Forecasting, Planning and Strategy in a Turbulent Era
Published on 30. May 2025
Book
Hardback
362 pages
978-1-0353-1723-3 (ISBN)
Description
Forecasting, Planning and Strategy in a Turbulent Era emphasizes the importance of analyzing business performance and behavior during extreme events. It encourages proactive and strategic planning, helping firms perform well under immense pressure.
This prescient book delves into topical issues such as the Russia-Ukraine conflict, the COVID-19 pandemic and rapid digital transformation, acknowledging common patterns as well as differences in firms' reactions to them. Chapters cover multiple continents from Europe to Asia, using international evidence to guide new research models and update established theories. Ultimately, they offer cutting-edge insights on forecasting during turbulent times.
Academics and students focusing on forecasting, economics and governance will benefit from the theoretical explorations within this book. Policymakers and those working for NGOs will additionally find the real-world case studies useful.
This prescient book delves into topical issues such as the Russia-Ukraine conflict, the COVID-19 pandemic and rapid digital transformation, acknowledging common patterns as well as differences in firms' reactions to them. Chapters cover multiple continents from Europe to Asia, using international evidence to guide new research models and update established theories. Ultimately, they offer cutting-edge insights on forecasting during turbulent times.
Academics and students focusing on forecasting, economics and governance will benefit from the theoretical explorations within this book. Policymakers and those working for NGOs will additionally find the real-world case studies useful.
Reviews / Votes
'This timely volume expertly navigates the complexities of modern forecasting, planning, and strategy in uncertain times. Through insightful analysis and diverse case studies, the authors provide essential tools and frameworks to help organisations adapt and thrive amid global disruptions. A must-read for decision-makers facing the challenges of today's unpredictable environment.' -- Ali Emrouznejad, Director of Centre for Business Analytics in Practice, University of Surrey, UKMore details
Series
Language
English
Place of publication
Cheltenham
United Kingdom
Target group
Professional and scholarly
Dimensions
Height: 234 mm
Width: 156 mm
ISBN-13
978-1-0353-1723-3 (9781035317233)
Copyright in bibliographic data and cover images is held by Nielsen Book Services Limited or by the publishers or by their respective licensors: all rights reserved.
Schweitzer Classification
Persons
Edited by Vasileios Bougioukos, Associate Professor in Economics and Finance, Richmond, American University London and Adjunct Associate Professor in Economics and Finance, Notre Dame London, The University of Notre Dame (USA) in England, Konstantinos Nikolopoulos, Professor in Business Information Systems & Analytics, Department of Management and Marketing, Durham University and Christos Tsinopoulos, Professor, Chair in Operations and Project Management, Executive Dean of School Business and Management, Department of Information and Operations Management, Royal Holloway University of London, UK
Content
Contents
Introduction to Forecasting, Planning and Strategy in a Turbulent Era 1
Vasileios Bougioukos, Konstantinos Nikolopoulos and ChristosTsinopoulos
1 Evaluating the success of government intervention during market shocks in a metropolitan city in China: an empirical analysis using data from the 2022 Shanghai COVID-19 pandemic lockdown 7
Ryan Yu, Konstantinos Nikolopoulos and Vasileios Bougioukos
2 The impact of the Russia-Ukraine conflict on supply chain disruptions in Thailand's agricultural sector: an analysis of TVP-VAR network connectivity and price volatility prediction 58
Paritta Apithanaphuwadol, Konstantinos Nikolopoulos and Vasileios Bougioukos
3 Forecasting tourism recovery amid COVID-19: a comparison between bottom-up and non-overlapping temporal aggregation 96
Yilu Zheng and Konstantinos Nikolopoulos
4 Forecasting the market of Airbnb 134
Aarushi Jain, Minkyung Shin, Chrysovalantis Vasilakis and Nikolopoulos Konstantinos
5 Strategic risk management and the new Silk Road: a post-pandemic IBV-VUCA analysis 173
Huiyi Gao, Patricia David and Alexandre Dimitriadis
6 When the bank is closed, cash is king ... not! A qualitative longitudinal study in the payment media used in Greece during capital controls 197
Konstantia Litsiou and Konstantinos Nikolopoulos
7 Strategies for pharmaceutical resilience: navigating supply chain disruptions, meeting pandemic medication demand, and introducing new pharmaceuticals in disruptive times 214
Ashwin Yadhav Kumar and Konstantinos Nikolopoulos
8 China's healthcare reform in the post-pandemic era 268
Yuxin Li and Xiaoxian Liang
9 Digital transformation of modern China: the post-pandemic era 281
Yuxin Yu, Jieyu Zang and Heyun Zhang
10 Turning crises into opportunities: Greece's digital transformation before and after the COVID-19 pandemic 293
Julia Brouillard, Peter Sanfey and Dimitris Sourvanos
11 Precarious work and individual deprivation during the post- COVID-19 era: lessons from Turkey 307
Canan Nese Kinikoglu and Burhan Can Karahasan
12 The EU in 'perma-crisis': a case of resilience and assertiveness 322
Olivier Marty
Index 337
Introduction to Forecasting, Planning and Strategy in a Turbulent Era 1
Vasileios Bougioukos, Konstantinos Nikolopoulos and ChristosTsinopoulos
1 Evaluating the success of government intervention during market shocks in a metropolitan city in China: an empirical analysis using data from the 2022 Shanghai COVID-19 pandemic lockdown 7
Ryan Yu, Konstantinos Nikolopoulos and Vasileios Bougioukos
2 The impact of the Russia-Ukraine conflict on supply chain disruptions in Thailand's agricultural sector: an analysis of TVP-VAR network connectivity and price volatility prediction 58
Paritta Apithanaphuwadol, Konstantinos Nikolopoulos and Vasileios Bougioukos
3 Forecasting tourism recovery amid COVID-19: a comparison between bottom-up and non-overlapping temporal aggregation 96
Yilu Zheng and Konstantinos Nikolopoulos
4 Forecasting the market of Airbnb 134
Aarushi Jain, Minkyung Shin, Chrysovalantis Vasilakis and Nikolopoulos Konstantinos
5 Strategic risk management and the new Silk Road: a post-pandemic IBV-VUCA analysis 173
Huiyi Gao, Patricia David and Alexandre Dimitriadis
6 When the bank is closed, cash is king ... not! A qualitative longitudinal study in the payment media used in Greece during capital controls 197
Konstantia Litsiou and Konstantinos Nikolopoulos
7 Strategies for pharmaceutical resilience: navigating supply chain disruptions, meeting pandemic medication demand, and introducing new pharmaceuticals in disruptive times 214
Ashwin Yadhav Kumar and Konstantinos Nikolopoulos
8 China's healthcare reform in the post-pandemic era 268
Yuxin Li and Xiaoxian Liang
9 Digital transformation of modern China: the post-pandemic era 281
Yuxin Yu, Jieyu Zang and Heyun Zhang
10 Turning crises into opportunities: Greece's digital transformation before and after the COVID-19 pandemic 293
Julia Brouillard, Peter Sanfey and Dimitris Sourvanos
11 Precarious work and individual deprivation during the post- COVID-19 era: lessons from Turkey 307
Canan Nese Kinikoglu and Burhan Can Karahasan
12 The EU in 'perma-crisis': a case of resilience and assertiveness 322
Olivier Marty
Index 337