Big Dragon
Future of China - What it Means for Business, the Economy and the Global Order
Published on 18. March 1999
Book
Paperback/Softback
384 pages
978-0-684-85366-6 (ISBN)
Description
In BIG DRAGON, Dan Burstein joins with China specialist Arne de Keijzer to offer a comprehensive look at China and its future. They suggest that no other country poses such significant business and political questions for the West and therefore the business world must develop new strategies for dealing with China. The authors present a practical blueprint for business people, policy makers and concerned citizens alike for maximising opportunity (economic as well as political) and minimising any chance of conflict. In dealing with China, the book warns that the West will have to revise its elitist view that its principles and mores are superior, whether culturally, economically or politically. China, the authors say, will have to be dealt with on its own terms. If the West fails to do so, it will have dire consequences for the world. The authors articulate a fresh, intelligent, and innovative business and political strategy, rooted in realistic assessments of where China is coming from and where it is headed.
BIG DRAGON's strength lies in its recognition of the possible conflicts, but also in the way it clearly identifies the way toward a creation of a new mutuality of economic and political interest between the West and China.
BIG DRAGON's strength lies in its recognition of the possible conflicts, but also in the way it clearly identifies the way toward a creation of a new mutuality of economic and political interest between the West and China.
More details
Edition
New edition
Language
English
Place of publication
New York
United States
Publishing group
Simon & Schuster
Edition type
New edition
Product notice
Paperback (trade)
Illustrations
black & white illustrations
Dimensions
Height: 216 mm
Width: 140 mm
Thickness: 25 mm
Weight
590 gr
ISBN-13
978-0-684-85366-6 (9780684853666)
Copyright in bibliographic data and cover images is held by Nielsen Book Services Limited or by the publishers or by their respective licensors: all rights reserved.
Schweitzer Classification
Persons
Daniel Burstein is Senior Advisor of the Blackstone Group, a leading private investment bank in New York and the author of several books on global, economic, financial, and technological issues. Arne de Keijzer has been a consultant to companies doing business in China for more than 25 years, head of his own consulting firm, he has worked with consumer goods and publishing as well as joint ventures and private equity firms.
Content
Contents
Introduction: Present at the Creation
Part I: INSIDE THE NEW COLD WAR
Strategy and Management
Chapter 1. A New and Unnecessary Cold War Takes Shape
The End of History and the Burgers of Beijing
The Great Leap Backward: From China Boom to China Threat
The Ironies of History
Toward Resolving the Cold War
Chapter 2. The Eagle and the Dragon (I): From Clipper Ships to Tiananmen Square
West Meets East
Missionaries and Demonizers
The Cultural Revolution in China -- and America
Playing the China Card
Trading with the Enemy
Deng Xiaoping in a Stetson
1989: A Tale of Two Squares
"To Get Rich Is Glorious!"
The Lure of the China Market
Chapter 3. The Eagle and the Dragon (II): To the Brink
Is It Economics, Stupid? Or Stupid Economics?
The Problem with the 800-Pound Gorilla
"Sino-American Relations Are in Free Fall"
Brinksmanship in the Straits of Taiwan
The China That Says No
The Left and the Right
Coffee or Tea?
Rethinking and Rethinking Again
Talk, Talk, Fight, Fight
The Context Is Crucial, and That Context Is Progress
Chapter 4. Competing and Cooperating with the World's New Economic Superpower
1. China Ascendant: From Main Street to Wall Street, from the Boardroom to the Beltway
2. Are the Chinese Stealing American Jobs?
3. The Great Global Game of Go
4. Piracy of Digital Bits
5. It's Not Just China: Here Comes the New G-7
6. Eating Big Macs Doesn't Make It McChina
7. Toward the "Confucian Social Market"
8. "China Could Be Like Japan on Steroids"
9. A Different Kind of "World's Largest Economy"
Chapter 5. Threat or Challenge?
