The Probabilistic SIR Model (PSIR) in the Pandemic Process
Project Management in Prevention and Support
1st Edition
Published on 26. June 2023
XII, 77 pages
978-3-031-31190-1 (ISBN)
Description
With all the insights experienced in the COVID process, one essential remains: "The virus remains a constant companion". In contrast to regularly occurring infection processes, a COVID infection takes a different course. This is characterized by a dynamic that deviates from conventional, well-known processes in that the originators change their identity and develop corresponding variants. Therefore, preventive infection management - supported by statistical-probabilistic analyzes with PSIR - is important for preventive management of resources and infrastructure for the "waves ahead of the wave".
More details
Series
Language
English
Place of publication
Cham
Switzerland
Publishing group
Springer International Publishing
Target group
Professional and scholarly
Product notice
Reflowable
Illustrations
XII, 77 p. 48 illus.
File size
5,99 MB
ISBN-13
978-3-031-31190-1 (9783031311901)
DOI
10.1007/978-3-031-31190-1
Schweitzer Classification
Other editions
Additional editions
Marcus Hellwig
The Probabilistic SIR Model (PSIR) in the Pandemic Process
Project Management in Prevention and Support
Book
07/2023
1st Edition
Springer Vieweg
€16.04
The article will not be published
Person
Marcus Hellwig
is a quality manager as qualified by the German Society for Quality DGQ and author of specialist books.
Content
Occasion, derived from a letter to the editor.- Objectives.- SIR model as a basis for a probabilistic model.- Introduction: Consideration of an infection interval for a federal state.- The "infection curve" I(t) is replaced by the skewed, steep Eqb density function.- Random ranges of NV and Eqb.- Presentation of the equibalance distribution, Eqb.- Infection management in connection with the course of the incidence.- Infection, avoidance and healing process, feedback.- Representation of a process management.- Pre-phase planning supported by network planning technology.- Summary.
