
Future Babble
Description
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In this fast-paced, example-packed, sometimes darkly hilarious book, Dan Gardner shows how seminal research by professor Philip Tetlock proved that the more famous a pundit is, the more likely they are to be right about as often as a stopped watch. Gardner also draws on current research in cognitive psychology, political science, and behavioral economics to discover something quite reassuring: The future is always uncertain, but the end is not always near.
Reviews / Votes
Future Babble is genuinely arresting ... required reading for journalists, politicians, academics and anyone who listens to them. * Steven Pinker * A rare mix of superb scholarship and zesty prose. * Philip Tetlock, author of Expert Political Judgement and Mitchell Professor of Organizational Behavior, Hass School of Business, University of California * Hugely enjoyable * Financial Times * It is a tour de force, absolutely outstanding * Matt Ridley * This book should be required reading for America's intelligence agencies -- Dylan Evans * The Guardian * Gardner leaves plenty of prognosticators squirming on history's thumbtack. * The New York Times Book Review *More details
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