
Principles of Forensic Engineering Applied to Industrial Accidents
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Forensic engineering should be seen as a rigorous approach to the discovery of root causes that lead to an accident or near-miss. The approach should be suitable to identify both the immediate causes as well as the underlying factors that affected, amplified, or modified the events in terms of consequences, evolution, dynamics, etc., as well as the contribution of an eventual "human error".
This book is a concise and introductory volume to the forensic engineering discipline which helps the reader to recognize the link among those important, very specialized aspects of the same problem in the global strategy of learning from accidents (or near-misses). The reader will benefit from a single point of access to this very large, technical literature that can be only correctly understood with the right terms, definitions, and links in mind.
Keywords:
* Presents simple (real) cases, as well as giving an overview of more complex ones, each of them investigated within the same framework;
* Gives the readers the bibliography to access more in-depth specific aspects;
* Offers an overview of the most commonly used methodologies and techniques to investigate accidents, including the evidence that should be collected to define the cause, dynamics and responsibilities of an industrial accident, as well as the most appropriate methods to collect and preserve the evidence through an appropriate chain of security.
Principles of Forensic Engineering Applied to Industrial Accidents is essential reading for researchers and practitioners in forensic engineering, as well as graduate students in forensic engineering departments and other professionals.
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Persons
Professor Luca Fiorentini is an internationally recognized expert in the field of industrial, process safety and fire engineering. He is owner and CEO of TECSA S.r.l. international consulting company working in the field of loss prevention and industrial safety, fire engineering and environmental protection. He is senior process safety, HSE, fire engineering and reliability consultant. Professor Fiorentini has experience in QRA (Hazop, LOPA, FTA, ETA, Consequence analysis), CFD and FEM methods, RAM analysis and industrial risk assessment for a number of industries: major hazard industries, refineries, chemical and petrochemical plants, liquid hydrocarbons and LPG storage farms, oil and gas onshore installations and offshore platforms, steelwork plants, food processing facilities, pharmaceutical and fine chemicals production plants, hospitals and health care facilities, ports and piers. He is an expert of fire engineering and fire risk assessment. Fiorentini is a recognized forensic engineer and investigator for fires, explosions and industrial and marine accidents. He is the author of several books, articles and conference papers as well as a reviewer for a number of scientific magazines. He is also a professional member of the Chartered Society of Forensic Sciences (UK) and an editorial board member of "International Journal of Forensic Engineering" and "Fire Protection Engineering Magazine" (SFPE).
Professor Luca Marmo is a researcher at Politecnico di Torino technical university, holder of the chair of "Safety of industrial Processes" on the Chemical Engineering course, and director of the "Experimental Centre for Explosive Atmosphere Safety" at the Politecnico di Torino Scientific Activity. Consultant to the Public prosecutor and to the Court as a forensic engineer, he has investigated more than one hundred industrial and civil accidents, mainly fires and explosions. The skills of his research group are mainly focused on industrial safety and risk analysis, production of microorganisms and biomolecules of industrial interest, valorisation processes of wastes and industrial by-products, and production of microorganisms and enzymes applied in toxic compounds biodegradation processes. Other research fields concern experimental activity on fluidised bed reactors, CFD modelling of gassolid multiphase reactors, and experimental activity on the valorisation of wastes. Author of more than 60 papers on international journals or presented at conferences, he is also a consultant to many companies and public bodies in the field of industrial safety and accident prevention, including government agencies at national and European level.