Of Divas, Tenors, and Peking Opera
The "China Threat" Reconsidered
China as Military Threat to the United States
China Has Declared the United States Its Enemy
China as an Expansionist Power in Asia
China Behaves Aggressively and Provocatively Toward Taiwan
China Is a Rogue Nation That Refuses to Play by International Rules
China Is a Fascist Dictatorship and the World's Leading Human Rights Violator
Alternatives, Anyone?
The Myth of the Allies
PART II: BENCHMARKING CHINA
The Shanghai Allusion
Chapter 6. Of Bulls, Bears, and Being Moderately Bullish
The Bulls Have Their Run
The Bears Have Reasons to Growl
Our Own View
Chapter 7. China's Burdens
The Burden of Scale
The Burden of Nature and Geography
The Burden of History and Culture
Chapter 8. Impossible Problems -- and Possible Solutions
Winners and Losers
"The Center Has Its Measures but the Provinces Have Their Countermeasures"
Socialist Dreams, Capitalist Nightmares
Corruption: Back Door to Modern Capitalism?
Chapter 9. The Impulse Toward Unity: The Geopolitical Meaning of the "Middle Kingdom"
Maintaining Territorial Integrity
Chapter 10. "Crossing the River by Feeling the Stones"
The Yangzi Is Not the Mississippi
Looking in the Mirror
An Explosion Still Ahead?
PART III: JUMPING INTO THE SEA
A Thousand Rivers
Chapter 11. Zhang Wei: Finding Answers to the Question of Ownership
Chapter 12. Chen Ping: The Adventurer
Chapter 13. Feng Lun: Master Builder
The Lessons of Entrepreneurship
PART IV: GEOMANCING THE DRAGON
Wind and Water
Chapter 14. The Next Five Years: The Dragon at Home
Rites of Passage: The Post-Deng Succession Struggle, 1998-2002
After Jiang, What? Generational Politics, Chinese Style
Mao Is Back!?!?
"May You Live in Interesting Times"
Chapter 15. The Next Five Years: The Dragon Peers Out
Hong Kong: Life After 1997
Taiwan: A Contrarian View
Tibet: The Next Taiwan
Japan Plays Its China Card
Food for Thought Provocation: When China's Military Is Modernized
Chapter 16. Scenarios for the Twenty-first Century
The Overall Political-Economic Framework
The Great Wall in Ruins: The Search for New Values
Postcommunist Politics
The New Chinese Corporation and the Future of the State-Owned Enterprises
Big Versus Fast
"Connectivity": A Vision of China's Future Shape
The Three Gorges Dam: A Study in Environmental Politics
Chapter 17. Fast-Forward to the Future:
The Superdragon in 2024
Looking Back from 2024
PART V: BEYOND THE COLD WAR
The Past, the Future, and a Talk with Deng Xiaoping
Chapter 18. The New Shanghai Compact: Maximizing Opportunity, Minimizing Conflict
For a Policy of "Dynamic Engagement"
Starting Points
What Is Strength? What Is Weakness? What Is Leverage?
Specific Initiatives, Strategies, and Tactics
Toward a Partnership That Recognizes Differences:
The Shanghai Compact of 2002
Notes
Acknowledgments
Index
Introduction: Present at the Creation
Part I: INSIDE THE NEW COLD WAR
Strategy and Management
Chapter 1. A New and Unnecessary Cold War Takes Shape
The End of History and the Burgers of Beijing
The Great Leap Backward: From China Boom to China Threat
The Ironies of History
Toward Resolving the Cold War
Chapter 2. The Eagle and the Dragon (I): From Clipper Ships to Tiananmen Square
West Meets East
Missionaries and Demonizers
The Cultural Revolution in China -- and America
Playing the China Card
Trading with the Enemy
Deng Xiaoping in a Stetson
1989: A Tale of Two Squares
"To Get Rich Is Glorious!"
The Lure of the China Market
Chapter 3. The Eagle and the Dragon (II): To the Brink
Is It Economics, Stupid? Or Stupid Economics?
The Problem with the 800-Pound Gorilla
"Sino-American Relations Are in Free Fall"
Brinksmanship in the Straits of Taiwan
The China That Says No
The Left and the Right
Coffee or Tea?
