The Politics and Science of Prevision
Governing and Probing the Future
1st Edition
Published on 4. October 2024
Book
Paperback/Softback
260 pages
978-0-367-51355-9 (ISBN)
Description
This book inquires into the use of prediction at the intersection of politics and academia, and reflects upon the implications of future-oriented policy-making across different fields.
The volume focuses on the key intricacies and fallacies of prevision in a time of complexity, uncertainty, and unpredictability. The first part of the book discusses different academic perspectives and contributions to future-oriented policy-making. The second part discusses the role of future knowledge in decision-making across different empirical issues such as climate, health, finance, bio- and nuclear weapons, civil war, and crime. It analyses how prediction is integrated into public policy and governance, and how in return governance structures influence the making of knowledge about the future. Contributors integrate two analytical dimensions in their chapters: the epistemology of prevision and the political and ethical implications of prevision. In this way, the volume contributes to a better understanding of the complex interaction and feedback loops between the processes of creating knowledge about the future and the application of this future knowledge in public policy and governance.
This book will be of much interest to students of security studies, political science, sociology, technology studies, and International Relations.
The Open Access version of this book, available at https://www.routledge.com/The-Politics-and-Science-of-Prevision-Governing-and-Probing/Wenger-Jasper-Cavelty/p/book/9780367900748, has been made available under a Creative Commons Attribution-Non Commercial-No Derivatives 4.0 license.
The volume focuses on the key intricacies and fallacies of prevision in a time of complexity, uncertainty, and unpredictability. The first part of the book discusses different academic perspectives and contributions to future-oriented policy-making. The second part discusses the role of future knowledge in decision-making across different empirical issues such as climate, health, finance, bio- and nuclear weapons, civil war, and crime. It analyses how prediction is integrated into public policy and governance, and how in return governance structures influence the making of knowledge about the future. Contributors integrate two analytical dimensions in their chapters: the epistemology of prevision and the political and ethical implications of prevision. In this way, the volume contributes to a better understanding of the complex interaction and feedback loops between the processes of creating knowledge about the future and the application of this future knowledge in public policy and governance.
This book will be of much interest to students of security studies, political science, sociology, technology studies, and International Relations.
The Open Access version of this book, available at https://www.routledge.com/The-Politics-and-Science-of-Prevision-Governing-and-Probing/Wenger-Jasper-Cavelty/p/book/9780367900748, has been made available under a Creative Commons Attribution-Non Commercial-No Derivatives 4.0 license.
More details
Series
Language
English
Place of publication
London
United Kingdom
Publishing group
Taylor & Francis Ltd
Target group
College/higher education
Academic, Postgraduate, Professional, and Undergraduate Advanced
Illustrations
7 s/w Abbildungen, 7 s/w Zeichnungen, 2 s/w Tabellen
2 Tables, black and white; 7 Line drawings, black and white; 7 Illustrations, black and white
Dimensions
Height: 234 mm
Width: 156 mm
Thickness: 15 mm
Weight
421 gr
ISBN-13
978-0-367-51355-9 (9780367513559)
Copyright in bibliographic data and cover images is held by Nielsen Book Services Limited or by the publishers or by their respective licensors: all rights reserved.
Schweitzer Classification
Other editions
Additional editions
Andreas Wenger | Ursula Jasper | Myriam Dunn Cavelty
The Politics and Science of Prevision
Governing and Probing the Future
Book
05/2020
1st Edition
Routledge
€176.20
Shipment within 15-20 days
Andreas Wenger | Ursula Jasper | Myriam Dunn Cavelty
The Politics and Science of Prevision
Governing and Probing the Future
E-Book
05/2020
1st Edition
Routledge
€0.00
Available for download
Andreas Wenger | Ursula Jasper | Myriam Dunn Cavelty
The Politics and Science of Prevision
Governing and Probing the Future
E-Book
05/2020
1st Edition
Routledge
€0.00
Available for download
Persons
Andreas Wenger is Professor of International and Swiss Security Policy and Director of the Center for Security Studies (CSS) at ETH Zurich, Switzerland.
Ursula Jasper is the Policy Officer at Fondation Botna in Switzerland. Prior to this she worked for many years as a Senior Researcher at the Center for Security Studies at ETH Zurich, Switzerland.
Myriam Dunn Cavelty is Deputy Head of Research and Teaching at the Center for Security Studies (CSS), ETH Zurich, Switzerland.
Ursula Jasper is the Policy Officer at Fondation Botna in Switzerland. Prior to this she worked for many years as a Senior Researcher at the Center for Security Studies at ETH Zurich, Switzerland.
Myriam Dunn Cavelty is Deputy Head of Research and Teaching at the Center for Security Studies (CSS), ETH Zurich, Switzerland.
Content
Part I: Introduction 1. Governing and Probing the Future: The Politics and Science of Prevision Andreas Wenger, Ursula Jasper, Myriam Dunn Cavelty Part II: Academic Perspectives on Future-Oriented Policy-Making 2. Imagined Worlds: The Politics of Future-Making in the 21st Century Sheila Jasanoff 3. How to Know the Future - and the Past (and How Not): A Pragmatist Perspective on Foresight and Hindsight Gunther Hellmann 4. Future Thinking and Cognitive Distortions: Key Questions that Guide Forecasting Processes Michael C. Horowitz 5. Thinking Historically: A Guide for Policy Francis J. Gavin 6. From Predicting to Forecasting: Uncertainties, Scenarios and their (Un-)Intended Side Effects Myriam Dunn Cavelty Part III: Empirical Perspectives across Policy Fields 7. Uncertainty and Precariousness at the Policy-Science Interface: Three Cases of Climate-Driven Adaptation Maria Carmen Lemos, Nicole Klenk 8. The Anticipative Medicalization of Life: Governing Future Risk and Uncertainty in (Global) Health Ursula Jasper 9. Crisis, What Crisis? Uncertainty, Risk, and Financial Markets Peter J. Katzenstein, Stephen C. Nelson 10. Imagining Future Biothreats: The Role of Popular Culture Filippa Lentzos, Jean-Baptiste Gouyon, Brian Balmer 11. Forecasting Civil War and Political Violence Corinne Bara 12. Predicting Nuclear Weapons Proliferation Jonas Schneider 13. 'We Do that Once per Day': Cyclical Futures and Institutional Ponderousness in Predictive Policing Matthias Leese Part IV: Conclusion 14. The Politics and Science of the Future: Assembling Future Knowledge and Integrating It into Public Policy and Governance Andreas Wenger, Myriam Dunn Cavelty, Ursula Jasper