Content
Foreword by Giomi xiii
Foreword by Chiaia xv
Foreword by Tee xvii
Preface xix
Acknowledgement xxi
List of Acronyms xxiii
1 Introduction 1
1.1 Who Should ReadThis Book? 1
1.2 Going Beyond theWidget! 2
1.3 Forensic Engineering as a Discipline 5
References 7
Further Reading 7
2 Industrial Accidents 9
2.1 Accidents 9
2.1.1 Principles of Combustion 14
2.1.1.1 Flammable Gases and Vapors 17
2.1.1.2 Flammable Liquids 21
2.1.1.3 The Ignition 22
2.1.2 Fires 23
2.1.3 Explosions 27
2.1.4 Incidental Scenarios 33
2.2 Near Misses 39
2.3 Process Safety 40
2.3.1 Management of Safety 41
2.4 The Importance of Accidents 47
2.4.1 Seveso disaster 48
2.4.2 Bhopal Disaster 51
2.4.3 Flixborough Disaster 55
2.4.4 Deepwater Horizon Drilling Rig Explosion 58
2.4.5 San Juanico Disaster 60
2.4.6 Buncefield Disaster 64
2.5 Performance Indicators 68
2.6 The Role of 'Uncertainty' and 'Risk' 72
References 75
Further reading 78
3 What is Accident Investigation?What is Forensic Engineering?What is Risk Assessment?Who is the Forensic Engineer and what is his Role? 79
3.1 Investigation 79
3.2 Forensic Engineering 87
3.3 Legal Aspects 91
3.4 Ethic Issues 95
3.5 Insurance Aspects 96
3.6 Accident Prevention and Risk Assessment 98
3.6.1 "What-if " Analysis 100
3.6.2 Hazard and Operability Analysis (HAZOP) & Hazard Identification (HAZID) 101
3.6.3 Failure Modes and Effects Analysis (FMEA) 105
3.7 Technical Standards 105
References 112
Further Reading 113
4 The Forensic EngineeringWorkflow 115
4.1 TheWorkflow 115
4.2 Team and Planning 118
4.3 Preliminary and Onsite Investigation (Collecting the Evidence) 124
4.3.1 Sampling 127
4.3.1.1 Selection of the Sample 127
4.3.1.2 Collection of the Sample 128
4.3.1.3 Packaging of the Sample 129
4.3.1.4 Sealing the Packaging 130
4.4 Sources and Type of Evidence to be Considered 130
4.4.1 People 133
4.4.1.1 Conducting the Interview 136
4.4.2 Paper Documentation 138
4.4.3 Digital Documentation and Electronic Data 140
4.4.3.1 An Example about the Value of Digital Evidence 141
4.4.4 Physical Evidence 145
4.4.5 Position Data 146
4.4.6 Photographs 147
4.4.6.1 The Collection of the Photographs 148
4.4.6.2 Photograph Cataloguing 150
4.5 Recognise the Evidence 152
4.5.1 Short Case Studies 155
4.5.1.1 Explosion of Flour at the Mill of Cordero in Fossano 156
4.5.1.2 Explosion at the Pettinatura Italiana Plant 157
4.5.1.3 Explosion of the Boiler of the SISAS Plant of Pioltello 160
4.5.1.4 Explosion of the Steam Generator of the Plant Enichem Synthesis at Villadossola 163
4.5.1.5 Aluminium Dust Explosion at Nicomax in Verbania 163
4.6 Organize the Evidence 166
4.7 Conducting the Investigation and the Analysis 168
4.7.1 Method of the Conic Spiral 172
4.7.2 Evidence Analysis 173
4.8 Reporting and Communication 175
References 180
Further Reading 182
5 Investigation Methods 183
5.1 Causes and Causal Mechanism Analysis 183
5.2 Time and Events Sequence 192
5.2.1 STEP Method 196
5.3 Human Factor 199
5.3.1 Human Error 204
5.3.2 Analysis of Operative Instructions andWorking Procedures 208
5.4 Methods 212
5.4.1 Expert Judgment and Brainstorming 213
5.4.2 Structured Methods and Approaches 214
5.4.2.1 Pre-structured Methods 218
5.4.2.2 Barrier-based Systematic Cause Analysis Technique (BSCATTM) 222
5.4.2.3 Tripod Beta 228
5.4.2.4 Barrier Failure Analysis (BFA) 232
5.4.2.5 Root Cause Analysis (RCA) 238
5.4.2.6 QRA derived tools 253
References 263
Further Reading 266
6 Derive Lessons 267
6.1 Pre and Post Accident Management 267
6.2 Develop Recommendations 274
6.2.1 An Application of Risk Analysis to Choose the Best Corrective Measure 284
6.3 Communication 290
6.4 Safety (and Risk) Management and Training 296
6.5 Organization Systems and Safety Culture 298
6.6 Behavior-based Safety (BBS) 303
6.7 Understanding Near-misses and Treat Them 304
References 307
Further Reading 308
7 CaseStudies 309
7.1 Jet Fire at a Steel Plant 309
7.1.1 Introduction 309
