems but different ways of analyzing and solving strategic problems beyond the traditional qualitative approach to strategic management. Strategic Analytics is also an understanding of the context and processes in which analytics skills can be applied to support strategic management.
Future managers are taught a wide variety of concepts in strategy subjects but they are not taught how to apply them or even to connect them to related problems. Future managers need to develop capabilities to tackle problems that are not structured in a neat way like case studies are. In that sense, each chapter focuses on a case study with limited information that has to be solved applying a combination of theoretical concepts and analytical methods (quantitative and qualitative). The aim of this founding principle is to integrate strategic concepts with analytical tools in a unique set of capabilities (skills) to help future managers to tackle strategic problem using multiple sources of information. The main benefit is that quantitative methods, which are usually seen as a difficult experience for managers, are connected with a hands-on subject like strategy. Therefore, managers can learn capabilities to tackle complex problems in strategy through the integration of analytics (quantitative/qualitative methods to extract value from data) within strategic management processes. Therefore, the book will provide a bridge to integrate quantitative methods with their application in strategy adding rigorous methods to solve real issues in strategy.
The rest of the chapter introduces the main pillars of the book: the fields of analytics, management science, information technology, statistics and strategic management.
1.1 What is Analytics?
Organizations are competing using analytics because there is an increasing amount of data, people with capabilities to use data and, in a highly competitive environment, it is more difficult to compete effectively. While organizations can use basic descriptive statistics from any of their existing data, organizations using analytics apply modeling to understand their environments, predict the behavior of key actors, e.g. customers and suppliers, and optimize operations. Organizations can obtain competitive advantage using multiples analytics applications but it requires a new type of organization and management (Davenport, 2006):
a companywide embrace of analytics impels changes in culture, processes, behavior and skills for many employees. And so, like any major transition, it requires leadership from executives at the very top who have a passion for the quantitative approach. CEOs leading the analytics charge require both an appreciation of and a familiarity with the subject. A background in statistics isn't necessary, but those leaders must understand the theory behind various quantitative methods so that they recognize those methods' limitations-which factors are weighed and which ones aren't. Of course, not all decision should be grounded in analytics. For analytics-minded leaders, then, the challenge boils down to knowing when to run with the numbers and when to run with their guts (Davenport, 2006: pages 102-103)
An analytical perspective is important, when data has become a key strategic asset of organizations in recent years, and analytics creates value by delivering systematic decision support in a well-timed way (Laursen and Thorlund, 2010; Holsapple et al., 2014). Business analytics, one of the multiple branches in Analytics, comprises three key elements: Information Systems, Human Competencies, and Business Processes (Laursen and Thorlund, 2010). Business analytics reflects the convergence of three disciplines: statistics, information systems, and management science (Laursen and Thorlund, 2010). While the supporting disciplines are traditional, the innovation lies in their intersections. For example, data mining aims to understand characteristics and patterns among variables in large databases using a variety of statistical analysis, e.g. correlation and regression analysis. Information technology provides data and supports decision support systems, which are sustained by management science tools together with statistical analysis, for the development of analytics. Business analytics is rooted in advances of information technology systems, which involve the acquisition, generation, assimilation, selection and presentation of data, together with tools, statistics and management science, to develop the data into knowledge to support decision making. In a similar definition, Mortenson et al. (2015) suggest analytics is the intersection of basic disciplines: technologies (electrical engineering and computer science), decision making (psychology and behavioral science) and quantitative methods (mathematics, statistics and economics); and their applications: information systems, artificial intelligence and operational research. Figure 1.1 shows Mortenson et al.'s (2015) representation of the concept of analytics.
Figure 1.1 The analytics field..
Source: Mortenson et al. (2015: figure 1, page 586). Reproduced with permission of Elsevier
In terms of types of analytics, Davenport proposes three types: descriptive, predictive, and prescriptive (Davenport, 2013), which are described below.
- Descriptive Analytics. It employs traditional statistical skills to present data collected from internal organizational activities and external data. It is utilized to understand what happened during their past business activities in order to disclose whether the current business objectives have been obtained. Then the next step is to investigate the reasons behind the results by drilling down into more detailed data and explore scientifically, e.g. test and validate or reject hypotheses. It is characterized traditionally as data mining, business intelligence and dashboards.
- Predictive Analytics. It involves statistical and mathematic techniques to predict future unknown events or behaviors based on historical data to support operations. Some of the popular techniques in this area cover decision tree, text analytics, neural networks, regression modeling, and time-series forecasting. Predictive analytics also relies on...
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