
Intelligence Analysis
Description
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Intelligence Analysis: How to Think in Complex Environments fills a void in the existing literature on contemporary warfare by examining the theoretical and conceptual foundations of effective modern intelligence analysis-the type of analysis needed to support military operations in modern, complex operational environments. This volume is an expert guide for rethinking intelligence analysis and understanding the true nature of the operational environment, adversaries, and most importantly, the populace.
Intelligence Analysis proposes substantive improvements in the way the U.S. national security system interprets intelligence, drawing on the groundbreaking work of theorists ranging from Carl von Clauswitz and Sun Tzu to M. Mitchell Waldrop, General David Petraeus, Richards Heuer, Jr., Orson Scott Card, and others. The new ideas presented here will help the nation to amass a formidable, cumulative intelligence power, with distinct advantages over any and all adversaries of the future regardless of the level of war or type of operational environment.
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Content
Acknowledgments
Introduction
Part I: The Continuous War of Wits
1. The Operational Environment
2. The Problem
3. Solutions
4. Setting the Stage for Advanced Analysis
Part II: Advanced Analysis-In Detail
5. Decomposition
6. Critical Thinking
7. Link Analysis
8. Pattern Analysis
9. Trend Analysis
10. Anticipatory Analysis
11. Technical Analysis
12. Tendency Analysis
13. Anomaly Analysis
14. Cultural Analysis
15. Semiotics Analysis
16. Aggregation Analysis
17. Recomposition
18. Synthesis
19. Technology for Advanced Analysis
Part III: System of Thought
20. On a System of Thought
21. Closing Thoughts
Notes
Select Bibliography
Index
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