Rethinking and Rethinking Again
Talk, Talk, Fight, Fight
The Context Is Crucial, and That Context Is Progress
Chapter 4. Competing and Cooperating with the World's New Economic Superpower
1. China Ascendant: From Main Street to Wall Street, from the Boardroom to the Beltway
2. Are the Chinese Stealing American Jobs?
3. The Great Global Game of Go
4. Piracy of Digital Bits
5. It's Not Just China: Here Comes the New G-7
6. Eating Big Macs Doesn't Make It McChina
7. Toward the "Confucian Social Market"
8. "China Could Be Like Japan on Steroids"
9. A Different Kind of "World's Largest Economy"
Chapter 5. Threat or Challenge?
Of Divas, Tenors, and Peking Opera
The "China Threat" Reconsidered
China as Military Threat to the United States
China Has Declared the United States Its Enemy
China as an Expansionist Power in Asia
China Behaves Aggressively and Provocatively Toward Taiwan
China Is a Rogue Nation That Refuses to Play by International Rules
China Is a Fascist Dictatorship and the World's Leading Human Rights Violator
Alternatives, Anyone?
The Myth of the Allies
PART II: BENCHMARKING CHINA
The Shanghai Allusion
Chapter 6. Of Bulls, Bears, and Being Moderately Bullish
The Bulls Have Their Run
The Bears Have Reasons to Growl
Our Own View
Chapter 7. China's Burdens
The Burden of Scale
The Burden of Nature and Geography
The Burden of History and Culture
Chapter 8. Impossible Problems -- and Possible Solutions
Winners and Losers
"The Center Has Its Measures but the Provinces Have Their Countermeasures"
Socialist Dreams, Capitalist Nightmares
Corruption: Back Door to Modern Capitalism?
Chapter 9. The Impulse Toward Unity: The Geopolitical Meaning of the "Middle Kingdom"
Maintaining Territorial Integrity
Chapter 10. "Crossing the River by Feeling the Stones"
The Yangzi Is Not the Mississippi
Looking in the Mirror
An Explosion Still Ahead?
PART III: JUMPING INTO THE SEA
A Thousand Rivers
Chapter 11. Zhang Wei: Finding Answers to the Question of Ownership
Chapter 12. Chen Ping: The Adventurer
Chapter 13. Feng Lun: Master Builder
The Lessons of Entrepreneurship
PART IV: GEOMANCING THE DRAGON
Wind and Water
Chapter 14. The Next Five Years: The Dragon at Home
Rites of Passage: The Post-Deng Succession Struggle, 1998-2002
After Jiang, What? Generational Politics, Chinese Style
Mao Is Back!?!?
"May You Live in Interesting Times"
Chapter 15. The Next Five Years: The Dragon Peers Out
Hong Kong: Life After 1997
Taiwan: A Contrarian View
Tibet: The Next Taiwan
Japan Plays Its China Card
Food for Thought Provocation: When China's Military Is Modernized
Chapter 16. Scenarios for the Twenty-first Century
The Overall Political-Economic Framework
The Great Wall in Ruins: The Search for New Values
Postcommunist Politics
The New Chinese Corporation and the Future of the State-Owned Enterprises
Big Versus Fast
"Connectivity": A Vision of China's Future Shape
The Three Gorges Dam: A Study in Environmental Politics
Chapter 17. Fast-Forward to the Future:
The Superdragon in 2024
Looking Back from 2024
PART V: BEYOND THE COLD WAR
The Past, the Future, and a Talk with Deng Xiaoping
Chapter 18. The New Shanghai Compact: Maximizing Opportunity, Minimizing Conflict
For a Policy of "Dynamic Engagement"
Starting Points
What Is Strength? What Is Weakness? What Is Leverage?
Specific Initiatives, Strategies, and Tactics
Toward a Partnership That Recognizes Differences:
The Shanghai Compact of 2002
Notes
Acknowledgments
Index