7.1.2 How it Happened (Incident Dynamics) 310
7.1.3 Why it Happened 314
7.1.4 Findings 321
7.1.5 Lessons Learned and Recommendations 322
7.1.6 Forensic Engineering Highlights 326
7.1.7 References and Further Readings 328
7.2 Fire on Board a Ferryboat 329
7.2.1 Introduction 329
7.2.2 How it Happened (Incident Dynamics) 330
7.2.3 Why it Happened 330
7.2.4 Findings 338
7.2.5 Lessons Learned and Recommendations 342
7.2.6 Forensic Engineering Highlights 342
7.2.6.1 The Discharge Activity and the Evidence Collection 342
7.2.6.2 Use of and Issues Regarding Digital Evidences 345
7.2.6.3 Expected Performances of the Installed DigitalMemories 348
7.2.6.4 The VDR (Voyage Data Recorder) System 348
7.2.6.5 Data Extraction from the "Black Box" (i.e.: FRM Module) 350
7.2.6.6 Analysis and Use of Extracted Data 351
7.2.6.7 Documentation Analysis of the Fire Detection System 352
7.2.7 References and Further Readings 354
7.3 LOPC of Toxic Substance at a Chemical Plant 354
7.3.1 Introduction 354
7.3.2 How it Happened (Incident Dynamics) 354
7.3.3 Why it Happened 355
7.3.4 Findings 358
7.3.5 Lessons Learned and Recommendations 363
7.3.6 Forensic Engineering Highlights 364
7.4 Refinery's Pipeway Fire 366
7.4.1 Introduction 366
7.4.2 How it Happened (Incident Dynamics) 367
7.4.3 Why it Happened 371
7.4.4 Findings 373
7.4.5 Lessons Learned and Recommendations 375
7.4.6 Forensic Engineering Highlights 378
7.4.7 References and Further Readings 379
7.5 Flash Fire at a Lime Furnace Fuel Storage Silo 381
7.5.1 Introduction 381
7.5.2 How it Happened (Incident Dynamics) 382
7.5.3 Why it Happened 385
7.5.4 Findings 388
7.5.5 Lessons Learned and Recommendations 388
7.5.6 Forensic Engineering Highlights 388
7.5.7 Further Readings 388
7.6 Explosion of a Rotisserie Van Oven Fueled by an LPG System 389
7.6.1 Introduction 389
7.6.2 How it Happened (Incident Dynamics) 390
7.6.3 Why it Happened 394
7.6.4 Findings 398
7.6.5 Lessons Learned and Recommendations 399
7.6.6 Forensic Engineering Highlights 399
7.6.7 Further Readings 406
7.7 Fragment Projection inside a Congested Process Area 407
7.7.1 Introduction 407
7.7.2 How it Happened (Incident Dynamics) 408
7.7.3 Why it Happened 408
7.7.4 Findings 409
7.7.4.1 Collection of Evidences and Data 410
7.7.4.2 Initial Plate Velocity and Box Deformation 410
7.7.4.3 Development of a Piping Damage Criteria 415
7.7.4.4 Evaluation of Damages 421
7.7.4.5 Results for Impacts for Some Pipes 421
7.7.4.6 FI-BLAST© Adaptation to Perform a Parametric Study 422
7.7.4.7 Results of the Parametric Study 426
7.7.5 Lessons Learned and Recommendations 427
7.7.6 Forensic Engineering Highlights 428
7.7.7 References and Further Readings 429
7.8 Refinery Process Unit Fire 429
7.8.1 Introduction 429
7.8.2 How it Happened (Incident Dynamics) 429
7.8.3 Why it Happened 433
7.8.4 Findings 435
7.8.4.1 Examination of the Effects of the Fire 437
7.8.4.2 Water and Foam Consumption 438
7.8.4.3 Damages 438
7.8.5 Lessons Learned and Recommendations 438
7.8.6 Forensic Engineering Highlights 439
7.8.7 References and Further Readings 448
7.9 Crack in an Oil Pipeline 449
7.9.1 Introduction 449
7.9.2 How it Happened (Accident Dynamics) 450
7.9.3 Why it Happened 453
7.9.4 Experimental Campaign on the Pipeline Segment 453
7.9.5 Findings 457
7.9.6 Lessons Learned and Recommendations 460
7.9.7 Forensic Engineering Highlights 462
7.9.8 References and Further Readings 463
7.10 Storage Building on Fire 463
7.10.1 Introduction 463
7.10.2 How it Happened (Accident Dynamics) 464
7.10.3 Why it Happened 464
7.10.4 Findings 465
7.10.5 Lessons Learned and Recommendations 466
7.10.6 Forensic Engineering Highlights 467
7.10.7 Further Readings 467
8 Conclusions and Recommendations 469
References 471
9 A Look Into the Future 473
References 476
A Principles on Probability 477
A.1 Basic Notions on Probability 477
Index 479
1
Introduction
Who Should Read This Book?
