Intelligence Transformation

The Army's fielding of military intelligence companies to the modular brigade combat teams (BCTs) as part of the Army Transformation has created a loss of intelligence capability for the modular division commander. Furthermore, the global design of the modular brigade and division focus on providing generalist capabilities employable against a wide array of threats and do not favor designing systems that focus on the unique aspects of individual threats. Because predictable intelligence is intent based, it requires a system with capabilities that specialize in the unique aspects of the target adversary. This monograph explores the intelligence requirements of a modular division conducting operations during the Contemporary Operational Environment (COE). It assesses the nature of the emerging security environment by comparing the U.S. government's strategic and operational threat models with the characteristics of evidentiary threats in the current environment. It poses the question: does the intelligence system of a modular division have the capability to provide a focused and detailed understanding of a networked irregular threat? The conceptual model of this study is a modular division operating on a non-contiguous battlefield against an irregular, networked threat. By comparing the characteristics of evidentiary and emerging irregular threats to the intelligence system capabilities of a modular division, this study identifies existing intelligence capabilities gaps commanders and planners will need to consider when tailoring force packages for operations in the Global War On Terrorism (GWOT). The purpose of this monograph is to recommend concepts that can mitigate the identified intelligence gaps. The results of this analysis provide three observations. First, the theoretical threat model the Army is using in its capabilities based approach to force design may be based on a false premise. Second, the capabilities based approach to force design may be insufficien

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