Accelerated Life Testing and Experts' Opinions in Reliability
Proceedings
Published in July 1988
Book
Hardback
260 pages
978-0-444-87101-5 (ISBN)
Description
Prominent statisticians and reliability experts contributed to this book which is of interest to reliability theoreticians and analysts. The book is divided into two sections: - Experts' Opinions; - Accelerated Life Testing. Section one deals with the following issues: - the axiomatic development of subjective probability and utility; - pooling expert-opinions; - selection models; - the Bayesian definition of exponentiality; - exchangeability in Probabilistic Safety Assessment (PSA); - influence diagrams as modeling alternative to decision trees. The section also includes a survey of applications of expert judgements in reliability and PSA practice. Section two contains the following: - a comparison of the Bayesian and non-Bayesian approaches; - a presentation of the applications of the Kalman filter; - an analysis of a Bayesian case-study relative to Kevlar/Epoxy spherical pressure vessels.
Prominent statisticians and reliability experts contributed to this book which is of interest to reliability theoreticians and analysts. The book is divided into two sections: - Experts' Opinions; - Accelerated Life Testing. Section one deals with the following issues: - the axiomatic development of subjective probability and utility; - pooling expert-opinions; - selection models; - the Bayesian definition of exponentiality; - exchangeability in Probabilistic Safety Assessment (PSA); - influence diagrams as modeling alternative to decision trees. The section also includes a survey of applications of expert judgements in reliability and PSA practice. Section two contains the following: - a comparison of the Bayesian and non-Bayesian approaches; - a presentation of the applications of the Kalman filter; - an analysis of a Bayesian case-study relative to Kevlar/Epoxy spherical pressure vessels.
Prominent statisticians and reliability experts contributed to this book which is of interest to reliability theoreticians and analysts. The book is divided into two sections: - Experts' Opinions; - Accelerated Life Testing. Section one deals with the following issues: - the axiomatic development of subjective probability and utility; - pooling expert-opinions; - selection models; - the Bayesian definition of exponentiality; - exchangeability in Probabilistic Safety Assessment (PSA); - influence diagrams as modeling alternative to decision trees. The section also includes a survey of applications of expert judgements in reliability and PSA practice. Section two contains the following: - a comparison of the Bayesian and non-Bayesian approaches; - a presentation of the applications of the Kalman filter; - an analysis of a Bayesian case-study relative to Kevlar/Epoxy spherical pressure vessels.
More details
Series
Language
English
Place of publication
Oxford
United Kingdom
Publishing group
Elsevier Science & Technology
Target group
College/higher education
Professional and scholarly
Dimensions
Height: 230 mm
Width: 150 mm
ISBN-13
978-0-444-87101-5 (9780444871015)
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Schweitzer Classification
Content
Introduction. Accelerated life testing and experts' opinion in reliability (D.V. Lindley). Experts' Opinions. Modern aspects of probability and utility (M.H. De Groot). The use of probability statements (D.V. Lindley). Choosing among experts (M.H. De Groot). A Bayesian view of weighted distributions and selection models (M.J. Bayarri and M.H. De Groot). Symmetry conditions on opinion assessment leading to time-transformed exponential models (F. Spizzichino). On the concept of dependence in probabilistic safety analysis and reliability (G. Apostolakis). The use of expert opinion in reliability: a survey (N.D. Singpurwalla and R. Soyer). Expert judgement in probabilistic safety assessment (G. Apostolakis). Expert opinions in software reliability analysis (S. Bologna and C.A. Clarotti). Using influence diagrams (R.E. Barlow). An application of influence diagrams (R.E. Barlow, R.W. Mensing, N.G. Smiriga). Accelerated Life Testing. Non-Bayesian approach to accelerated life testing: a short overview (C.A. Clarotti). Inferences from accelerated life tests. Some recent results (T.A. Mazzuchi and N.D. Singpurwalla). Bayesian design and analysis of accelerated life testing with step stress (M.H. De Groot and P.K. Goel). A Bayesian analysis of the stress-rupture life of Kevlar/epoxy spherical pressure vessels (R.E. Barlow, R.H. Toland and T. Freeman).