Cycles
The Science Of Prediction
Published on 8. August 2016
218 pages
978-1-5154-0754-6 (ISBN)
Description
It is the business of science to predict. An exact science like astronomy can usually make very accurate predictions indeed. A chemist makes a precise prediction every time he writes a formula. The nuclear physicist advertised to the world, in the atomic bomb, how man can deal with entities so small that they are completely beyond the realm of sense perception, yet make predictions astonishing in their accuracy and significance. Economics is now reaching a point where it can hope also to make rather accurate predictions, within limits which this study will explain. This eBook edition comes complete with more than 150 graphs and charts.
More details
Person
By Edward R. Dewey
Content
- Intro
- Concerning Economic Prediction: An Introduction
- I: Why Trends Are Important
- II: Patterns in Growth of Orgamisms
- III: The Growth Trend in Our Basic Industries
- IV: Trends in Some Other Industries
- V: Some Rhythmic Cycles in Natural Phenomena
- VI: The 54-Year Rhythm
- VII: The 9-Year Rhythm
- VIII: The 3½-Year Rhythm
- IX: The 18-Year Rhythm
- X: Causes, Correlations, Conjectures
- XI: Analysis and Synthesis
- XII: Timing a Business
- XIII: Avoiding Some Economic Illusions
- XIV: War and Its Dislocations
- XV: Postwar Trends
- XVI: Postwar Rhythms
- Appendices
- Appendix I: The Ratio Scale
- Appendix II: Moving Averages
- Appendix III: The Section Moving Average
