
Discourse on Social Planning under Uncertainty
Charles F. Manski(Author)
Cambridge University Press
Published on 9. January 2025
Book
Hardback
272 pages
978-1-009-55678-1 (ISBN)
Description
Economists have long studied policy choice by social planners aiming to maximize population welfare. Whether performing theoretical studies or applied analyses, researchers have generally assumed that the planner knows enough about the choice environment to be able to determine an optimal action. However, the consequences of decisions are often highly uncertain. Discourse on Social Planning under Uncertainty addresses the failure of research to come to grips with this uncertainty. Combining research across three fields - welfare economics, decision theory, and econometrics - this impressive study offers a comprehensive treatment that fleshes out a 'worldview' and juxtaposes it with other viewpoints. Building on multiple case studies, ranging from medical treatment to climate policy, the book explains analytical methods and how to apply them, providing a foundation on which future interdisciplinary work can build.
More details
Language
English
Place of publication
Cambridge
United Kingdom
Target group
College/higher education
Illustrations
Worked examples or Exercises
Dimensions
Height: 235 mm
Width: 157 mm
Thickness: 19 mm
Weight
549 gr
ISBN-13
978-1-009-55678-1 (9781009556781)
Copyright in bibliographic data and cover images is held by Nielsen Book Services Limited or by the publishers or by their respective licensors: all rights reserved.
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Charles F. Manski
Discourse on Social Planning under Uncertainty
Book
01/2025
Cambridge University Press
€39.20
Shipment within 15-20 days
Person
Charles F. Manski is Board of Trustees Professor in the Department of Economics and Institute for Policy Research at Northwestern University. He is a Member of the National Academy of Sciences and a Fellow of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences, the Econometric Society, the American Statistical Association, and the British Academy. His research spans econometrics, judgment and decision, and analysis of public policy.
Content
Preface; 1. Credible Planning Under Uncertainty; Part I. Characterizing Uncertainty; 2. Incredible Certitude; 3. Identification of Treatment Response; 4. Identification of Choice Behavior and Personal Welfare; Part II. Analyses of Planning Problems: 5. Diversified Treatment under Ambiguity; 6. Treatment with Data from Statistically Imprecise Trials; 7. Personalized Treatment; 8. Vaccination with Unknown Indirect Effects; 9. Climate Planning with Uncertainty in Climate Modeling and Intergenerational Discounting; 10. Looking Ahead.