Risk Analysis: 1st

SECTION 1: SIMULATION OF NATURAL HAZARDS European desertification risk; Effect of forest fire intensity in the evolution of some soil chemical properties; Source and dispersion simulation of sour gas in an offshore complex of the Sonda de Campeche; Methods for environemental degradation diagnosis in watersheds: its application to the basin of source, Corto, province of Buenos Aires, Argentina. SECTION 2: MAN-MADE HAZARDS Computer-aided risk assessment in problems of groundwater contamination; Environmental risk analysis for telecommunication networks; Hydrochemistry on a waste disposal area of sand mining activities at Analandia, Sao Paulo, Brazil,and their implications on the mobilization of uranium; Xenobiotics in food II - health risks of xenobiotics in alcoholic beverages. SECTION 3: HAZARD PREVENTION The Umbria (Central Italy) earthquake series of September 26, 1997; Two new methodologies for the hazard ranking of polluted sites: the CHARSY (C.r.a. Hazard Ranking System) and the RER methods; Assessment of flood risks in polders along the Dutch lakes; The safe ship control with minimum risk of collision; Floods, geodynamic environmentand human intervention the case of Corinth (Greece). SECTION 4: EMERGENCY RESPONSE An evaluation of emergency preparedness for hazardous materials transport; Earthquake emergency response scenario simulator; A proposal for earthquake emergency planning of Rhodos municipality (Greece). SECTION 5: POLICY PLANNING AND SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC ISSUES Analyzing timber-price uncertainty in forest planning; A method to evaluate underground water pollution vulnerability for environmental impact assessment and land use planning; The UN convention to combat desertification an example for global risk management. SECTION 6: ESTIMATION OF RISK AND RISK MODELLING Quantifying uncertainty in human health risk assessment using probabilistic techniques; Risk analysis of near-surface vapour cloud explosion based on its fluid dynamics consequences; A seismic source model with temporal dependence of large earthquake occurrence for probalistic seismic hazard analysis in Japan; Innovation in earthquake risk assessment; A simplified dynamic model to calculate floods;Integration of physical simulation models in the frame of a GIS for the development of a volcanic risk assessment information system; A probabilistic model for the assessment of the earthquake economic losses in Italy; Reliability analysis of slopes; Application of short reliability methods for risk reduction assessment of a pressurized vessel in offshore production facilities; Estimation of site specific parameters to describe the potential environmental impacts of material flows of metallic raw materials.