
The Ecological Detective
Description
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Ray Hilborn and Marc Mangel investigate ecological data much as a detective would investigate a crime scene by trying different hypotheses until a coherent picture emerges. The book is not a set of pat statistical procedures but rather an approach. The Ecological Detective makes liberal use of computer programming for the generation of hypotheses, exploration of data, and the comparison of different models. The authors' attitude is one of exploration, both statistical and graphical. The background required is minimal, so that students with an undergraduate course in statistics and ecology can profitably add this work to their tool-kit for solving ecological problems.
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Content
1 An Ecological Scenario and the Tools of the Ecological Detective 3
2 Alternative Views of the Scientific Method and of Modeling 12
3 Probability and Probability Models: Know Your Data 39
4 Incidental Catch in Fisheries: Seabirds in the New Zealand Squid Trawl Fishery 94
5 The Confrontation: Sum of Squares 106
6 The Evolutionary Ecology of Insect Oviposition Behavior 118
7 The Confrontation: Likelihood and Maximum Likelihood 131
8 Conservation Biology of Wildebeest in the Serengeti 180
9 The Confrontation: Bayesian Goodness of Fit 203
10 Management of Hake Fisheries in Namibia Motivation 235
11 The Confrontation: Understanding How the Best Fit Is Found 263
Appendix "The Method of Multiple Working Hypotheses" 281
References 295
Index 309
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