
The Future of the Environment
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Content
- Intro
- Contents
- Part I: Methods and Results
- 1. Can Technology Assure Environmentally Sound Economic Development?
- The Nature of the Problem
- The Significance of the Brundtland Report, OUR COMMON FUTURE (OCF)
- Framework for This Study
- Evaluation of the OCF Scenario
- Two Directions for the Future
- Plan of the Book
- 2. The OCF Scenario
- Basic Description of the OCF Scenario
- Detailed Technological Assumptions
- Economic Assumptions
- Representation of Investment
- Alternative Scenarios
- 3. Results and Conclusions
- Global and Regional Economic Implications
- Energy Use and Emissions of Carbon, Sulfur, and Nitrogen
- Growth of Individual Economic Sectors
- International Trade
- Results of Alternative Scenarios
- Appendix 1. Comparison of Results with Other Studies
- Appendix 2. A Note about Results at Different Levels of Aggregation
- Part II: Case Studies
- 4. Emissions
- Carbon Dioxide
- Sulfur Oxides
- Nitrogen Oxides
- Postcombustion Abatement of Nitrogen Emissions
- 5. Electric Power Generation
- Regional Distribution of Production of Electricity
- Representation of Electricity in the World Model
- Production Technology
- Projections Under the OCF Scenario
- Technology and Thermal Conversion Efficiencies
- 6. Industrial Energy Conservation
- Obstacles to Conservation
- Energy Conservation Measures and Reductions in Energy Use
- Projections Under the OCF Scenario
- 7. Processing and Fabrication of Metals
- Representation of Metals in the World Model
- Regional Distribution of Production and Use of Metals
- Use of Metals by the Metal-Fabricating Sectors in 1980 and 1987
- Changes in Metal Use in the United States and Other Developed Economies in the 1980s
- Differences in Metal Use Among Regions
- Virgin Metal Use in World Model Regions
- Projections Under the OCF Scenario
- International Trade in Metals
- 8. Construction
- The Role of the Construction Industry
- Subsectors of Construction
- Maintenance and Repair Construction
- Input Coefficients
- Projections Under the OCF Scenario
- 9. Cement
- The Role of the Cement Industry
- Regional Distribution of Production and Use of Cement
- Production Technology
- Energy Consumption
- Cost Structure
- Projections Under the OCF Scenario
- 10. Pulp and Paper
- Description of the Sector
- Recycling Technology
- Projections Under the OCF Scenario
- 11. Chemicals
- Description of the Sectors
- Regional Distribution of Production and Use of Chemicals
- Production Technology
- Use of Chemicals
- Prospects for the Future
- Updating Parameters
- 12. Household Energy Conservation
- Energy Use in Developed Regions
- Energy Use in Eastern Europe and the Former Soviet Union
- Energy Use in Developing Regions
- 13. Motor Vehicles
- Representation of Road Transportation in the World Model
- Regional Distribution of Production, Fleets, and Sales of Motor Vehicles
- Factors Governing Fuel Use by the Motor Vehicle Fleet
- Regional Distribution of the Mix of Cars and Trucks
- Factors Governing Fuel Efficiency
- Fuel Efficiency of the Average Car and Truck
- Average Miles Driven per Vehicle and Fuel Use per Vehicle
- Incorporating Parameters About Transportation in the Data Base
- Appendixes
- A. Structure of the World Model
- B. Building the World Data Base: Case Study Methodology
- C. World Model Geographic Classification
- D. World Model Sectoral Classification
- References
- Index
- A
- B
- C
- D
- E
- F
- G
- H
- I
- J
- K
- L
- M
- N
- O
- P
- R
- S
- T
- U
- V
- W
- Z
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