
Tomorrow's Transportation
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Content
- Intro
- Contents v
- Preface xv
- 1 A Bit of Perspective 1
- The window on the world for most people is their car window 5
- And so... 5
- References 6
- Part I: The Car and Traffic 7
- 2 The Car that Can Drive Itself 9
- But other things have changed very little... 11
- Tip of the iceberg 13
- Hands-off freeway driving 13
- The driver becomes a passenger 14
- New, exclusive highways? 16
- Continuing evolution 17
- Designing the system: we emulate the human 17
- The end of driving? 20
- The nondriver isn't anymore 20
- The automated car offers more than just automation 21
- Platooning 21
- It's not just for moving people 22
- Brave new world! 24
- References 25
- 3 Congestion: The Devil We Know 27
- Ultimate gridlock 28
- Is congestion increasing? 29
- A paradox? 31
- A short story about the suburbs 32
- What congestion is costing us 34
- Just part of the story 35
- We can do better 37
- References 37
- 4 Congestion: What Are We Doing about It? 39
- The broad prescription for congestion relief 40
- Traffic control and the intelligent transportation system program 41
- Better public transportation 45
- Car pooling 48
- Reversible lanes 50
- High-occupancy vehicle lanes 50
- Vehicle automation 51
- Other favorites 51
- Where does all this leave us? 52
- References 53
- 5 Congestion: A Better Strategy? 55
- Freeway Traffic Flow 101: The nature of the phenomenon 56
- A freeway game 60
- So once again-the prescription 60
- What, then, to do? 61
- Off the freeway-surface streets 63
- The waiting line bugaboo 64
- Road pricing, the economists' favorite 65
- The synergy of metering plus pricing 67
- Looking ahead: a summary 67
- Selected bibliography 68
- Appendix 5A: Variable driver behavior and the highway capacity curve 70
- 6 Some New Kinds of Cars 73
- The commuter car 73
- On a different track: the neighborhood car 76
- Imagine more 78
- Getting started 79
- Operations and impact-the commuter car 80
- Operations and impact-the neighborhood car 82
- Headwinds 83
- References 84
- Part II: The City and Transportation 87
- 7 Transportation and the Evolution of the City 89
- The birth of the modern city 92
- The quality of life 94
- Whither now? 96
- Selected bibliography 97
- 8 The Modern Dilemma: What to Do? 99
- Relative roles 103
- Service in the suburbs-thin, diffuse travel patterns 105
- But once in the car 106
- Where does this leave us? 107
- What, then, to do? 107
- Innovation 110
- Next 111
- References 111
- 9 A New Kind of Minicity 113
- References 119
- 10 The Second-Story City 121
- Let's push the envelope 123
- Revitalize our downtowns? 123
- Reference 124
- 11 The Variegated City 125
- Cities thrive by variegating 126
- Looking ahead at trends-folk living everywhere 127
- How we live-is everything old new again? 128
- Chauffeuring 130
- How we work 131
- The variegated city 133
- References 134
- 12 Variegated Transportation for Variegated Cities 135
- Electric streetcars and the two-step dance 137
- Public-private roles in how things happen 140
- Constrained exploring 144
- References 145
- Part III: Energy and Emissions 147
- 13 Energy Use and Pollutant Emissions 149
- Transportation energy consumption by mode 153
- Pollution 155
- Where are we going? 156
- What can we do about it? 157
- Everything we do involves tradeoffs 158
- Higher fuel prices? 160
- The fuel cell and the hydrogen possibility 161
- What, then, to do now? 162
- References 163
- Part IV: Between Cities: Rail and Other Ground Transportation Systems 165
- 14 The Innovation that Changed the World: How Did It Happen? 167
- England in 1800-"Built out" 168
- The Stockton and Darlington Railway 169
- The recipe for discovery 172
- References 176
- 15 America and the Two-Step Dance 177
- Shallow stuff 179
- The two-step dance 180
- Digging deeper 181
- Creative destruction and the devil we know 184
- United States in 2000: "Built out" 184
- References 185
- 16 Where Are We Today? 187
- The highway and road system 187
- The air system 189
- The rail system 190
- Safety 192
- About freight transportation 193
- But there are problems 193
- It's not hopeless 194
- References 196
- 17 Where Would We Like to Go? 197
- Goal #1: lower the costs of small batch movements 198
- Goal #2: significantly reduce trip time for both passengers and freight 201
- Goal #3: lower costs overall 203
- Other dimensions of performance 204
- References 204
- 18 Serendipity 205
- Separate highways? 206
- Why not TOFC or COFC everywhere? 208
- Minitrains? Individual, self-powered cars? 211
- What does that kind of single vehicle or minitrain capability gain us? 213
- Back to our original problem-getting the trucks off the highway 215
- But wait! 216
- References 216
- 19 Beyond Railroading: a New System 219
- Thinking about fixed guideway options 222
- The implications of our desires 222
- There is more to speed than just speed 225
- Networks versus closed circuits: the need for switching 226
- Guideway options 227
- Maglev 229
- Very high speed: a fly in the ointment? 230
- References 231
- 20 A Superspeed Highway 233
- The old familiar problem 237
- Fixed guideway or high-speed highway? 238
- What do we propose? 239
- 21 Big and Slow, but Cheap! 241
- The dance goes on 243
- Suggestions 245
- Why not more blood from those turnips? 246
- With a little help from our friends 247
- Full circle 248
- References 248
- Part V: The Air Transportation System 249
- 22 To Grandmother's House We Fly 251
- Urban terminals 255
- Terminal interiors 257
- Around the airport 258
- The airside 259
- The airport system of the future? 260
- Faster airplanes? 261
- Technology, congestion 263
- Selected bibliography 265
- References 266
- 23 The Los Angeles Airport System in 2020, 2040, 2060-a Parable 267
- The tyranny of the seminal decision 268
- The view from 2000 271
- The dilemma of 2000 275
- The hub-and-spoke route structure 276
- The continuing evolution 277
- A zero-sum game? 279
- The Airport Planning Commission of 2020-and what actually happened in the prior 20 years 280
- Improving technology and the sharper sword 281
- The upshot: what actually happened 283
- The view from 2020 looking forward 286
- The view from 2040? 287
- References 287
- Part VI: The New Millennium 289
- 24 Communication and Transportation 291
- What's going on? 292
- It takes two to tango 294
- Synergies and impacts: looking around and looking back 294
- Globalization 296
- The downside 298
- Adolescence 300
- References 301
- 25 Optimism 303
- References 308
- About the Authors 309
- Index 311
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