Risk Intelligence
How to Live with Uncertainty
Published on 1. July 2012
288 pages
978-0-85789-926-2 (ISBN)
Description
There is a special kind of intelligence for dealing with risk and uncertainty. It doesn't correlate with IQ and most psychologists fail to spot it because it is found in such a disparate, rag-tag group of people such as weather-forecasters, professional gamblers and hedge-fund managers.
This book shows just how important risk intelligence is. Many people in positions which require high risk intelligence - doctors, financial regulators and bankers - seem unable to navigate doubt and uncertainty. Risk Intelligence is a traveller's guide to the twilight zone of probabilities and speculation. Dylan Evans shows us how risk intelligence is vital to making good decisions, from dealing with climate change to combating terrorism. He argues that we can all learn a lot from expert gamblers, not just about money, but about how to make decisions in all aspects of our lives.
This book shows just how important risk intelligence is. Many people in positions which require high risk intelligence - doctors, financial regulators and bankers - seem unable to navigate doubt and uncertainty. Risk Intelligence is a traveller's guide to the twilight zone of probabilities and speculation. Dylan Evans shows us how risk intelligence is vital to making good decisions, from dealing with climate change to combating terrorism. He argues that we can all learn a lot from expert gamblers, not just about money, but about how to make decisions in all aspects of our lives.
Reviews / Votes
Risk Intelligence is a manifesto for a new approach to knowledge and uncertainty. It will change the way you think. * Jimmy Wales, Founder of Wikipedia * Risk Intelligence is really a great contribution for dealing with the biggest challenge we have in an interconnected world: complexity, velocity and uncertainty. * Klaus Schwab, Founder and Executive Chairman, World Economic Forum * Fascinating... Readers of this valuable manual will be better able to 'gauge the limits of [their] own knowledge' and increase their ability to make fact-based decisions. * Publishers Weekly, Starred Review *More details
Edition
Main
Language
English
Place of publication
London
United Kingdom
Illustrations
12 integrated line drawings
File size
4,27 MB
ISBN-13
978-0-85789-926-2 (9780857899262)
Copyright in bibliographic data and cover images is held by Nielsen Book Services Limited or by the publishers or by their respective licensors: all rights reserved.
Schweitzer Classification
Other editions
Additional editions
Book
09/2013
Atlantic Books
€32.39
Article not available at the moment
Person
Dylan Evans is the author of several critically acclaimed books, including Emotion: The Science of Sentiment (Oxford University Press, 2001) and Placebo: The Belief Effect (HarperCollins, 2003). He has a PhD in philosophy from the London School of Economics and is the founder of Projection Point, a company that designs risk intelligence training programs for corporate clients. He writes regularly for The Huffington Post and often appears on BBC Radio.
Content
- Intro
- Title Page
- Copyright page
- Dedication page
- Contents
- Chapter One: Why Risk Intelligence Matters
- Chapter Two: Discovering Your Risk Quotient
- Chapter Three: Into The Twilight Zone
- Chapter Four: Tricks of the Mind
- Chapter Five: The Madness of Crowds
- Chapter Six: Thinking by Numbers
- Chapter Seven: Weighing the Probable
- Chapter Eight: How to Gamble and Win
- Chapter Nine: Knowing What You Know
- Acknowledgments
- Appendix 1: Risk Intelligence Test
- Appendix 2: Personal Prediction Test
- Appendix 3: 2010 Prediction Game
- Appendix 4: Research Data
- Notes
- Index
- Note on the Author
