
The Big Flip
Racial Demographic Change and the Future of American Democracy
Andrew Ifedapo Thompson(Author)
Oxford University Press Inc
Published on 29. May 2026
Book
Hardback
286 pages
978-0-19-782213-5 (ISBN)
Description
As the United States approaches a transformative demographic milestone--when Americans of color will become the majority and white Americans a minority--US democracy faces a test of unprecedented magnitude. This moment, the "big flip", is far more than a matter of numbers; it is a catalyst for deep political and psychological upheaval. Once merely a projection, this demographic shift now shapes national debates, fuels fears, and incites division across party lines.
This book uncovers how anticipation and misconceptions surrounding the big flip have stirred powerful anxieties, particularly among white Americans, and how these fears have been weaponized in ways that threaten the very foundations of American democracy. Andrew Ifedapo Thompson traces the history of racial politics in the US through to the contemporary politicization of the big flip. Drawing on work in political psychology and political communication, he identifies how anxieties provoked by shifting demographics can erode trust in democratic norms and increase tolerance for political violence and authoritarian leaders. Thought-provoking and urgent, this book suggests vital steps for individuals and institutions to preserve democracy amid rapid change and offers a crucial lens on the forces reshaping America's political future.
This book uncovers how anticipation and misconceptions surrounding the big flip have stirred powerful anxieties, particularly among white Americans, and how these fears have been weaponized in ways that threaten the very foundations of American democracy. Andrew Ifedapo Thompson traces the history of racial politics in the US through to the contemporary politicization of the big flip. Drawing on work in political psychology and political communication, he identifies how anxieties provoked by shifting demographics can erode trust in democratic norms and increase tolerance for political violence and authoritarian leaders. Thought-provoking and urgent, this book suggests vital steps for individuals and institutions to preserve democracy amid rapid change and offers a crucial lens on the forces reshaping America's political future.
Reviews / Votes
08/12/2025More details
Series
Language
English
Place of publication
New York
United States
Target group
College/higher education
Product notice
sewn/stitched
Cloth over boards
Illustrations
53 b/w figures; 10 tables
Dimensions
Height: 234 mm
Width: 156 mm
Thickness: 21 mm
Weight
581 gr
ISBN-13
978-0-19-782213-5 (9780197822135)
Copyright in bibliographic data and cover images is held by Nielsen Book Services Limited or by the publishers or by their respective licensors: all rights reserved.
Schweitzer Classification
Other editions
Additional editions

Book
approx. 09/2026
Oxford University Press Inc
€28.50
Not yet published
Person
Andrew Ifedapo Thompson is Assistant Professor of Political Science at the University of Pennsylvania. He specializes in the study of political behavior and psychology, with a focus on the role of racial threat in democratic erosion in the United States, extending into radicalization, partisanship, and the shifting nature of racial identity in contributing to erosion. His work has been published in a variety of top academic journals, such as Political Behavior and Perspectives on Politics.
Author
Assistant Professor of Political ScienceAssistant Professor of Political Science, University of Pennsylvania
Content
1: Introducing the Big Flip 2: The Big Flip and the Historical Struggle for Black Enfranchisement 3: The Big Flip in Recent Years 4: Demographic Determinism 5: Demographic Determinism and Prediction: Politically Predicting the Big Flip? 6: POC = Black 7: Demographic Determinism and the Partisan Inference of the Big Flip 8: The Chronic Salience of Racial Threat in the American Public and the Future of American Democracy 9: The Future of Multiracial American Democracy Appendices