
Dangerous Decade
Taiwan's Security and Crisis Management
Brendan Taylor(Author)
Routledge (Publisher)
1st Edition
Published on 18. September 2019
Book
Paperback/Softback
264 pages
978-0-367-43748-0 (ISBN)
Description
Taiwan's position looks increasingly precarious, and tensions threaten to grow into a major strategic crisis. Chinese President Xi Jinping has made reunification with Taiwan a central pillar of his vision for China, and has ramped up diplomatic and economic pressure on Taiwan. Its inhabitants are increasingly estranged from the mainland, and Tsai Ing-wen's administration refuses to conduct relations with China on Beijing's terms. Taiwan could take on renewed strategic significance amid the backdrop of the deepening rivalry between China and the United States, and find itself at the centre of a Cold War-style superpower confrontation.
While Washington's support and military power has historically guaranteed Taiwan's security, this is no longer a certainty. This Adelphi book argues that China's military modernisation has changed the cross-strait military balance, and the ability of the US to prevail in a conflict over Taiwan may have evaporated by 2030. As China feels increasingly empowered to retake Taiwan, there is significant potential for escalation, particularly given the ambiguity of Beijing's 'red lines' on Taiwan. Neither Beijing, Taipei nor Washington want such a conflict, but each is challenging the uneasy status quo. Taylor calls for the introduction of a narrower set of formal crisis-management mechanisms designed to navigate a major Taiwan crisis.
While Washington's support and military power has historically guaranteed Taiwan's security, this is no longer a certainty. This Adelphi book argues that China's military modernisation has changed the cross-strait military balance, and the ability of the US to prevail in a conflict over Taiwan may have evaporated by 2030. As China feels increasingly empowered to retake Taiwan, there is significant potential for escalation, particularly given the ambiguity of Beijing's 'red lines' on Taiwan. Neither Beijing, Taipei nor Washington want such a conflict, but each is challenging the uneasy status quo. Taylor calls for the introduction of a narrower set of formal crisis-management mechanisms designed to navigate a major Taiwan crisis.
More details
Language
English
Place of publication
London
United Kingdom
Publishing group
Taylor & Francis Ltd
Target group
College/higher education
Professional and scholarly
Dimensions
Height: 234 mm
Width: 156 mm
Thickness: 8 mm
Weight
240 gr
ISBN-13
978-0-367-43748-0 (9780367437480)
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Schweitzer Classification
Other editions
Additional editions

E-Book
09/2019
1st Edition
Routledge
€31.49
Available for download

E-Book
09/2019
1st Edition
Routledge
€31.49
Available for download
Person
Brendan Taylor is Professor of Strategic Studies at the Strategic and Defence Studies Centre, Coral Bell School of Asia Pacific Affairs at the Australian National University. He has published widely on security architecture in the Asia-Pacific, and is the author of The Four Flashpoints: How Asia Goes to War (La Trobe University Press).
Content
Introduction 1. A Shifting Status Quo 2. A Complex Balance of Power 3. Tipping Points 4. Policy Options