"Principles of forensic engineering applied to industrial accidents" is intended to be an introductory volume on the investigation of industrial accidents. Forensic engineering should be seen as a rigorous approach to the discovery of root causes that lead to an accident or a near-miss. The approach should be suitable to identify both the immediate causes as well as the underlying factors that affected, amplified or modified the events (regarding consequences, evolution, dynamics), and the contribute by an eventual "human error".
A number of books have already been published on similar topics. The idea behind this book is not to replace those important volumes but to obtain a single concise and introductory volume (also for students and authorities) to the forensic engineering discipline that helps understand the link among those critical but very functional aspects of the same problem in the global strategy of learning from accidents (or near-misses). The reader, in this sense, will benefit from a single point of access to this vast technical literature that can be only accessed with proficiency having the right terms, definitions, and links in mind. On the contrary, the reader could get lost in all the quoted literature that day by day increases due to the speed of the research in this complex field.
The intent of the book is:
- Presenting simple real cases as well as give an overview of more complex ones, each of them investigated with the same framework;
- giving the readers the bibliography to access more in-depth specific aspects;
- giving them an overview of the most and commonly used methodologies and techniques to investigate accidents;
- giving them a summary of the evidence, which should be collected to define the cause, dynamics, and responsibilities of an industrial accident;
- giving them an overview of the most appropriate methods to collect and to preserve evidence through an appropriate chain of custody; and
- giving an overview of the main mistakes that can lead to misjudgment or loss of proof.
The book is an introductory volume for readers in academia as well as professionals who want to know more about the forensic engineering methodologies to be applied to discover more about the causes of industrial accidents in order to derive lessons. Among those professionals, we can identify process and safety managers, risk managers, industrial risks consultants, attorneys, authorities having jurisdiction, judges and prosecutors, and so on.
It is particularly addressed to those who would like to approach the fundamentals of forensic engineering discipline without directly going to specialised already available volumes and handbooks that need a sound background to be read. Nonetheless, reading this book may help professionals (e.g. loss adjusters, risk engineers, safety professionals, safety management systems consultants.) and students who want to have a concise book as prompt reference towards the main important recognised resources available (e.g. CCPS©-AIChE© books also edited by Wiley, NFPA© 921 Standard, etc.) or as a bridge between risk assessment and accidents investigation (as a tool to learn from real accidents or near-misses in order to improve safety).
1.2 Going Beyond the Widget!
When investigating an industrial accident or a near miss, it should be well kept in mind that the primary goal to be reached is not to find a concise fault of a well-defined widget, confined to a distinct domain. A rigorous approach to the forensic discipline requires going much deeper in the investigation, not stopping at the main relevant evidence, even if properly gathered and analysed. It often happens that accident reports are one-dimensional [1]: in simple words, they identify only a single cause, usually corresponding to the outer layer of the complexity that surrounds the reconstruction of the incidental dynamics. Even when multiple causes are discovered, the investigator seldom looks beyond them.
