
Geopolitical Alpha
An Investment Framework for Predicting the Future
Marko Papic(Author)
Wiley (Publisher)
1st Edition
Published on 7. October 2020
Book
Hardback
256 pages
978-1-119-74021-6 (ISBN)
Description
Forecast geopolitics and markets with this clear and insightful resource.
Geopolitical Alpha - An Investment Framework for Predicting the Future provides readers with an original and compelling approach to forecasting the future and beating the markets while doing so. Persuasively written by author, investment strategist, and geopolitical analyst Marko Papic, the book applies a novel framework for making sense of the cacophony of geopolitical risks with the eye towards generating investment-relevant insights.
Geopolitical Alpha posits that investors should ignore the media-hyped narratives, insights from "smoke-filled rooms," and most of their political consultants and, instead, focus exclusively on the measurable, material constraints facing policymakers. In the tug-of-war between policymaker preferences and their constraints, the latter always win out in the end. Papic uses a wealth of examples from the past decade to illustrate how one can use his constraint-framework to generate Geopolitical Alpha. In the process, the book discusses:
* What paradigm shifts will drive investment returns over the next decade
* Why investment and corporate professionals can no longer treat geopolitics as an exogenous risk
* How to ignore the media and focus on what drives market narratives that generate returns
Perfect for investors, C-suite executives, and investment professionals, Geopolitical Alpha belongs on the shelf of anyone interested in the intersection of geopolitics, economics, and finance.
More details
Language
English
Place of publication
New York
United States
Target group
Professional and scholarly
Dimensions
Height: 233 mm
Width: 162 mm
Thickness: 25 mm
Weight
505 gr
ISBN-13
978-1-119-74021-6 (9781119740216)
Schweitzer Classification
Other editions
Additional editions

Book
approx. 12/2025
1st Edition
Wiley
€22.50
Not yet published

E-Book
10/2020
1st Edition
Wiley
€17.99
Available for download

E-Book
10/2020
1st Edition
Wiley
€17.99
Available for download
Person
MARKO PAPIC is a Partner and Chief Strategist of Clocktower Group, an alternative investment management firm based in California. In 2011, he founded BCA Research's Geopolitical Strategy practice, the world's only dedicated investment consultancy focused on political analysis.
Content
Acknowledgements
Foreword by Steve Drobny
Introduction
Part I - Scaffolding
Chapter 1 - We're Not in Kansas Anymore
Chapter 2 - The Constraint Framework: Three Pillars
Chapter 3 - The Wizards of Oz
Part II - The Constraints
Chapter 4 - Politics
Chapter 5 - The Economy and the Market
Chapter 6 - Geopolitics
Chapter 7 - Constitutional and Legal Constraints: The Constraint-Preference Hybrids
Chapter 8 - The Time Constraint: When Preferences Run Down the Clock
Part III - Operationalization
Chapter 9 - The Art of the Net Assessment
Chapter 10 - Game Theory - It's Not a Game!
Chapter 11 - Geopolitical Alpha
Chapter 12 - Conclusion
Bibliography