
Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order
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A few years ago, Ray Dalio noticed a confluence of political and economic conditions he hadn't encountered before. They included huge debts and zero or near-zero interest rates that led to massive printing of money in the world's three major reserve currencies; big political and social conflicts within countries, especially the US, due to the largest wealth, political and values disparities in more than 100 years; and the rising of a world power (China) to challenge the existing world power (US) and the existing world order. The last time that this confluence occurred was between 1930 and 1945. This realisation sent Dalio on a search for the repeating patterns and cause/effect relationships underlying all major changes in wealth and power over the last 500 years.
In this remarkable and timely addition to his Principles series, Dalio brings readers along for his study of the major empires - including the Dutch, the British and the American - putting into perspective the 'Big Cycle' that has driven the successes and failures of all the world's major countries throughout history.
Dalio reveals the timeless and universal forces behind these shifts and uses them to look into the future, offering practical principles for positioning oneself for what's ahead.
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Content
- Intro
- Title Page
- Dedication
- How to Read this Book
- Introduction
- Part I: How the World Works
- Chapter 1: The Big Cycle in a Tiny Nutshell
- Chapter 2: The Determinants
- Determinants Addendum
- Chapter 3: The Big Cycle of Money, Credit, Debt, and Economic Activity
- Chapter 4: The Changing Value of Money
- Chapter 5: The Big Cycle of Internal Order and Disorder
- Chapter 6: The Big Cycle of External Order and Disorder
- Chapter 7: Investing in Light of the Big Cycle
- Part II: How the World Has Worked Over the Last 500 Years
- Chapter 8: The Last 500 Years in a Tiny Nutshell
- Chapter 9: The Big Cycle Rise and Decline of the Dutch Empire and the Guilder
- Chapter 10: The Big Cycle Rise and Decline of the British Empire and the Pound
- Chapter 11: The Big Cycle Rise and Decline of the United States and the Dollar
- Chapter 12: The Big Cycle Rise of China and the Renminbi
- Chapter 13: US-China Relations and Wars
- Part III: The Future
- Chapter 14: The Future
- Appendix: Computer Analysis of the Conditions of, and Prospects for, the World's Leading Countries
- About the Author
- Glossary
- Index
- Copyright
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