In the industrial context, a complex system of relations, information, and people is present, with its peculiarity and hierarchy, creating a structured entity that needs to be considered when investigating an accident or a near miss. Thus, it becomes necessary to consider as an element of investigation the management systems as well, as some causes of the accident may be related to management failure, so to take the corrective actions and to prevent a further similar failure. A good investigator does not find culprits, does not blame. A good investigator collects evidence, analyses it and finds the root causes and the relations among them that lead to the accident, whilst also considering the managerial duties and, as usually happens, then provides suggestions about corrective actions to avoid the reoccurrence of the undesired event.
Focusing on the system, rather than the individual, represents the right way to face an investigation, at least for two reasons [2]. Firstly, if equipment and systems provided to persons reveal to be not effective, thus it is not the individual responsibility that has to be pointed out as the fault cause. Secondly, it is much easier to change a managerial choice rather than a person or his/her behavior, which is susceptible to vary daily. Third, human errors may often be the consequence of insufficient training, motivation or attention to safety, all being aspects that the management should promote and monitor. It is a matter of controllability and reliability, as they are the two most essential ingredients to ensure that the lesson learnt will guarantee an increasing, or a restoration at least, of the safety level accepted in the industry at the corporate, field and line levels. Metaphorically speaking, an accident investigation is like peeling an onion: this concept, cited in [3], gives us a live image of what we are called to solve (see Figure 1.1). Technical problems and mechanical failures are the outer layers of the onion: they are the immediate causes. Only once you peel them you can find the inner layers, thus the underlying causes like those involving the management weaknesses.
Figure 1.1 The onion-like structure between immediate causes and root causes.
Going beyond the widget is what a professional investigator does. Let us consider a relief valve that fails, causing harm and loss (thus an accident) also involving some injuries to the line operators. A neophyte may conclude: "It was a fault in the relief valve. Case is closed, people". On the contrary, a good investigator may wonder: "Is it a consequence of an unexpected running condition, exceeding the operational limits? Was there an erroneous maintenance procedure? Was it installed correctly? Is it a result of an entire procurement of damaged relief valves?". The differences in the two extreme examples are clear: it is highly recommended to investigate spanning at least over the following three levels: line, field, and corporate levels. This good practice should suggest what a proper investigation requires: a project management and a variously skilled team of investigators.
Conducting an investigation means to plan the activities, to organise meetings, to schedule recognitions of the accident area, to inform and to be informed, to commission tests to external laboratories, to manage resources, mainly time and budget. But most of all conducting an investigation means to link the collected elements in a multidisciplinary network. To do this you need many different skills to work together. Many people get confused about how to conduct an investigation. The best way to face such a complex challenge is to consider it as an ordinary project: organisational and managerial skills, listening capacity in addition to a problem-solving attitude, are the desirable features of the investigator.
The recent approach in accident investigation reflects the simple concept discussed in this Paragraph. Indeed, over the past decade, a transition has occurred not only in the way accidents are investigated, but also in the way they are perceived [4]. One more time, the transition has shown an increasing focus on the organisational context rather than on the technical failures and human errors. This transition is also felt by the public opinion that forms after an industrial accident and is broadcasted by media. It is interesting to observe that such a transition can also be noted from the legal point of view, with an evolution of national laws and international technical standards and codes supporting a progressive shift of liability from the worker to the contractor and, more recently, to the top management of the company or, in some countries like Italy, to the Company itself. It is possible to claim that there is a sort of alignment among the technical aspects implicated in the forensic science, including the procedural way to conduct an investigation, and the legal issues. This transition has given rise to new methods to analyse an industrial accident, whose attention is primarily focused on the so-called "organisational network" and whose objective is to reconstruct empirically the real accidental phenomenon exploring the theoretical organisational structures. The goal is very ambitious and hard. It requires a multiplicity of transversal scientific skills, attitude, intuition and managerial capabilities. It requires ground competencies to find, gather and analyse that evidence that may be the trace of some...
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