
Failing the Crystal Ball Test
The Carter Administration and the Fundamentalist Revolution in Iran
Ofira Seliktar(Author)
Praeger Publishers Inc
Published on 30. August 2000
Book
Hardback
272 pages
978-0-275-96872-4 (ISBN)
Description
With the Iranian revolution as her focal point, Seliktar offers a systematic analysis of predictive failure in foreign policy at the paradigmatic, policy, and intelligence levels. Seliktar first examines how social science paradigms determine conceptualizations of political change, and then applies that analysis to understanding New Internationalism, the Carter administration's foreign policy philosophy at the time of the Shah's fall from power. Based in part on classified documents seized during the takeover of the American embassy, Failing the Crystal Ball Test is a valuable addition to Middle Eastern studies, international relations, and comparative politics collections.
Seliktar engages in a general discussion of the problems entailed in correctly assessing the political legitimacy of foreign regimes, and describes the origins of New Internationalism as influenced by the New Left dependency theories. Examining President Carter's application of New Internationalism to Iran, Seliktar presents an account first of political influences on the predictive process during the early stages of revolution, and then of the administration's misreading of the likelihood of a fundamentalist regime in Teheran.
Seliktar engages in a general discussion of the problems entailed in correctly assessing the political legitimacy of foreign regimes, and describes the origins of New Internationalism as influenced by the New Left dependency theories. Examining President Carter's application of New Internationalism to Iran, Seliktar presents an account first of political influences on the predictive process during the early stages of revolution, and then of the administration's misreading of the likelihood of a fundamentalist regime in Teheran.
More details
Language
English
Place of publication
United States
Publishing group
Bloomsbury Publishing Plc
Target group
College/higher education
Professional and scholarly
Dimensions
Height: 235 mm
Width: 157 mm
Thickness: 21 mm
Weight
593 gr
ISBN-13
978-0-275-96872-4 (9780275968724)
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Schweitzer Classification
Other editions
Additional editions

Ofira Seliktar
Failing the Crystal Ball Test
The Carter Administration and the Fundamentalist Revolution in Iran
E-Book
08/2000
1st Edition
Praeger Publishers Inc
€82.99
Available for download
Person
OFIRA SELIKTAR is Associate Professor of Political Science at Gratz College in Pennsylvania./e
Content
Preface Introduction: The Theory and Practice of Predicting Political Change Theories of Political Change and Predictions of Change Paradigmatic Views of Political Change: Developmentalism vs. Dependency Road Testing New Internationalism: The Iran Policy of the Carter Administration In the Eye of the Storm: The Carter Administration and the Iranian Revolution Dealing with Chaos: The Carter Administration and the Successor Regime in Iran Conclusion: Reflections on Predictive Failures